Adirondack Thunder - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

49 points

22-13-4-1

Playoff chances: 87.0%

Current Streak: 1W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sun Feb 01 Sun 02-01

MNE 3

ADK 6

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

MNE 6

ADK 3

Fri Jan 30 Fri 01-30

MNE 2

ADK 4

Wed Jan 28 Wed 01-28

ADK 4

TR 1

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

ADK 4

GSO 1

Fri Jan 23 Fri 01-23

ADK 2

GSO 5

Sun Jan 18 Sun 01-18

ADK 0

TR 3

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

ADK 3

TR 1

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

TR 3

ADK 1

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

NOR 4

ADK 3

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, February 04 Importance: 9

Worcester Railers 45 pts (48%)

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Team on 5-game winning streak High playoff race importance Teams close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 06 Importance: 0

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Trois-Rivières Lions 37 pts (8%)

Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 13 Importance: -6

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Atlanta Gladiators 55 pts (100%)

Game in 11 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -7

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Atlanta Gladiators 55 pts (100%)

Game in 12 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Monday, February 16 Importance: -10

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Atlanta Gladiators 55 pts (100%)

Game in 14 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 20 Importance: -13

Greensboro Gargoyles 26 pts (0%)

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Game in 18 days Team on 3-game losing streak Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 21 Importance: -14

Greensboro Gargoyles 26 pts (0%)

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Game in 19 days Team on 3-game losing streak Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 22 Importance: -15

Greensboro Gargoyles 26 pts (0%)

Adirondack Thunder 49 pts (87%)

Game in 20 days Team on 3-game losing streak Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Adirondack Thunder.

Last 10 Games

Record: 5-4-1-0

Points: 11 (.550)

Goal Differential: +1

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +0.0%

vs Conference Avg: -0.7%

vs Division Avg: +0.6%

Last 7 Days

Record: 3-1-0-0

Points: 6 (.750)

Goal Differential: +5

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +20.8%

vs Conference Avg: +19.7%

vs Division Avg: +22.7%

Last 30 Days

Record: 8-5-1-0

Points: 17 (.607)

Goal Differential: +4

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +6.3%

vs Conference Avg: +5.5%

vs Division Avg: +9.5%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 87.0%

Win Round 1: 41.4%

Win Round 2: 18.2%

Win Round 3: 6.1%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 2.0%

Expected Playoff Games: 10.1

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.8

Home vs Away

Home: 12-6-2-1 (.643)

+8.5% vs league +5.2% vs conf +4.3% vs div

Away: 10-7-2-0 (.579)

+4.3% vs league +6.8% vs conf +12.5% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-0-1 (.625)

November 2025

5-5-2-0 (.500)

December 2025

7-2-1-0 (.750)

January 2026

7-5-1-0 (.577)

February 2026

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

21-12-4-1 (.618)

Western:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

By Opponent Division

North:

21-12-4-1 (.618)

South:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Central:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

Mountain:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

10-8-2-1 (.548)

After Reg. Loss:

8-3-2-0 (.692)

After OTL:

2-2-0-0 (.500)

After SOL:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

12-5-2-0 (.684)

1 Day Rest:

3-3-0-0 (.500)

2 Days Rest:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

3+ Days Rest:

6-5-2-1 (.536)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Wednesday:

4-0-2-0 (.833)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

5-8-0-1 (.393)

Saturday:

9-3-2-0 (.714)

Sunday:

4-2-0-0 (.667)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game winning streak (Started Feb 01)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game (Started Feb 01)

Longest Win Streak: 6 game (Dec 20 - Jan 07)

Longest Loss Streak: 3 game (Jan 09 - Jan 16)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 game (Dec 20 - Jan 07)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 8 game (Nov 14 - Nov 30)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

7-1-4-1 (.731)

Two-Goal Games:

6-3 (.667)

Three-Goal Games:

6-7 (.462)

4+ Goals:

3-2 (.600)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

16-7-1-1 (.680)

vs Below .500:

6-6-3-0 (.500)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.07

Avg Goals Against: 2.79

Avg Goal Differential: +0.29

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .525

SOS Rank: #24

RPI: .555

RPI Rank: #12

Performance vs Expected

49 Points 46.7

.613 Points % .583

+7 Goal Diff +15.0

113 Goals For 127.5

106 Goals Against 112.5

22 Wins 23.3

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 21

90%: Oct 18

75%: Oct 18

50%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: ↗ Increasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 7.7% on Oct 18

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 10th since Feb 01

Best Position: 10th on Jan 03

Worst Position: 26th on Nov 08

Recent Change: ↗ 10th from 11th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Feb 01

Best Position: 5th on Jan 03

Worst Position: 14th on Oct 18

Recent Change: ↗ 5th from 6th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Feb 01

Best Position: 2nd on Jan 03

Worst Position: 7th on Oct 18

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 3rd (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 53

Tragic Number: 68

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the ADK finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	25,000
103	26	6	0	0	In	33.3%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
102	26	6	0	0	In	0.0%	67 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
101	25	6	1	0	In	0.0%	75 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	8
100	25	6	1	0	In	8.7%	48 48 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	23
99	24	7	1	0	In	12.1%	54 30 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	33
98	24	7	1	0	In	5.8%	40 48 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	52
97	23	8	1	0	In	3.8%	27 52 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	106
96	23	8	1	0	In	0.0%	16 51 30 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	154
95	22	9	1	0	In	0.0%	11 45 38 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	232
94	22	9	1	0	In	0.0%	6 40 43 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	326
93	21	10	1	0	In	0.0%	3 29 48 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	474
92	21	10	1	0	In	0.0%	1 17 50 28 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	648
91	20	11	1	0	In	0.0%	0 12 43 37 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	835
90	20	11	1	0	In	0.0%	0 6 36 45 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,050
89	19	12	1	0	In	0.0%	0 3 26 48 22 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,247
88	19	12	1	0	In	0.0%	0 1 15 48 30 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,456
87	18	12	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 10 38 38 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,612
86	17	13	2	0	99.9%	0.0%	0 0 5 29 43 19 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,776
85	17	13	2	0	99.9%	0.0%	0 0 2 19 39 31 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,939
84	16	14	2	0	99.3%	0.0%	0 0 1 10 32 38 16 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,940
83	16	14	2	0	98.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 5 25 40 24 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,825
82	15	15	2	0	96.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 1 13 34 36 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,650
81	15	15	2	0	90.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 6 26 40 22 5 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,456
80	14	16	2	0	83.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 2 15 39 32 11 1 0 0 0 0 0	1,277
79	14	16	2	0	73.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 8 29 39 19 4 0 0 0 0 0	1,169
78	13	17	2	0	60.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 4 18 38 31 9 0 0 0 0 0	959
77	13	17	2	0	42.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 8 28 42 18 3 0 0 0 0	818
76	11	17	3	1	29.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 5 21 40 28 5 1 0 0 0	544
75	11	17	3	1	17.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 2 12 39 34 11 1 0 0 0	456
74	10	18	3	1	11.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 26 38 22 6 2 0 0	341
73	10	18	3	1	5.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 16 42 31 7 2 0 0	228
72	9	19	3	1	2.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 38 36 16 2 0 0	146
71	9	19	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 27 35 26 6 0 0	89
70	8	20	3	1	2.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 27 48 12 0 0	48
69	8	20	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 28 44 12 6 0	32
68	7	21	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 48 28 4 0	25
67	7	21	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 22 33 22 0	9
66	6	22	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 0 20 0 0	5
65	6	22	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 25 50 0	4
64	5	23	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	1
63	5	23	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	1