Worcester Railers - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

59 points

26-25-5-2

Playoff chances: 2.2%

Current Streak: 2L

Winless in Regulation: 2 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

MNE 6

WOR 2

Sun Mar 15 Sun 03-15

WOR 2

REA 4

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

WOR 5

REA 2

Wed Mar 11 Wed 03-11

NOR 5

WOR 2

Sun Mar 08 Sun 03-08

WOR 3

TR 4

Sat Mar 07 Sat 03-07

WOR 4

TR 6

Sun Mar 01 Sun 03-01

ADK 0

WOR 1

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

MNE 2

WOR 1

Fri Feb 27 Fri 02-27

WOR 2

TR 1

Sat Feb 21 Sat 02-21

WOR 3

RC 5

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Saturday, March 21 Importance: 3

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Sunday, March 22 Importance: 3

Adirondack Thunder 74 pts (100%)

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 27 Importance: -2

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Wheeling Nailers 80 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Team on 3-game winning streak High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 28 Importance: -3

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Wheeling Nailers 80 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Team on 3-game winning streak High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: -4

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Wheeling Nailers 80 pts (100%)

Game in 8 days Team on 3-game winning streak High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Thursday, April 02 Importance: -8

Reading Royals 68 pts (91%)

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Game in 12 days Teams somewhat close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 03 Importance: -9

Reading Royals 68 pts (91%)

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Game in 13 days Teams somewhat close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, April 05 Importance: -12

Reading Royals 68 pts (91%)

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Game in 15 days Teams somewhat close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Worcester Railers.

Last 10 Games

Record: 3-6-0-1

Points: 7 (.350)

Goal Differential: -10

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -18.8%

vs Conference Avg: -20.3%

vs Division Avg: -22.5%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-2-0-0

Points: 2 (.333)

Goal Differential: -3

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -21.6%

vs Conference Avg: -23.7%

vs Division Avg: -25.0%

Last 30 Days

Record: 5-6-0-1

Points: 11 (.458)

Goal Differential: -8

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -9.7%

vs Conference Avg: -11.2%

vs Division Avg: -12.8%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 2.2%

Win Round 1: 0.5%

Win Round 2: 0.1%

Win Round 3: 0.0%

Expected Playoff Games: 7.4

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.3

Home vs Away

Home: 13-15-1-1 (.467)

-9.9% vs league -11.3% vs conf -12.0% vs div

Away: 13-10-4-1 (.554)

+1.7% vs league +2.2% vs conf +4.3% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

1-3-0-1 (.300)

November 2025

7-5-1-0 (.577)

December 2025

5-3-0-0 (.625)

January 2026

7-6-1-0 (.536)

February 2026

4-4-3-0 (.500)

March 2026

2-4-0-1 (.357)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

24-24-5-2 (.500)

Western:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

By Opponent Division

North:

23-22-5-2 (.510)

South:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

Central:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Mountain:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

After Previous Result

After Win:

13-9-3-1 (.577)

After Reg. Loss:

12-10-1-1 (.542)

After OTL:

1-3-1-0 (.300)

After SOL:

0-2-0-0 (.000)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

12-13-2-1 (.482)

1 Day Rest:

2-2-0-0 (.500)

2 Days Rest:

5-1-2-0 (.750)

3+ Days Rest:

7-8-1-1 (.471)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Wednesday:

3-3-1-0 (.500)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

8-7-1-1 (.529)

Saturday:

8-9-3-0 (.475)

Sunday:

5-6-0-1 (.458)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game losing streak (Mar 15 - Mar 20)

Current Winless in Regulation: 2 games (Mar 15 - Mar 20)

Longest Win Streak: 5 game (Jan 24 - Feb 01)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Oct 31 - Nov 09)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 game (Jan 24 - Feb 07)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 9 game (Oct 18 - Nov 09)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

15-5-5-2 (.685)

Two-Goal Games:

3-9 (.250)

Three-Goal Games:

5-6 (.455)

4+ Goals:

3-5 (.375)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

18-19-5-2 (.489)

vs Below .500:

8-6-0-0 (.571)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 2.75

Avg Goals Against: 3.42

Avg Goal Differential: -0.67

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .562

SOS Rank: #9

RPI: .548

RPI Rank: #16

Performance vs Expected

59 Points 58.8

.509 Points % .507

-23 Goal Diff -29.5

154 Goals For 160.4

177 Goals Against 189.9

26 Wins 29.4

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 67.1% on Nov 30

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.3% on Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 20th since Mar 20

Best Position: 16th on Jan 30

Worst Position: 30th on Oct 24

Recent Change: ↘ 20th from 18th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 10th since Mar 13

Best Position: 8th on Dec 05

Worst Position: 15th on Oct 18

Recent Change: ↘ 10th from 9th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 6th since Mar 13

Best Position: 4th on Dec 05

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 19

Recent Change: ↘ 6th from 5th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 38

Tragic Number: 20

North Championship

Status: Eliminated

Eastern Championship

Status: Eliminated

Brabham Cup Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the WOR finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	7,500
86	13	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
85	12	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 40 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5
84	12	2	0	0	75.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 25 50 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	4
83	11	3	0	0	68.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 21 53 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	19
82	11	3	0	0	58.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 58 37 5 0 0 0 0 0 0	43
81	10	4	0	0	31.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 29 61 9 0 0 0 0 0 0	80
80	10	4	0	0	23.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 22 65 13 1 0 0 0 0 0	142
79	9	5	0	0	7.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 6 66 27 2 0 0 0 0 0	249
78	9	5	0	0	5.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 3 50 39 8 0 0 0 0 0	312
77	8	6	0	0	3.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 3 38 42 17 0 0 0 0 0	484
76	8	6	0	0	0.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 46 27 2 0 0 0 0	635
75	7	6	1	0	0.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 43 39 6 0 0 0 0	786
74	7	6	1	0	0.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 33 49 12 0 0 0 0	830
73	6	7	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 21 53 21 2 0 0 0	912
72	6	7	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 47 34 6 0 0 0	744
71	5	8	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 34 43 17 1 0 0	674
70	5	8	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 25 44 28 2 0 0	545
69	4	9	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 39 40 8 1 0	387
68	4	9	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 27 49 18 1 0	279
67	3	10	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16 48 31 3 0	188
66	3	10	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 39 48 10 0	82
65	2	11	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 13 57 26 0	47
64	2	11	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 57 31 0	35
63	1	11	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 31 62 0	13
62	0	12	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	2
61	0	12	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	2