Providence Bruins - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

63 points

31-8-1-0

Playoff chances: 100.0%

Current Streak: 6W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

PRO 4

CLT 1

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

TOR 3

PRO 4

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

PRO 4

BRI 3

Fri Jan 23 Fri 01-23

BEL 1

PRO 2

Sun Jan 18 Sun 01-18

CLE 2

PRO 6

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

CLE 0

PRO 5

Wed Jan 14 Wed 01-14

WBS 4

PRO 1

Sun Jan 11 Sun 01-11

LV 2

PRO 4

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

PRO 1

HFD 5

Fri Jan 09 Fri 01-09

BRI 1

PRO 4

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Sunday, February 01 Importance: 11

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Charlotte Checkers 53 pts (100%)

Championship race implications Team on 6-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams somewhat close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Wednesday, February 04 Importance: 3

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Bridgeport Islanders 40 pts (83%)

Team on 6-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 06 Importance: 0

Hartford Wolf Pack 37 pts (11%)

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Game in 5 days Team on 6-game winning streak Team on 4-game losing streak Some playoff implications High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 07 Importance: -1

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Hartford Wolf Pack 37 pts (11%)

Game in 6 days Team on 4-game losing streak Team on 6-game winning streak Some playoff implications High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -10

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Bridgeport Islanders 40 pts (83%)

Game in 13 days Team on 6-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 15 Importance: -11

Bridgeport Islanders 40 pts (83%)

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Game in 14 days Team on 6-game winning streak Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 20 Importance: -15

Belleville Senators 46 pts (51%)

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Game in 19 days Team on 6-game winning streak Playoff race implications Elite quality matchup Conference matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 21 Importance: -17

Providence Bruins 63 pts (100%)

Springfield Thunderbirds 38 pts (24%)

Game in 20 days Team on 6-game winning streak Some playoff implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Providence Bruins.

Last 10 Games

Record: 8-2-0-0

Points: 16 (.800)

Goal Differential: +13

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +23.8%

vs Conference Avg: +21.7%

vs Division Avg: +21.9%

Last 7 Days

Record: 3-0-0-0

Points: 6 (1.000)

Goal Differential: +5

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +43.0%

vs Conference Avg: +41.7%

vs Division Avg: +42.2%

Last 30 Days

Record: 10-2-0-0

Points: 20 (.833)

Goal Differential: +18

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +26.6%

vs Conference Avg: +25.1%

vs Division Avg: +26.4%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 99.4%

Win Round 2: 74.5%

Win Round 3: 46.8%

Win Round 4: 33.9%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 19.4%

Expected Playoff Games: 11.7

Expected Playoff Rounds: 3.5

Home vs Away

Home: 16-5-0-0 (.762)

+17.9% vs league +18.6% vs conf +19.1% vs div

Away: 15-3-1-0 (.816)

+26.6% vs league +25.8% vs conf +23.5% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

7-0-0-0 (1.000)

November 2025

9-3-0-0 (.750)

December 2025

5-3-1-0 (.611)

January 2026

10-2-0-0 (.833)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

31-8-1-0 (.787)

Western Conference:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

20-6-1-0 (.759)

North Division:

11-2-0-0 (.846)

Central Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Pacific Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

21-8-1-0 (.717)

After Reg. Loss:

8-0-0-0 (1.000)

After OTL:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

9-4-1-0 (.679)

1 Day Rest:

4-1-0-0 (.800)

2 Days Rest:

5-2-0-0 (.714)

3+ Days Rest:

12-1-0-0 (.923)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Wednesday:

4-2-0-0 (.667)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

8-0-0-0 (1.000)

Saturday:

11-3-1-0 (.767)

Sunday:

8-2-0-0 (.800)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 6 game winning streak (Jan 17 - Jan 31)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games (Jan 17 - Jan 31)

Longest Win Streak: 7 game (Oct 11 - Oct 29)

Longest Loss Streak: 1 game (Nov 01)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 game (Oct 11 - Oct 29)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Nov 08 - Nov 16)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

10-1-1-0 (.875)

Two-Goal Games:

8-4 (.667)

Three-Goal Games:

9-2 (.818)

4+ Goals:

4-1 (.800)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

18-5-1-0 (.771)

vs Below .500:

13-3-0-0 (.812)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.50

Avg Goals Against: 2.00

Avg Goal Differential: +1.50

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .547

SOS Rank: #25

RPI: .605

RPI Rank: #2

Performance vs Expected

63 Points 57.8

.787 Points % .722

+52 Goal Diff +60.0

135 Goals For 153.7

83 Goals Against 93.7

31 Wins 28.9

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

50%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 76.8% on Oct 29

30%: Oct 17

20%: Oct 17

10%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: ↗ Increasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Jan 24

Best Position: 1st on Oct 29

Worst Position: 16th on Oct 11

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 3rd (Jan 01-31)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Jan 24

Best Position: 1st on Oct 17

Worst Position: 4th on Oct 12

Recent Change: ↗ 1st from 2nd (Jan 01-31)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Jan 24

Best Position: 1st on Oct 19

Worst Position: 4th on Oct 11

Recent Change: ↗ 1st from 2nd (Jan 01-31)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 39

Tragic Number: 89

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the PRO finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	2,500
119	27	5	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5
118	27	5	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5
117	26	5	1	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	8
116	26	5	1	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	17
115	25	6	1	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	13
114	25	6	1	0	In	95.2%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	21
113	24	7	1	0	In	89.1%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	64
112	24	7	1	0	In	86.5%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	52
111	23	8	1	0	In	84.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	75
110	23	8	1	0	In	75.5%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	102
109	22	9	1	0	In	67.7%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	133
108	22	9	1	0	In	59.7%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	154
107	21	10	1	0	In	53.1%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	162
106	21	10	1	0	In	39.8%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	196
105	20	10	2	0	In	29.1%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	213
104	19	11	2	0	In	21.4%	98 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	196
103	19	11	2	0	In	17.4%	98 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	207
102	18	11	2	1	In	10.4%	93 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	182
101	17	12	2	1	In	9.4%	91 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	149
100	17	12	2	1	In	2.0%	81 18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	152
99	16	13	2	1	In	4.7%	81 15 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	86
98	16	13	2	1	In	2.2%	64 32 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	90
97	15	13	3	1	In	0.0%	59 34 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	58
96	14	14	3	1	In	0.0%	48 48 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	59
95	14	14	3	1	In	0.0%	36 48 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	33
94	13	15	3	1	In	0.0%	12 42 42 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	26
93	13	15	3	1	In	0.0%	15 35 45 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	20
92	12	16	3	1	In	0.0%	0 22 33 44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	9
91	12	16	3	1	In	0.0%	0 14 29 43 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	7
90	11	17	3	1	In	0.0%	0 33 33 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
89	11	17	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
88	10	18	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2