Bakersfield Condors - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

55 points

24-12-7-0

Playoff chances: 99.3%

Current Streak: 2W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

ABB 2

BAK 3

Fri Jan 30 Fri 01-30

ABB 2

BAK 7

Wed Jan 28 Wed 01-28

BAK 1

HSK 2

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

BAK 3

SJ 5

Fri Jan 23 Fri 01-23

COL 4

BAK 1

Wed Jan 21 Wed 01-21

COL 0

BAK 3

Sun Jan 18 Sun 01-18

BAK 1

CGY 0

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

BAK 5

CGY 1

Sun Jan 11 Sun 01-11

ONT 0

BAK 3

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

BAK 3

SJ 4

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Friday, February 06 Importance: 4

Ontario Reign 58 pts (100%)

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

Game in 5 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 07 Importance: 2

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

Ontario Reign 58 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Tuesday, February 03 Importance: 2

Calgary Wranglers 42 pts (8%)

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 13 Importance: -7

San Diego Gulls 49 pts (70%)

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

Game in 12 days Playoff race implications Teams moderately close in standings High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -9

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

San Diego Gulls 49 pts (70%)

Game in 13 days Playoff race implications Teams moderately close in standings High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, February 18 Importance: -13

Coachella Valley Firebirds 49 pts (95%)

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

Game in 17 days Team on 3-game losing streak Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late in season series Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 20 Importance: -17

Calgary Wranglers 42 pts (8%)

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

Game in 19 days Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Tuesday, February 24 Importance: -26

Bakersfield Condors 55 pts (99%)

Colorado Eagles 60 pts (100%)

Game in 23 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Bakersfield Condors.

Last 10 Games

Record: 6-2-2-0

Points: 14 (.700)

Goal Differential: +10

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +13.7%

vs Conference Avg: +15.6%

vs Division Avg: +15.0%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-1-1-0

Points: 5 (.625)

Goal Differential: +3

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +5.5%

vs Conference Avg: +6.6%

vs Division Avg: +9.6%

Last 30 Days

Record: 10-2-2-0

Points: 22 (.786)

Goal Differential: +19

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +21.8%

vs Conference Avg: +23.1%

vs Division Avg: +21.1%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 99.3%

Win Round 1: 59.1%

Win Round 2: 29.9%

Win Round 3: 15.0%

Win Round 4: 6.1%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 2.3%

Expected Playoff Games: 7.1

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.1

Home vs Away

Home: 15-4-1-0 (.775)

+19.2% vs league +18.6% vs conf +15.9% vs div

Away: 9-8-6-0 (.522)

-2.8% vs league -2.1% vs conf -2.4% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-3-1-0 (.500)

November 2025

5-3-3-0 (.591)

December 2025

6-4-1-0 (.591)

January 2026

10-2-2-0 (.786)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Western Conference:

24-12-7-0 (.640)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

North Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Central Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Pacific Division:

24-12-7-0 (.640)

After Previous Result

After Win:

13-8-2-0 (.609)

After Reg. Loss:

6-1-5-0 (.708)

After OTL:

5-2-0-0 (.714)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

11-3-1-0 (.767)

1 Day Rest:

4-2-1-0 (.643)

2 Days Rest:

3-2-4-0 (.556)

3+ Days Rest:

6-4-1-0 (.591)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

2-1-1-0 (.625)

Wednesday:

4-3-1-0 (.562)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

5-4-2-0 (.545)

Saturday:

10-3-3-0 (.719)

Sunday:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game winning streak (Jan 30 - Jan 31)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games (Jan 28 - Jan 31)

Longest Win Streak: 5 game (Dec 31 - Jan 07)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Oct 28 - Nov 02)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 10 game (Dec 31 - Jan 21)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 5 game (Dec 10 - Dec 19)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

8-3-7-0 (.639)

Two-Goal Games:

4-1 (.800)

Three-Goal Games:

7-5 (.583)

4+ Goals:

5-3 (.625)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

17-11-6-0 (.588)

vs Below .500:

7-1-1-0 (.833)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.21

Avg Goals Against: 1.86

Avg Goal Differential: +1.36

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .570

SOS Rank: #12

RPI: .580

RPI Rank: #8

Performance vs Expected

55 Points 54.3

.640 Points % .632

+18 Goal Diff +29.4

150 Goals For 144.6

132 Goals Against 115.2

24 Wins 27.2

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

50%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 7.1% on Oct 11

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 7th since Jan 31

Best Position: 6th on Jan 18

Worst Position: 27th on Nov 06

Recent Change: ↗ 7th from 17th (Jan 01-31)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 4th since Jan 11

Best Position: 4th on Jan 06

Worst Position: 17th on Oct 17

Recent Change: ↗ 4th from 9th (Jan 01-31)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Jan 11

Best Position: 3rd on Nov 18

Worst Position: 10th on Oct 11

Recent Change: ↗ 3rd from 7th (Jan 01-31)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 46

Tragic Number: 67

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the BAK finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17	2,500
110	27	2	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
106	25	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
105	24	5	0	0	In	0.0%	50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	4
104	24	5	0	0	In	25.0%	25 75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	4
103	23	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	6
102	23	5	1	0	In	0.0%	22 72 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	18
101	22	6	1	0	In	0.0%	6 88 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	17
100	22	6	1	0	In	0.0%	3 85 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	39
99	21	7	1	0	In	0.0%	2 70 24 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	54
98	21	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 67 29 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	58
97	20	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 45 46 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	80
96	20	8	1	0	In	0.0%	1 32 51 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	115
95	19	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 26 46 25 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	148
94	19	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 13 42 34 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	154
93	18	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 6 30 42 20 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	183
92	18	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 20 50 22 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	206
91	17	10	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 16 40 31 12 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	196
90	16	11	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 6 28 37 25 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	205
89	16	11	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 3 19 38 33 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	175
88	15	11	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 10 36 39 12 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	198
87	14	12	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 4 24 44 26 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	151
86	14	12	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 1 12 32 44 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	130
85	13	13	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 5 28 37 21 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	94
84	13	13	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 15 40 30 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	91
83	12	13	3	1	98.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 8 26 37 24 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	49
82	11	14	3	1	97.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 4 16 36 32 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	44
81	11	14	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 4 12 20 32 28 4 0 0 0 0 0 0	25
80	10	15	3	1	90.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 18 46 4 9 0 0 0 0 0	22
79	10	15	3	1	66.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 44 22 11 22 0 0 0 0 0	9
78	9	16	3	1	61.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 8 38 23 8 0 0 0 0	13
77	9	16	3	1	75.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 50 25 0 0 0 0 0	4
76	8	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0	2
75	8	17	3	1	50.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 0 50 0 0 0 0	2
73	7	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 0 0 0 0	2