Wichita Thunder - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

39 points

16-16-3-4

Playoff chances: 8.9%

Current Streak: 2L

Winless in Regulation: 2 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sun Feb 01 Sun 02-01

KC 3

WIC 1

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

WIC 3

KC 5

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

TUL 5

WIC 7

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

TUL 0

WIC 1

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

TAH 4

WIC 3

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

TAH 2

WIC 3

Sun Jan 11 Sun 01-11

ALN 7

WIC 6

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

ALN 5

WIC 4

Fri Jan 09 Fri 01-09

WIC 0

ALN 4

Wed Jan 07 Wed 01-07

WIC 4

ALN 6

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, February 04 Importance: 4

Rapid City Rush 39 pts (11%)

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Teams tied in standings Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 06 Importance: 2

Rapid City Rush 39 pts (11%)

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Teams tied in standings Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 07 Importance: 2

Rapid City Rush 39 pts (11%)

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Game in 5 days Teams tied in standings Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, February 11 Importance: -6

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Allen Americans 48 pts (96%)

Game in 9 days Teams somewhat close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 13 Importance: -8

Idaho Steelheads 59 pts (100%)

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Game in 11 days Team on 5-game winning streak High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -10

Idaho Steelheads 59 pts (100%)

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Game in 12 days Team on 5-game winning streak High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 15 Importance: -11

Idaho Steelheads 59 pts (100%)

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Game in 13 days Team on 5-game winning streak High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, February 18 Importance: -12

Wichita Thunder 39 pts (9%)

Iowa Heartlanders 28 pts (0%)

Game in 16 days Below average quality matchup Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Wichita Thunder.

Last 10 Games

Record: 3-5-0-2

Points: 8 (.400)

Goal Differential: -9

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -15.0%

vs Conference Avg: -14.3%

vs Division Avg: -11.3%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-2-0-0

Points: 2 (.333)

Goal Differential: -2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -20.8%

vs Conference Avg: -19.7%

vs Division Avg: -15.1%

Last 30 Days

Record: 5-5-0-2

Points: 12 (.500)

Goal Differential: -3

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -4.5%

vs Conference Avg: -3.7%

vs Division Avg: -4.1%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 8.9%

Win Round 1: 2.3%

Win Round 2: 0.7%

Win Round 3: 0.2%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 0.1%

Expected Playoff Games: 7.7

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.4

Home vs Away

Home: 10-6-2-4 (.591)

+3.3% vs league +6.6% vs conf +3.5% vs div

Away: 6-10-1-0 (.382)

-15.4% vs league -17.9% vs conf -14.2% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-1-1 (.600)

November 2025

5-7-1-0 (.423)

December 2025

4-3-1-1 (.556)

January 2026

5-4-0-2 (.545)

February 2026

0-1-0-0 (.000)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

1-1-1-0 (.500)

Western:

15-15-2-4 (.500)

By Opponent Division

North:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

South:

1-1-1-0 (.500)

Central:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

Mountain:

13-14-2-4 (.485)

After Previous Result

After Win:

5-8-1-2 (.406)

After Reg. Loss:

6-6-2-1 (.500)

After OTL:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

After SOL:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

8-7-2-2 (.526)

1 Day Rest:

2-3-0-0 (.400)

2 Days Rest:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

3+ Days Rest:

5-5-1-1 (.500)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Wednesday:

2-3-1-0 (.417)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

5-6-0-1 (.458)

Saturday:

6-3-2-3 (.607)

Sunday:

2-4-0-0 (.333)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game losing streak (Jan 31 - Feb 01)

Current Winless in Regulation: 2 games (Jan 31 - Feb 01)

Longest Win Streak: 3 game (Nov 29 - Dec 06)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Oct 31 - Nov 05)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 5 game (Nov 29 - Dec 13)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Oct 31 - Nov 05)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

9-7-3-4 (.543)

Two-Goal Games:

2-6 (.250)

Three-Goal Games:

3-1 (.750)

4+ Goals:

2-2 (.500)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

8-14-1-4 (.389)

vs Below .500:

8-2-2-0 (.750)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.75

Avg Goals Against: 4.00

Avg Goal Differential: -0.25

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .591

SOS Rank: #2

RPI: .557

RPI Rank: #10

Performance vs Expected

39 Points 40.1

.500 Points % .514

-6 Goal Diff -15.0

121 Goals For 109.5

127 Goals Against 124.5

16 Wins 20.0

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 50.0% on Oct 17

50%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.3% on Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 20th since Jan 31

Best Position: 11th on Oct 29

Worst Position: 25th on Oct 19

Recent Change: ↘ 20th from 17th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 9th since Jan 24

Best Position: 4th on Oct 29

Worst Position: 13th on Nov 12

Recent Change: ↘ 12th from 10th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Jan 17

Best Position: 3rd on Nov 06

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 19

Recent Change: → 6th position (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 62

Tragic Number: 55

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the WIC finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	25,000
97	28	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
94	27	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
93	26	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 33 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
92	26	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 33 33 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	6
91	25	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 29 57 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	7
90	25	7	1	0	95.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 19 43 38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	21
89	24	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 11 30 48 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	27
88	24	8	1	0	98.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 20 36 32 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	50
87	23	9	1	0	87.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 13 33 39 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	79
86	23	9	1	0	87.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 3 30 54 11 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	151
85	22	10	1	0	69.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 2 20 47 24 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	221
84	22	10	1	0	62.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 7 43 37 11 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	283
83	21	11	1	0	55.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 7 31 41 17 2 1 0 0 0 0 0	427
82	21	11	1	0	43.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 3 20 42 27 8 0 0 0 0 0 0	563
81	20	12	1	0	34.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 13 40 32 12 1 0 0 0 0 0	790
80	20	12	1	0	24.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 6 28 41 20 5 0 0 0 0 0	1,007
79	19	12	2	0	17.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 2 18 39 30 10 1 0 0 0 0	1,146
78	18	13	2	0	11.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 11 31 36 18 3 0 0 0 0	1,314
77	18	13	2	0	6.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 4 23 38 28 6 0 0 0 0	1,574
76	17	14	2	0	3.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13 35 35 14 2 0 0 0	1,671
75	17	14	2	0	1.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 25 42 22 4 0 0 0	1,804
74	16	15	2	0	0.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15 39 34 9 0 0 0	1,856
73	16	15	2	0	0.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 29 40 19 1 0 0	1,822
72	15	16	2	0	0.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 21 44 29 3 0 0	1,738
71	15	16	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 12 41 39 7 0 0	1,586
70	14	17	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 31 48 13 0 0	1,513
69	14	17	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 22 52 22 0 0	1,282
68	12	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 16 53 30 0 0	1,049
67	12	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 50 40 1 0	807
66	11	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 46 48 2 0	634
65	11	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 33 59 5 0	473
64	10	19	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 67 7 0	365
63	10	19	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 70 12 0	272
62	9	20	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 69 19 2	186
61	9	20	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 64 21 4	104
60	8	21	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 59 31 7	71
59	8	21	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 51 44 4	45
58	7	22	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 38 54 8	24
57	7	22	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 43 7	14
56	6	23	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 80 0	5
55	6	23	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	2
54	5	23	4	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 60	5
52	4	24	4	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	1