Maine Mariners - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

76 points

34-16-6-2

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Current Streak: 1W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

MNE 6

WOR 2

Wed Mar 18 Wed 03-18

MNE 1

ADK 2

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

NOR 2

MNE 3

Fri Mar 13 Fri 03-13

NOR 4

MNE 1

Tue Mar 10 Tue 03-10

ADK 1

MNE 2

Sun Mar 08 Sun 03-08

ADK 3

MNE 4

Fri Mar 06 Fri 03-06

MNE 5

TR 3

Sun Mar 01 Sun 03-01

TR 2

MNE 3

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

MNE 2

WOR 1

Fri Feb 27 Fri 02-27

MNE 5

ADK 0

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Sunday, March 22 Importance: 6

Reading Royals 68 pts (91%)

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

Some playoff implications Teams somewhat close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 21 Importance: 3

Worcester Railers 59 pts (2%)

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Saturday, March 28 Importance: -4

Greensboro Gargoyles 40 pts

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: -5

Greensboro Gargoyles 40 pts

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

Game in 8 days Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, April 01 Importance: -8

Trois-Rivières Lions 61 pts (7%)

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

Game in 11 days High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 03 Importance: -10

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

Trois-Rivières Lions 61 pts (7%)

Game in 13 days High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: -11

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

Trois-Rivières Lions 61 pts (7%)

Game in 14 days High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, April 08 Importance: -12

Adirondack Thunder 74 pts (100%)

Maine Mariners 76 pts (100%)

Game in 18 days Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Maine Mariners.

Last 10 Games

Record: 8-1-1-0

Points: 17 (.850)

Goal Differential: +12

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +31.2%

vs Conference Avg: +29.7%

vs Division Avg: +27.5%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-1-1-0

Points: 5 (.625)

Goal Differential: +1

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +7.6%

vs Conference Avg: +5.5%

vs Division Avg: +4.2%

Last 30 Days

Record: 11-1-1-0

Points: 23 (.885)

Goal Differential: +19

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +33.0%

vs Conference Avg: +31.5%

vs Division Avg: +29.8%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 99.9%

Win Round 1: 63.5%

Win Round 2: 33.3%

Win Round 3: 14.3%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 6.1%

Expected Playoff Games: 12.2

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.1

Home vs Away

Home: 15-7-2-2 (.654)

+8.8% vs league +7.4% vs conf +6.7% vs div

Away: 19-9-4-0 (.656)

+12.0% vs league +12.4% vs conf +14.6% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-1-1-0 (.700)

November 2025

7-3-1-1 (.667)

December 2025

1-4-2-0 (.286)

January 2026

9-4-1-1 (.667)

February 2026

8-3-0-0 (.727)

March 2026

6-1-1-0 (.812)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

31-16-6-2 (.636)

Western:

3-0-0-0 (1.000)

By Opponent Division

North:

28-14-6-2 (.640)

South:

3-2-0-0 (.600)

Central:

3-0-0-0 (1.000)

Mountain:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

20-9-3-1 (.667)

After Reg. Loss:

7-6-3-0 (.531)

After OTL:

4-1-0-1 (.750)

After SOL:

2-0-0-0 (1.000)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

17-7-3-1 (.679)

1 Day Rest:

5-2-0-0 (.714)

2 Days Rest:

1-2-1-0 (.375)

3+ Days Rest:

10-5-2-1 (.639)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

Wednesday:

1-1-2-0 (.500)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

11-7-1-1 (.600)

Saturday:

12-5-1-1 (.684)

Sunday:

9-2-2-0 (.769)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game winning streak (Started Mar 20)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games (Mar 14 - Mar 20)

Longest Win Streak: 11 game (Feb 13 - Mar 10)

Longest Loss Streak: 6 game (Dec 13 - Jan 03)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 11 game (Feb 13 - Mar 10)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 6 game (Dec 13 - Jan 03)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

14-2-6-2 (.750)

Two-Goal Games:

4-5 (.444)

Three-Goal Games:

6-5 (.545)

4+ Goals:

10-4 (.714)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

29-14-6-2 (.647)

vs Below .500:

5-2-0-0 (.714)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.46

Avg Goals Against: 2.00

Avg Goal Differential: +1.46

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .565

SOS Rank: #8

RPI: .585

RPI Rank: #5

Performance vs Expected

76 Points 74.9

.655 Points % .646

+36 Goal Diff +55.3

180 Goals For 204.4

144 Goals Against 149.0

34 Wins 37.5

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Nov 30

95%: Oct 17

90%: Oct 17

75%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 66.9% on Nov 13

35%: Nov 07

25%: Nov 07

15%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 9th since Mar 08

Best Position: 1st on Nov 09

Worst Position: 23th on Jan 03

Recent Change: ↗ 9th from 14th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Mar 08

Best Position: 1st on Nov 09

Worst Position: 13th on Oct 21

Recent Change: ↗ 5th from 7th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 08

Best Position: 1st on Nov 07

Worst Position: 6th on Dec 31

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 4th (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 14

Tragic Number: 37

North Championship

Status: Eliminated

Eastern Championship

Status: Eliminated

Brabham Cup Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the MNE finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	7,500
104	13	1	0	0	In	0.0%	50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2
103	13	1	0	0	In	0.0%	33 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
102	12	2	0	0	In	0.0%	64 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	14
101	12	2	0	0	In	0.0%	31 69 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	32
100	11	3	0	0	In	0.0%	22 65 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	125
99	11	3	0	0	In	0.0%	10 74 15 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	164
98	10	4	0	0	In	0.0%	4 57 35 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	296
97	10	4	0	0	In	0.0%	2 44 41 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	427
96	9	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 28 49 21 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	621
95	9	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 15 44 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	692
94	8	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 8 32 39 20 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	860
93	8	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 3 20 44 28 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	794
92	7	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 1 10 32 46 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	846
91	7	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 4 27 51 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	702
90	6	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 2 13 47 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	636
89	6	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 7 40 50 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	417
88	5	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 2 26 66 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	364
87	5	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 17 69 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	204
86	4	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 9 69 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	145
85	4	9	1	0	98.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 6 58 34 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	79
84	3	10	1	0	92.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 49 42 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	41
83	3	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 33 62 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	21
82	2	11	1	0	81.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 46 36 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0	11
81	2	11	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
80	1	11	2	0	33.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 33 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3