Norfolk Admirals - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

32 points

15-22-2-0

Playoff chances: 4.2%

Current Streak: 1L

Winless in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

TR 6

NOR 3

Fri Jan 30 Fri 01-30

TR 2

NOR 5

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

WOR 3

NOR 2

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

WOR 6

NOR 5

Fri Jan 23 Fri 01-23

WOR 3

NOR 5

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

WHL 3

NOR 6

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

WHL 1

NOR 2

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

NOR 4

ADK 3

Fri Jan 09 Fri 01-09

NOR 6

ADK 1

Sat Jan 03 Sat 01-03

REA 1

NOR 5

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, February 04 Importance: 0

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Allen Americans 48 pts (96%)

Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 06 Importance: -2

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Allen Americans 48 pts (96%)

Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 07 Importance: -3

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Allen Americans 48 pts (96%)

Game in 5 days Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 13 Importance: -5

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Greensboro Gargoyles 26 pts (0%)

Game in 11 days Team on 3-game losing streak Teams moderately close in standings Below average quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -6

Greensboro Gargoyles 26 pts (0%)

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Game in 12 days Team on 3-game losing streak Teams moderately close in standings Below average quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 15 Importance: -7

Greensboro Gargoyles 26 pts (0%)

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Game in 13 days Team on 3-game losing streak Teams moderately close in standings Below average quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, February 18 Importance: -15

Fort Wayne Komets 52 pts (99%)

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Game in 16 days Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 20 Importance: -17

Fort Wayne Komets 52 pts (99%)

Norfolk Admirals 32 pts (4%)

Game in 18 days Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Norfolk Admirals.

Last 10 Games

Record: 7-3-0-0

Points: 14 (.700)

Goal Differential: +14

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +15.0%

vs Conference Avg: +14.3%

vs Division Avg: +15.6%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-3-0-0

Points: 2 (.250)

Goal Differential: -2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -29.2%

vs Conference Avg: -30.3%

vs Division Avg: -27.3%

Last 30 Days

Record: 8-3-0-0

Points: 16 (.727)

Goal Differential: +15

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +18.3%

vs Conference Avg: +17.5%

vs Division Avg: +21.5%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 4.2%

Win Round 1: 1.0%

Win Round 2: 0.3%

Win Round 3: 0.0%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 0.0%

Expected Playoff Games: 7.5

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.3

Home vs Away

Home: 10-11-1-0 (.477)

-8.0% vs league -11.3% vs conf -12.2% vs div

Away: 5-11-1-0 (.324)

-21.3% vs league -18.8% vs conf -13.0% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-1-0 (.625)

November 2025

3-9-1-0 (.269)

December 2025

2-9-0-0 (.182)

January 2026

8-3-0-0 (.727)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

15-22-2-0 (.410)

Western:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Opponent Division

North:

14-16-2-0 (.469)

South:

1-6-0-0 (.143)

Central:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Mountain:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

7-7-1-0 (.500)

After Reg. Loss:

6-14-1-0 (.310)

After OTL:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

5-14-2-0 (.286)

1 Day Rest:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

2 Days Rest:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

3+ Days Rest:

7-6-0-0 (.538)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Wednesday:

0-3-0-0 (.000)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

10-4-0-0 (.714)

Saturday:

5-9-1-0 (.367)

Sunday:

0-6-1-0 (.071)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game losing streak (Started Jan 31)

Current Winless in Regulation: 1 game (Started Jan 31)

Longest Win Streak: 7 game (Jan 02 - Jan 23)

Longest Loss Streak: 7 game (Nov 22 - Dec 07)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 game (Jan 02 - Jan 23)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 7 game (Nov 22 - Dec 07)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

5-8-2-0 (.400)

Two-Goal Games:

2-1 (.667)

Three-Goal Games:

5-5 (.500)

4+ Goals:

3-8 (.273)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

13-19-2-0 (.412)

vs Below .500:

2-3-0-0 (.400)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 4.27

Avg Goals Against: 2.91

Avg Goal Differential: +1.36

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .594

SOS Rank: #1

RPI: .543

RPI Rank: #19

Performance vs Expected

32 Points 37.4

.410 Points % .479

-23 Goal Diff -31.4

116 Goals For 102.1

139 Goals Against 133.5

15 Wins 18.7

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 60.6% on Nov 30

50%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.3% on Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 27th since Jan 10

Best Position: 10th on Oct 25

Worst Position: 30th on Dec 06

Recent Change: ↗ 27th from 30th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 14th since Jan 03

Best Position: 6th on Oct 25

Worst Position: 15th on Dec 07

Recent Change: ↗ 14th from 15th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 7th since Jan 03

Best Position: 2nd on Oct 18

Worst Position: 8th on Nov 23

Recent Change: ↗ 7th from 8th (Jan 02-Feb 01)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 68

Tragic Number: 53

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the NOR finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	25,000
89	28	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2
87	27	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 33 0 33 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
86	26	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 40 10 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	10
85	26	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 8 38 31 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	13
84	25	7	1	0	96.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 10 28 48 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	29
83	25	7	1	0	96.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 2 20 40 31 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	55
82	24	8	1	0	83.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 1 10 28 38 19 4 0 0 0 0 0 0	97
81	24	8	1	0	71.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 1 3 17 35 36 6 2 0 0 0 0 0	171
80	23	9	1	0	59.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 2 7 30 34 20 7 0 0 0 0 0	256
79	23	9	1	0	42.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 4 16 35 32 11 2 0 0 0 0	338
78	22	10	1	0	30.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 10 29 37 20 4 0 0 0 0	530
77	22	10	1	0	18.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 4 18 37 32 8 0 0 0 0	650
76	21	11	1	0	9.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 33 38 16 2 0 0 0	884
75	21	11	1	0	4.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 22 42 26 4 0 0 0	1,099
74	20	12	1	0	2.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 38 35 11 1 0 0	1,246
73	20	12	1	0	0.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 29 41 19 3 0 0	1,475
72	19	12	2	0	0.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 20 44 27 6 0 0	1,702
71	18	13	2	0	0.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 40 35 12 1 0	1,794
70	18	13	2	0	0.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 28 42 21 3 0	1,768
69	17	14	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 20 45 27 5 0	1,884
68	17	14	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 39 38 9 0	1,890
67	16	15	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 33 43 15 0	1,633
66	16	15	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 25 45 24 1	1,551
65	15	16	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 18 45 32 3	1,344
64	15	16	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 40 43 5	1,132
63	14	17	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 34 52 8	929
62	14	17	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 23 59 15	726
61	12	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 18 57 25	531
60	12	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 57 31	411
59	11	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 38 55	237
58	11	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 34 65	223
57	10	19	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 26 72	162
56	10	19	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 75	88
55	9	20	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 86	57
54	9	20	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 97	33
53	8	21	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	13
52	8	21	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	12
51	7	22	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	10
50	7	22	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	8
49	6	23	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	3
48	6	23	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	1