Toledo Walleye - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

56 points

25-9-3-3

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Current Streak: 1W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sun Feb 01 Sun 02-01

TOL 6

CIN 3

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

KAL 3

TOL 2

Fri Jan 30 Fri 01-30

TOL 5

KAL 1

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

CIN 2

TOL 3

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

TOL 1

KAL 2

Fri Jan 23 Fri 01-23

KAL 1

TOL 2

Sun Jan 18 Sun 01-18

TOL 0

BLM 3

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

TOL 2

IA 3

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

TOL 4

IA 3

Sun Jan 11 Sun 01-11

TOL 3

FW 1

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Saturday, February 07 Importance: 5

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Fort Wayne Komets 52 pts (99%)

Game in 5 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 06 Importance: 2

Cincinnati Cyclones 39 pts (42%)

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 15 Importance: -6

Fort Wayne Komets 52 pts (99%)

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Game in 13 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 13 Importance: -6

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Cincinnati Cyclones 39 pts (42%)

Game in 11 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -7

Cincinnati Cyclones 39 pts (42%)

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Game in 12 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 20 Importance: -18

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Trois-Rivières Lions 37 pts (8%)

Game in 18 days High quality matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 21 Importance: -19

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Trois-Rivières Lions 37 pts (8%)

Game in 19 days High quality matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 22 Importance: -21

Toledo Walleye 56 pts (100%)

Trois-Rivières Lions 37 pts (8%)

Game in 20 days High quality matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Toledo Walleye.

Last 10 Games

Record: 6-2-1-1

Points: 14 (.700)

Goal Differential: +6

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +15.0%

vs Conference Avg: +15.7%

vs Division Avg: +12.1%

Last 7 Days

Record: 3-1-0-0

Points: 6 (.750)

Goal Differential: +7

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +20.8%

vs Conference Avg: +21.9%

vs Division Avg: +16.7%

Last 30 Days

Record: 9-4-1-1

Points: 20 (.667)

Goal Differential: +17

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +12.2%

vs Conference Avg: +12.9%

vs Division Avg: +13.3%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 99.9%

Win Round 1: 77.7%

Win Round 2: 48.2%

Win Round 3: 25.8%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 14.9%

Expected Playoff Games: 14.3

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.5

Home vs Away

Home: 12-5-1-1 (.684)

+12.7% vs league +16.0% vs conf +19.6% vs div

Away: 13-4-2-2 (.714)

+17.8% vs league +15.3% vs conf +11.0% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-0-0 (.667)

November 2025

7-4-1-2 (.607)

December 2025

7-0-1-0 (.938)

January 2026

8-4-1-1 (.643)

February 2026

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Western:

25-8-3-3 (.718)

By Opponent Division

North:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

South:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Central:

24-8-3-2 (.716)

Mountain:

1-0-0-1 (.750)

After Previous Result

After Win:

14-6-2-2 (.667)

After Reg. Loss:

6-1-1-1 (.778)

After OTL:

3-0-0-0 (1.000)

After SOL:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

11-5-1-3 (.650)

1 Day Rest:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

2 Days Rest:

3-0-2-0 (.800)

3+ Days Rest:

8-3-0-0 (.727)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-0-1-0 (.500)

Wednesday:

3-0-1-0 (.875)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

8-4-0-0 (.667)

Saturday:

9-2-1-3 (.733)

Sunday:

5-3-0-0 (.625)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game winning streak (Started Feb 01)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game (Started Feb 01)

Longest Win Streak: 10 game (Dec 06 - Jan 04)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Nov 28 - Dec 03)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 11 game (Dec 03 - Jan 04)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 7 game (Nov 22 - Dec 06)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

8-5-3-3 (.579)

Two-Goal Games:

3-1 (.750)

Three-Goal Games:

8-2 (.800)

4+ Goals:

6-1 (.857)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

20-7-3-2 (.703)

vs Below .500:

5-2-0-1 (.688)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.07

Avg Goals Against: 1.93

Avg Goal Differential: +1.13

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .537

SOS Rank: #19

RPI: .577

RPI Rank: #4

Performance vs Expected

56 Points 53.3

.700 Points % .667

+43 Goal Diff +47.3

140 Goals For 145.7

97 Goals Against 98.4

25 Wins 26.7

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Jan 07

90%: Oct 30

75%: Oct 24

50%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 35.3% on Jan 04

30%: Jan 04

20%: Jan 03

10%: Nov 01

Recent Trend: ↗ Increasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 4th since Feb 01

Best Position: 4th on Jan 04

Worst Position: 27th on Nov 07

Recent Change: ↗ 4th from 7th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Jan 23

Best Position: 2nd on Jan 04

Worst Position: 14th on Nov 07

Recent Change: → 3rd position (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Dec 31

Best Position: 1st on Dec 13

Worst Position: 6th on Nov 07

Recent Change: → 1st position (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 52

Tragic Number: 81

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the TOL finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	25,000
115	29	3	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
113	28	4	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	4
112	27	5	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	10
111	27	5	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	11
110	26	6	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	35
109	26	6	0	0	In	86.2%	90 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	58
108	25	6	1	0	In	92.2%	95 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	115
107	25	6	1	0	In	78.0%	83 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	191
106	24	7	1	0	In	70.3%	77 22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	283
105	24	7	1	0	In	60.5%	68 31 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	428
104	23	8	1	0	In	51.6%	62 36 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	574
103	23	8	1	0	In	36.5%	48 49 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	729
102	22	9	1	0	In	29.3%	43 50 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,010
101	22	9	1	0	In	19.9%	34 53 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,153
100	21	10	1	0	In	12.1%	26 54 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,392
99	21	10	1	0	In	6.3%	16 57 25 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,595
98	20	11	1	0	In	2.9%	10 53 34 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,790
97	20	11	1	0	In	1.1%	6 44 43 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,827
96	19	12	1	0	In	0.5%	3 36 49 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,956
95	19	12	1	0	In	0.3%	2 28 52 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,904
94	18	12	2	0	In	0.0%	1 18 54 26 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,734
93	17	13	2	0	In	0.0%	0 11 50 35 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,600
92	17	13	2	0	In	0.0%	0 7 43 44 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,440
91	16	14	2	0	In	0.0%	0 4 33 49 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,208
90	16	14	2	0	In	0.0%	0 2 23 52 20 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,001
89	15	15	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 16 50 30 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	787
88	15	15	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 8 39 42 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	642
87	14	16	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 4 33 45 15 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	440
86	14	16	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 2 23 45 27 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	350
85	13	17	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 1 16 38 36 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	234
84	13	17	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 5 37 44 12 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	195
83	11	17	3	1	98.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 8 23 40 23 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	122
82	11	17	3	1	90.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 13 36 31 15 5 0 0 0 0 0 0	94
81	10	18	3	1	85.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 3 32 26 32 3 3 0 0 0 0 0	34
80	10	18	3	1	95.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 14 50 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	22
79	9	19	3	1	73.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 13 20 33 27 7 0 0 0 0 0	15
78	9	19	3	1	50.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 25 50 25 0 0 0 0 0 0	4
77	8	20	3	1	71.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 57 43 0 0 0 0 0 0	7
76	8	20	3	1	50.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 0 50 0 0 0 0	2
75	7	21	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0	1