Providence Bruins - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

93 points

46-13-1-0

Playoff chances: CLINCHED

Current Streak: 1W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Fri Mar 20 Fri 03-20

PRO 4

UTC 3

Wed Mar 18 Wed 03-18

PRO 3

LV 6

Sun Mar 15 Sun 03-15

SPR 4

PRO 3

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

HFD 0

PRO 7

Wed Mar 11 Wed 03-11

PRO 3

SPR 2

Sun Mar 08 Sun 03-08

HER 4

PRO 5

Sat Mar 07 Sat 03-07

PRO 1

BRI 4

Wed Mar 04 Wed 03-04

PRO 3

HFD 2

Sun Mar 01 Sun 03-01

BRI 2

PRO 3

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

BRI 2

PRO 3

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, March 25 Importance: 2

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Springfield Thunderbirds 56 pts (33%)

Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 21 Importance: 2

Utica Comets 53 pts (1%)

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

High quality matchup Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Saturday, March 28 Importance: -1

Bridgeport Islanders 56 pts (64%)

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: -2

Springfield Thunderbirds 56 pts (33%)

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Game in 8 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 03 Importance: -9

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Syracuse Crunch 77 pts (100%)

Game in 13 days Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, April 01 Importance: -10

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Utica Comets 53 pts (1%)

Game in 11 days High quality matchup Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: -12

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Rochester Americans 59 pts (86%)

Game in 14 days Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 10 Importance: -18

Providence Bruins 93 pts (100%)

Hartford Wolf Pack 54 pts (21%)

Game in 20 days Some playoff implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Providence Bruins.

Last 10 Games

Record: 7-3-0-0

Points: 14 (.700)

Goal Differential: +6

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +15.0%

vs Conference Avg: +16.3%

vs Division Avg: +15.6%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-2-0-0

Points: 4 (.500)

Goal Differential: +4

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -3.2%

vs Conference Avg: -1.9%

vs Division Avg: +3.1%

Last 30 Days

Record: 9-5-0-0

Points: 18 (.643)

Goal Differential: +7

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +8.7%

vs Conference Avg: +10.5%

vs Division Avg: +9.3%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 100.0%

Win Round 2: 75.6%

Win Round 3: 49.3%

Win Round 4: 32.4%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 19.3%

Expected Playoff Games: 11.8

Expected Playoff Rounds: 3.6

Home vs Away

Home: 23-7-0-0 (.767)

+18.9% vs league +19.9% vs conf +22.0% vs div

Away: 23-6-1-0 (.783)

+23.8% vs league +23.1% vs conf +20.8% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

7-0-0-0 (1.000)

November 2025

9-3-0-0 (.750)

December 2025

5-3-1-0 (.611)

January 2026

10-2-0-0 (.833)

February 2026

9-2-0-0 (.818)

March 2026

6-3-0-0 (.667)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

46-13-1-0 (.775)

Western Conference:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

33-11-1-0 (.744)

North Division:

13-2-0-0 (.867)

Central Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Pacific Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

33-11-1-0 (.744)

After Reg. Loss:

11-2-0-0 (.846)

After OTL:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

14-7-1-0 (.659)

1 Day Rest:

6-1-0-0 (.857)

2 Days Rest:

11-4-0-0 (.733)

3+ Days Rest:

14-1-0-0 (.933)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Wednesday:

8-3-0-0 (.727)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

11-0-0-0 (1.000)

Saturday:

15-5-1-0 (.738)

Sunday:

12-4-0-0 (.750)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game winning streak (Started Mar 20)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game (Started Mar 20)

Longest Win Streak: 13 game (Jan 17 - Feb 20)

Longest Loss Streak: 2 game (Feb 21 - Feb 22)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 13 game (Jan 17 - Feb 20)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Nov 08 - Nov 16)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

19-3-1-0 (.848)

Two-Goal Games:

11-4 (.733)

Three-Goal Games:

11-5 (.688)

4+ Goals:

5-1 (.833)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

18-6-1-0 (.740)

vs Below .500:

28-7-0-0 (.800)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.57

Avg Goals Against: 3.07

Avg Goal Differential: +0.50

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .547

SOS Rank: #28

RPI: .601

RPI Rank: #2

Performance vs Expected

93 Points 90.0

.775 Points % .750

+69 Goal Diff +107.8

202 Goals For 244.2

133 Goals Against 136.5

46 Wins 45.0

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

95%: Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 76.8% on Oct 29

35%: Oct 17

25%: Oct 17

15%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Mar 14

Best Position: 1st on Oct 29

Worst Position: 16th on Oct 11

Recent Change: ↗ 1st from 2nd (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Jan 24

Best Position: 1st on Oct 12

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 11

Recent Change: → 1st position (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Jan 24

Best Position: 1st on Oct 11

Worst Position: 2nd on Oct 17

Recent Change: → 1st position (Feb 18-Mar 20)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Status: Clinched Playoffs

Atlantic Division Championship

Magic Number: 12

Tragic Number: 34

Eastern Conference Championship

Magic Number: 12

Tragic Number: 34

Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the PRO finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	10,000
117	11	1	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	24
116	11	1	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	34
115	10	2	0	0	In	98.7%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	150
114	10	2	0	0	In	99.1%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	225
113	9	3	0	0	In	92.5%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	469
112	9	3	0	0	In	88.7%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	626
111	8	4	0	0	In	81.9%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,021
110	8	4	0	0	In	70.2%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,060
109	7	5	0	0	In	58.2%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,343
108	7	5	0	0	In	46.5%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,255
107	6	6	0	0	In	36.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,107
106	6	6	0	0	In	21.7%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	874
105	5	6	1	0	In	16.3%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	711
104	5	6	1	0	In	13.1%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	457
103	4	7	1	0	In	6.5%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	306
102	4	7	1	0	In	2.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	151
101	3	8	1	0	In	3.4%	97 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	118
100	3	8	1	0	In	0.0%	95 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	40
99	2	9	1	0	In	0.0%	77 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	13
98	2	9	1	0	In	0.0%	88 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	8
97	1	10	1	0	In	0.0%	86 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	7
96	1	10	1	0	In	0.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1