Tucson Roadrunners - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

46 points

19-15-8-0

Playoff chances: 61.7%

Current Streak: 2L

Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game

Winless in Regulation: 8 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

COL 3

TUC 2

Fri Jan 30 Fri 01-30

COL 3

TUC 1

Wed Jan 28 Wed 01-28

TUC 4

SD 3

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

TUC 3

HSK 2

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

TUC 3

HSK 4

Wed Jan 21 Wed 01-21

SD 5

TUC 3

Tue Jan 20 Tue 01-20

SD 3

TUC 2

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

SJ 4

TUC 3

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

SJ 2

TUC 4

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

IA 4

TUC 5

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, February 04 Importance: 2

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

Ontario Reign 58 pts (100%)

Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 06 Importance: 1

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

Calgary Wranglers 42 pts (8%)

Game in 5 days Teams close in standings Division matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 07 Importance: 0

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

Calgary Wranglers 42 pts (8%)

Game in 6 days Teams close in standings Division matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 13 Importance: -4

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

Coachella Valley Firebirds 49 pts (95%)

Game in 12 days Team on 3-game losing streak Playoff race implications Teams close in standings High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 15 Importance: -7

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

Coachella Valley Firebirds 49 pts (95%)

Game in 14 days Team on 3-game losing streak Playoff race implications Teams close in standings High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 21 Importance: -18

Ontario Reign 58 pts (100%)

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

Game in 20 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, February 25 Importance: -23

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

San Diego Gulls 49 pts (70%)

Game in 24 days Playoff race implications Teams close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 22 Importance: -25

Ontario Reign 58 pts (100%)

Tucson Roadrunners 46 pts (62%)

Game in 21 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Tucson Roadrunners.

Last 10 Games

Record: 4-3-3-0

Points: 11 (.550)

Goal Differential: -3

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -1.2%

vs Conference Avg: +0.6%

vs Division Avg: +0.0%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-2-1-0

Points: 5 (.500)

Goal Differential: -2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -7.0%

vs Conference Avg: -5.9%

vs Division Avg: -2.9%

Last 30 Days

Record: 7-3-3-0

Points: 17 (.654)

Goal Differential: +5

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +8.6%

vs Conference Avg: +9.9%

vs Division Avg: +7.9%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 61.7%

Win Round 1: 24.0%

Win Round 2: 8.5%

Win Round 3: 3.2%

Win Round 4: 0.8%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 0.3%

Expected Playoff Games: 5.0

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.6

Home vs Away

Home: 11-9-6-0 (.538)

-4.4% vs league -5.1% vs conf -7.8% vs div

Away: 8-6-2-0 (.562)

+1.3% vs league +1.9% vs conf +1.7% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-4-1-0 (.438)

November 2025

5-5-1-0 (.500)

December 2025

4-3-3-0 (.550)

January 2026

7-3-3-0 (.654)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Western Conference:

19-15-8-0 (.548)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

North Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Central Division:

3-2-1-0 (.583)

Pacific Division:

16-13-7-0 (.542)

After Previous Result

After Win:

8-6-5-0 (.553)

After Reg. Loss:

7-6-2-0 (.533)

After OTL:

3-3-1-0 (.500)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

6-6-5-0 (.500)

1 Day Rest:

3-2-1-0 (.583)

2 Days Rest:

2-3-2-0 (.429)

3+ Days Rest:

7-4-0-0 (.636)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-1-1-0 (.250)

Wednesday:

1-4-1-0 (.250)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

7-4-1-0 (.625)

Saturday:

8-4-3-0 (.633)

Sunday:

3-2-2-0 (.571)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game losing streak (Jan 30 - Jan 31)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game (Started Jan 31)

Current Winless in Regulation: 8 games (Jan 17 - Jan 31)

Longest Win Streak: 5 game (Jan 02 - Jan 16)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Jan 17 - Jan 24)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 10 game (Dec 27 - Jan 20)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 8 game (Jan 17 - Jan 31)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

9-3-8-0 (.650)

Two-Goal Games:

2-8 (.200)

Three-Goal Games:

5-2 (.714)

4+ Goals:

3-2 (.600)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

10-12-6-0 (.464)

vs Below .500:

9-3-2-0 (.714)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.15

Avg Goals Against: 2.77

Avg Goal Differential: +0.38

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .557

SOS Rank: #23

RPI: .558

RPI Rank: #18

Performance vs Expected

46 Points 46.7

.548 Points % .556

-1 Goal Diff -3.8

133 Goals For 124.1

134 Goals Against 127.9

19 Wins 23.3

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

50%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.1% on Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 20th since Jan 31

Best Position: 11th on Oct 24

Worst Position: 28th on Dec 21

Recent Change: ↗ 20th from 25th (Jan 01-31)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 9th since Jan 28

Best Position: 4th on Oct 19

Worst Position: 15th on Dec 20

Recent Change: ↗ 9th from 14th (Jan 01-31)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 7th since Jan 16

Best Position: 2nd on Oct 19

Worst Position: 9th on Nov 14

Recent Change: ↗ 7th from 9th (Jan 01-31)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 54

Tragic Number: 63

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the TUC finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17	2,500
96	24	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
95	24	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 40 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5
94	23	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
93	23	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 25 25 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	4
92	22	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 9 54 18 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	11
91	22	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 27 33 33 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	15
90	21	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 4 29 33 12 17 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	24
89	21	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 2 6 31 45 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	51
88	20	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 6 12 50 28 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	50
87	20	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 1 8 30 44 13 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	84
86	19	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 2 16 42 30 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	97
85	19	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 11 30 41 15 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	98
84	18	10	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 5 22 41 28 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	144
83	17	11	2	0	96.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 9 37 35 15 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	153
82	17	11	2	0	94.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 7 17 45 26 5 1 0 0 0 0 0	149
81	16	11	2	1	84.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 2 12 37 30 16 4 0 0 0 0 0	192
80	15	12	2	1	74.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 25 36 26 5 0 0 0 0 0	177
79	15	12	2	1	67.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 20 35 32 12 0 0 0 0 0	193
78	14	13	2	1	54.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 33 34 20 4 0 0 0 0	184
77	14	13	2	1	35.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 22 35 33 8 1 0 0 0	181
76	13	13	3	1	23.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 35 45 12 1 0 0 0	156
75	12	14	3	1	15.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 19 42 32 4 0 0 0	123
74	12	14	3	1	13.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10 33 42 11 2 0 0	108
73	11	15	3	1	4.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 21 45 30 0 0 0	95
72	11	15	3	1	6.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 18 47 25 5 0 0	60
71	10	16	3	1	3.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 45 38 6 0 0	53
70	10	16	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 36 36 21 0 0	33
69	9	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 26 44 26 0 0	23
68	9	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 47 47 0 0	17
67	8	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 33 50 0 0	6
66	8	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 80 0 0	5
65	7	18	4	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 50 17 0	6
64	6	19	4	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1