Syracuse Crunch - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

77 points

36-19-3-2

Playoff chances: 100.0%

Current Streak: 1W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 2 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

SYR 5

ROC 3

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

LAV 4

SYR 3

Fri Mar 13 Fri 03-13

LV 4

SYR 1

Wed Mar 11 Wed 03-11

TOR 5

SYR 1

Sun Mar 08 Sun 03-08

SYR 4

UTC 1

Fri Mar 06 Fri 03-06

WBS 2

SYR 3

Wed Mar 04 Wed 03-04

SYR 2

LAV 0

Sun Mar 01 Sun 03-01

ROC 1

SYR 3

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

LAV 4

SYR 6

Sat Feb 21 Sat 02-21

CLT 4

SYR 3

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Saturday, March 21 Importance: 7

Cleveland Monsters 73 pts (100%)

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game Home team on back-to-back

Sunday, March 22 Importance: 7

Cleveland Monsters 73 pts (100%)

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 27 Importance: -1

Hershey Bears 62 pts (95%)

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Some playoff implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 28 Importance: -1

Rochester Americans 59 pts (86%)

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Some playoff implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: -2

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Rochester Americans 59 pts (86%)

Game in 8 days Some playoff implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: -9

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Springfield Thunderbirds 56 pts (33%)

Game in 14 days Playoff race implications Quality matchup Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 03 Importance: -9

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Game in 13 days Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, April 08 Importance: -13

Rochester Americans 59 pts (86%)

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Game in 18 days Some playoff implications High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Syracuse Crunch.

Last 10 Games

Record: 6-3-0-1

Points: 13 (.650)

Goal Differential: +3

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +10.0%

vs Conference Avg: +11.3%

vs Division Avg: +12.1%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-1-0-1

Points: 3 (.500)

Goal Differential: -2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -3.2%

vs Conference Avg: -1.9%

vs Division Avg: -7.7%

Last 30 Days

Record: 8-3-0-1

Points: 17 (.708)

Goal Differential: +8

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +15.2%

vs Conference Avg: +17.1%

vs Division Avg: +18.4%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 99.1%

Win Round 2: 63.5%

Win Round 3: 35.5%

Win Round 4: 17.2%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 7.9%

Expected Playoff Games: 9.8

Expected Playoff Rounds: 3.2

Home vs Away

Home: 18-7-1-1 (.704)

+12.6% vs league +13.6% vs conf +11.3% vs div

Away: 18-12-2-1 (.591)

+4.5% vs league +3.8% vs conf +6.4% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

7-1-0-0 (.875)

November 2025

6-6-0-0 (.500)

December 2025

4-4-1-1 (.500)

January 2026

6-5-2-0 (.538)

February 2026

8-1-0-0 (.889)

March 2026

5-2-0-1 (.688)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

36-19-3-2 (.642)

Western Conference:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

14-7-0-0 (.667)

North Division:

22-12-3-2 (.628)

Central Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Pacific Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

23-12-0-0 (.657)

After Reg. Loss:

10-4-3-2 (.658)

After OTL:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

After SOL:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

9-8-0-1 (.528)

1 Day Rest:

11-4-1-0 (.719)

2 Days Rest:

4-3-0-0 (.571)

3+ Days Rest:

11-4-2-1 (.694)

By Day of Week

Monday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Tuesday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Wednesday:

8-5-0-0 (.615)

Thursday:

0-1-1-0 (.250)

Friday:

9-5-1-0 (.633)

Saturday:

12-6-1-2 (.643)

Sunday:

5-2-0-0 (.714)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game winning streak (Started Mar 20)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 2 games (Mar 14 - Mar 20)

Longest Win Streak: 7 game (Feb 04 - Feb 20)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Dec 20 - Jan 01)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 game (Feb 04 - Feb 20)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Dec 20 - Jan 01)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

8-6-3-2 (.553)

Two-Goal Games:

13-3 (.812)

Three-Goal Games:

8-8 (.500)

4+ Goals:

7-2 (.778)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

19-14-3-2 (.566)

vs Below .500:

17-5-0-0 (.773)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.08

Avg Goals Against: 2.42

Avg Goal Differential: +0.67

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .554

SOS Rank: #22

RPI: .572

RPI Rank: #12

Performance vs Expected

77 Points 76.7

.642 Points % .639

+42 Goal Diff +47.9

194 Goals For 208.1

152 Goals Against 160.2

36 Wins 38.3

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

95%: Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 43.9% on Oct 10

35%: Oct 10

25%: Oct 10

15%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 7th since Mar 20

Best Position: 3rd on Oct 31

Worst Position: 14th on Feb 03

Recent Change: → 7th position (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 4th since Feb 07

Best Position: 2nd on Oct 12

Worst Position: 7th on Nov 16

Recent Change: → 4th position (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Feb 04

Best Position: 1st on Oct 18

Worst Position: 4th on Feb 03

Recent Change: → 2nd position (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 1

Tragic Number: 43

North Division Championship

Magic Number: 25

Tragic Number: 19

Eastern Conference Championship

Status: Eliminated

Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the SYR finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	10,000
101	11	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 90 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	10
100	11	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 95 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	20
99	10	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 85 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	85
98	10	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 64 33 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	157
97	9	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 45 46 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	352
96	9	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 31 56 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	460
95	8	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 16 55 27 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	776
94	8	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 6 48 41 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	959
93	7	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 2 29 57 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,190
92	7	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 1 19 57 21 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,162
91	6	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 7 52 37 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,254
90	6	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 3 38 51 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,000
89	5	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 1 24 55 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	897
88	5	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 10 52 36 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	613
87	4	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 6 40 46 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	465
86	4	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 3 22 58 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	258
85	3	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 12 57 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	184
84	3	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 2 38 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	86
83	2	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 4 34 60 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	50
82	2	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 25 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	12
81	1	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 33 33 17 17 0 0 0 0 0 0	6
80	1	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 25 50 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	4