Toledo Walleye - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

82 points

37-14-4-4

Playoff chances: 100.0%

Current Streak: 3W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

TAH 3

TOL 4

Mon Mar 16 Mon 03-16

TOL 5

SAV 4

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

TOL 4

SC 3

Fri Mar 13 Fri 03-13

TOL 1

SC 5

Thu Mar 12 Thu 03-12

TOL 5

SAV 3

Sun Mar 08 Sun 03-08

WIC 1

TOL 5

Fri Mar 06 Fri 03-06

CIN 2

TOL 3

Sun Mar 01 Sun 03-01

IA 0

TOL 3

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

BLM 0

TOL 5

Fri Feb 27 Fri 02-27

BLM 2

TOL 4

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Saturday, March 21 Importance: 5

Tahoe Knight Monsters 63 pts (91%)

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 3-game losing streak Some playoff implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Sunday, March 22 Importance: 4

Tahoe Knight Monsters 63 pts (91%)

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 3-game losing streak Some playoff implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 28 Importance: 0

Bloomington Bison 62 pts (50%)

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 27 Importance: 0

Indy Fuel 67 pts (76%)

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 3 division teams Division matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: 0

Wheeling Nailers 80 pts (100%)

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Game in 14 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: -1

Bloomington Bison 62 pts (50%)

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Game in 8 days Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, April 01 Importance: -6

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Indy Fuel 67 pts (76%)

Game in 11 days Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 3 division teams Division matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 03 Importance: -8

Toledo Walleye 82 pts (100%)

Kalamazoo Wings 60 pts (36%)

Game in 13 days Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Toledo Walleye.

Last 10 Games

Record: 9-1-0-0

Points: 18 (.900)

Goal Differential: +16

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +36.2%

vs Conference Avg: +37.7%

vs Division Avg: +31.4%

Last 7 Days

Record: 3-1-0-0

Points: 6 (.750)

Goal Differential: -1

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +20.1%

vs Conference Avg: +22.2%

vs Division Avg: +13.7%

Last 30 Days

Record: 10-3-0-1

Points: 21 (.750)

Goal Differential: +11

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +19.5%

vs Conference Avg: +21.0%

vs Division Avg: +16.6%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 77.4%

Win Round 2: 46.6%

Win Round 3: 23.3%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 13.0%

Expected Playoff Games: 14.1

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.5

Home vs Away

Home: 18-7-2-1 (.696)

+13.0% vs league +14.4% vs conf +17.1% vs div

Away: 19-7-2-3 (.694)

+15.7% vs league +15.3% vs conf +11.5% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-0-0 (.667)

November 2025

7-4-1-2 (.607)

December 2025

7-0-1-0 (.938)

January 2026

8-4-1-1 (.643)

February 2026

6-4-1-1 (.583)

March 2026

7-1-0-0 (.875)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

4-3-0-1 (.562)

Western:

33-11-4-3 (.716)

By Opponent Division

North:

1-2-0-1 (.375)

South:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

Central:

30-11-4-2 (.702)

Mountain:

3-0-0-1 (.875)

After Previous Result

After Win:

22-9-2-3 (.681)

After Reg. Loss:

10-1-2-1 (.821)

After OTL:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

After SOL:

1-3-0-0 (.250)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

16-7-2-4 (.655)

1 Day Rest:

5-1-0-0 (.833)

2 Days Rest:

3-1-2-0 (.667)

3+ Days Rest:

12-5-0-0 (.706)

By Day of Week

Monday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Tuesday:

0-0-1-0 (.500)

Wednesday:

3-1-1-0 (.700)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

12-7-0-0 (.632)

Saturday:

13-3-1-3 (.750)

Sunday:

7-3-1-1 (.667)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 3 game winning streak (Mar 14 - Mar 20)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games (Mar 14 - Mar 20)

Longest Win Streak: 10 game (Dec 06 - Jan 04)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Nov 28 - Dec 03)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 11 game (Dec 03 - Jan 04)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 7 game (Nov 22 - Dec 06)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

14-6-4-4 (.643)

Two-Goal Games:

5-2 (.714)

Three-Goal Games:

10-3 (.769)

4+ Goals:

8-3 (.727)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

29-12-4-2 (.681)

vs Below .500:

8-2-0-2 (.750)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.50

Avg Goals Against: 2.71

Avg Goal Differential: +0.79

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .550

SOS Rank: #13

RPI: .586

RPI Rank: #4

Performance vs Expected

82 Points 80.3

.695 Points % .681

+52 Goal Diff +75.2

206 Goals For 219.1

154 Goals Against 143.9

37 Wins 40.2

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Jan 07

95%: Oct 31

90%: Oct 30

75%: Oct 24

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 35.3% on Jan 04

35%: Jan 04

25%: Jan 03

15%: Nov 01

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Mar 16

Best Position: 3rd on Mar 12

Worst Position: 27th on Nov 07

Recent Change: ↗ 3rd from 8th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 08

Best Position: 2nd on Dec 13

Worst Position: 14th on Nov 07

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 4th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Mar 06

Best Position: 1st on Dec 13

Worst Position: 6th on Nov 07

Recent Change: ↗ 1st from 2nd (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 7

Tragic Number: 47

Central Championship

Magic Number: 24

Tragic Number: 30

Western Championship

Status: Eliminated

Brabham Cup Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the TOL finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	7,500
108	12	1	0	0	In	14.3%	14 86 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	7
107	12	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	8
106	11	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	45
105	11	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	81
104	10	3	0	0	In	1.0%	1 99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	206
103	10	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	278
102	9	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	504
101	9	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 99 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	570
100	8	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 95 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	833
99	8	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 88 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	785
98	7	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 81 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	962
97	7	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 69 30 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	741
96	6	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 52 44 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	787
95	6	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 35 54 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	563
94	5	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 20 62 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	461
93	5	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 16 56 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	272
92	4	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 5 45 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	196
91	4	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 5 33 61 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	103
90	3	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 25 71 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	63
89	3	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 19 81 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	21
88	2	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	7
87	2	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 80 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5
86	1	11	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2