Tucson Roadrunners
63 points
27-23-9-0
Playoff chances: 27.1%
Current Streak:
2W
Unbeaten in Regulation:
3 games
Recent Games
Sun Mar 15
Sun 03-15
SJ
4
@
TUC
5
Sat Mar 14
Sat 03-14
SJ
4
@
TUC
6
Wed Mar 11
Wed 03-11
HSK
7
@
OT
TUC
6
Tue Mar 10
Tue 03-10
HSK
5
@
TUC
0
Sat Mar 07
Sat 03-07
TUC
0
@
BAK
2
Fri Mar 06
Fri 03-06
TUC
3
@
OT
BAK
2
Wed Mar 04
Wed 03-04
TUC
1
@
ONT
4
Sun Mar 01
Sun 03-01
TUC
6
@
SJ
4
Sat Feb 28
Sat 02-28
TUC
3
@
SJ
5
Wed Feb 25
Wed 02-25
TUC
2
@
OT
SD
1
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Saturday, March 21
Importance: 7
Playoff race implications
Teams very close in standings
Quality matchup
Conference matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Monday, March 23
Importance: 5
Playoff race implications
Teams very close in standings
Quality matchup
Conference matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 27
Importance: -1
Game in 6 days
Playoff race implications
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 28
Importance: -2
Game in 7 days
Playoff race implications
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, April 01
Importance: -3
Game in 11 days
Playoff race implications
Teams close in standings
Quality matchup
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, April 03
Importance: -7
Game in 13 days
Team on 6-game winning streak
Playoff race implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, April 04
Importance: -8
Game in 14 days
Team on 6-game winning streak
Playoff race implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, April 08
Importance: -13
Game in 18 days
Playoff race implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Tucson Roadrunners.
Last 10 Games
Record:
5-4-1-0
Points:
11 (.550)
Goal Differential:
-6
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
+0.0%
vs Conference Avg:
-1.2%
vs Division Avg:
-0.5%
Last 7 Days
Record:
2-1-1-0
Points:
5 (.625)
Goal Differential:
-3
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
+9.3%
vs Conference Avg:
+8.2%
vs Division Avg:
+9.4%
Last 30 Days
Record:
6-7-1-0
Points:
13 (.464)
Goal Differential:
-14
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-9.2%
vs Conference Avg:
-10.8%
vs Division Avg:
-10.6%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
27.1%
Win Round 1:
8.9%
Win Round 2:
2.7%
Win Round 3:
0.7%
Win Round 4:
0.3%
🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆:
0.1%
Expected Playoff Games:
4.4
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.5
Home vs Away
Home:
13-12-7-0
(.516)
-6.2% vs league -7.1% vs conf -9.3% vs div
-6.2% vs league -7.1% vs conf -9.3% vs div
Away:
14-11-2-0
(.556)
+1.0% vs league +1.7% vs conf +1.5% vs div
+1.0% vs league +1.7% vs conf +1.5% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
3-4-1-0
(.438)
November 2025
5-5-1-0
(.500)
December 2025
4-3-3-0
(.550)
January 2026
7-3-3-0
(.654)
February 2026
4-5-0-0
(.444)
March 2026
4-3-1-0
(.562)
By Opponent Conference
Eastern Conference:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Western Conference:
27-23-9-0
(.534)
By Opponent Division
Atlantic Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
North Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Central Division:
3-2-1-0
(.583)
Pacific Division:
24-21-8-0
(.528)
After Previous Result
After Win:
10-11-5-0
(.481)
After Reg. Loss:
12-8-3-0
(.587)
After OTL:
4-4-1-0
(.500)
After SOL:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
9-8-6-0
(.522)
1 Day Rest:
6-2-1-0
(.722)
2 Days Rest:
4-6-2-0
(.417)
3+ Days Rest:
7-7-0-0
(.500)
By Day of Week
Monday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Tuesday:
0-2-1-0
(.167)
Wednesday:
2-6-2-0
(.300)
Thursday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Friday:
9-5-1-0
(.633)
Saturday:
10-7-3-0
(.575)
Sunday:
6-3-2-0
(.636)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
2 game winning streak
(Mar 14 - Mar 15)
Current Unbeaten in Regulation:
3 games
(Mar 11 - Mar 15)
Longest Win Streak:
5 game
(Jan 02 - Jan 16)
Longest Loss Streak:
4 game
(Jan 17 - Jan 24)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
10 game
(Dec 27 - Jan 20)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
9 game
(Jan 17 - Feb 04)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
14-3-9-0
(.712)
Two-Goal Games:
4-12
(.250)
Three-Goal Games:
5-3
(.625)
4+ Goals:
4-5
(.444)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
16-20-7-0
(.453)
vs Below .500:
11-3-2-0
(.750)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
2.93
Avg Goals Against:
3.93
Avg Goal Differential:
-1.00
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.562
SOS Rank:
#17
RPI:
.555
RPI Rank:
#18
Performance vs Expected
63
Points
63.1
.534
Points %
.535
-14
Goal Diff
-17.0
188
Goals For
171.2
202
Goals Against
188.2
27
Wins
31.5
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 10
95%:
Oct 10
90%:
Oct 10
75%:
Oct 10
Recent Trend:
↘ Decreasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
3.1% on Oct 10
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
19th since Mar 19
Best Position:
11th on Oct 24
Worst Position:
28th on Dec 21
Recent Change:
↘ 19th from 18th (Feb 18-Mar 20)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
12th since Mar 19
Best Position:
4th on Oct 24
Worst Position:
15th on Dec 20
Recent Change:
↘ 12th from 9th (Feb 18-Mar 20)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
8th since Mar 04
Best Position:
3rd on Oct 18
Worst Position:
9th on Nov 14
Recent Change:
↘ 8th from 7th (Feb 18-Mar 20)
Magic/Tragic Numbers
Playoffs
Magic Number:
28
Tragic Number:
22
Pacific Division Championship
Status:
Eliminated
Western Conference Championship
Status:
Eliminated
Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy Championship
Status:
Eliminated
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the TUC finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 | 10,000 |
| 88 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |
| 87 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 33 33 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 12 |
| 86 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 8 27 50 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 26 |
| 85 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 11 37 40 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 82 |
| 84 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 98.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 3 16 45 30 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 158 |
| 83 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 32 43 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 320 |
| 82 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 84.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 12 44 35 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 428 |
| 81 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 69.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 29 45 18 3 0 0 0 0 0 | 703 |
| 80 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 53.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15 40 36 8 0 0 0 0 0 | 861 |
| 79 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 35.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 29 44 21 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,065 |
| 78 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 15 45 37 2 0 0 0 0 | 1,055 |
| 77 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 38 50 5 0 0 0 0 | 1,212 |
| 76 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 23 65 10 0 0 0 0 | 1,102 |
| 75 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 67 19 0 0 0 0 | 976 |
| 74 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 67 28 0 0 0 0 | 742 |
| 73 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 58 39 1 0 0 0 | 509 |
| 72 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 51 46 2 0 0 0 | 319 |
| 71 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 62 3 0 0 0 | 218 |
| 70 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 75 6 0 0 0 | 100 |
| 69 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 66 18 0 0 0 | 74 |
| 68 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 57 33 5 0 0 | 21 |
| 67 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 38 62 0 0 0 | 8 |
| 66 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 50 17 0 0 | 6 |
| 65 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 | 2 |