Manitoba Moose - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

45 points

21-15-3-0

Playoff chances: 98.7%

Current Streak: 2W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 2 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

RFD 1

MB 4

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

GR 2

MB 3

Fri Jan 23 Fri 01-23

GR 2

MB 1

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

MB 3

LAV 0

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

MB 2

LAV 1

Tue Jan 13 Tue 01-13

MB 2

RFD 6

Sun Jan 11 Sun 01-11

MB 3

CHI 4

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

MB 3

RFD 2

Thu Jan 08 Thu 01-08

MB 3

MIL 7

Fri Jan 02 Fri 01-02

ABB 1

MB 4

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Sunday, February 01 Importance: 5

Rockford IceHogs 36 pts (20%)

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Team on 4-game losing streak Some playoff implications Teams somewhat close in standings Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Friday, February 06 Importance: 5

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Texas Stars 44 pts (88%)

Game in 5 days Team on 5-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 07 Importance: 4

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Texas Stars 44 pts (88%)

Game in 6 days Team on 5-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -9

Calgary Wranglers 42 pts (8%)

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Game in 13 days Teams close in standings Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Monday, February 16 Importance: -11

Calgary Wranglers 42 pts (8%)

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Game in 15 days Teams close in standings Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 21 Importance: -15

Iowa Wild 29 pts (0%)

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Game in 20 days Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, February 22 Importance: -20

Iowa Wild 29 pts (0%)

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Game in 21 days Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 28 Importance: -28

Manitoba Moose 45 pts (99%)

Milwaukee Admirals 42 pts (93%)

Game in 27 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Manitoba Moose.

Last 10 Games

Record: 6-3-1-0

Points: 13 (.650)

Goal Differential: +2

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +8.8%

vs Conference Avg: +10.6%

vs Division Avg: +11.4%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-0-0-0

Points: 4 (1.000)

Goal Differential: +4

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +43.0%

vs Conference Avg: +44.1%

vs Division Avg: +39.9%

Last 30 Days

Record: 6-3-1-0

Points: 13 (.650)

Goal Differential: +2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +8.2%

vs Conference Avg: +9.5%

vs Division Avg: +12.4%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 98.7%

Win Round 1: 81.3%

Win Round 2: 25.6%

Win Round 3: 7.5%

Win Round 4: 2.1%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 0.7%

Expected Playoff Games: 5.9

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.2

Home vs Away

Home: 10-8-1-0 (.553)

-3.0% vs league -3.6% vs conf +0.3% vs div

Away: 11-7-2-0 (.600)

+5.0% vs league +5.7% vs conf +6.0% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-4-1-0 (.438)

November 2025

8-4-1-0 (.654)

December 2025

4-4-0-0 (.500)

January 2026

6-3-1-0 (.650)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

4-2-0-0 (.667)

Western Conference:

17-13-3-0 (.561)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

North Division:

4-2-0-0 (.667)

Central Division:

14-12-3-0 (.534)

Pacific Division:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

After Previous Result

After Win:

10-8-2-0 (.550)

After Reg. Loss:

9-5-1-0 (.633)

After OTL:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

8-2-2-0 (.750)

1 Day Rest:

5-3-0-0 (.625)

2 Days Rest:

3-3-0-0 (.500)

3+ Days Rest:

4-7-1-0 (.375)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Tuesday:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

Wednesday:

4-1-0-0 (.800)

Thursday:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

Friday:

5-4-0-0 (.556)

Saturday:

6-4-1-0 (.591)

Sunday:

4-2-2-0 (.625)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game winning streak (Jan 25 - Jan 31)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 2 games (Jan 25 - Jan 31)

Longest Win Streak: 6 game (Nov 08 - Nov 22)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Oct 12 - Oct 25)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 game (Nov 08 - Nov 22)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 5 game (Oct 12 - Oct 25)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

10-1-3-0 (.821)

Two-Goal Games:

2-1 (.667)

Three-Goal Games:

6-8 (.429)

4+ Goals:

3-5 (.375)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

13-10-3-0 (.558)

vs Below .500:

8-5-0-0 (.615)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 2.80

Avg Goals Against: 2.60

Avg Goal Differential: +0.20

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .528

SOS Rank: #31

RPI: .549

RPI Rank: #24

Performance vs Expected

45 Points 43.9

.577 Points % .562

-6 Goal Diff -0.6

104 Goals For 116.7

110 Goals Against 117.3

21 Wins 21.9

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

50%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.1% on Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 21th since Jan 28

Best Position: 6th on Dec 07

Worst Position: 29th on Oct 22

Recent Change: ↘ 21th from 18th (Jan 01-31)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 10th since Jan 28

Best Position: 3rd on Dec 04

Worst Position: 16th on Oct 25

Recent Change: → 10th position (Jan 01-31)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Dec 27

Best Position: 2nd on Oct 11

Worst Position: 6th on Oct 24

Recent Change: → 3rd position (Jan 01-31)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 51

Tragic Number: 75

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the MB finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17	2,500
98	26	6	1	0	In	0.0%	50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2
97	25	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
96	25	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
95	24	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 40 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5
94	24	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 33 33 0 17 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	6
93	23	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 29 36 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	14
92	23	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 17 33 33 11 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	18
91	22	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 37 53 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	19
90	22	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 20 40 31 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	35
89	21	10	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 12 35 35 14 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	51
88	20	11	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 3 20 41 32 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	71
87	20	11	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 9 30 35 23 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	96
86	19	11	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 3 24 32 34 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	105
85	18	12	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 8 50 32 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	127
84	18	12	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 10 32 44 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	157
83	17	13	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 3 14 47 28 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	153
82	17	13	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 9 29 44 16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	199
81	16	13	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 3 30 38 22 7 1 0 0 0 0 0	195
80	15	14	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 44 30 13 2 0 0 0 0 0	188
79	15	14	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 26 39 25 3 0 0 0 0 0	178
78	14	15	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 49 27 5 0 1 0 0 0	152
77	14	15	3	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 23 40 23 6 1 0 0 0	158
76	13	16	3	1	99.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 40 38 8 0 0 0 0	133
75	13	16	3	1	99.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 29 43 21 2 0 0 0	107
74	12	17	3	1	98.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 15 38 29 10 0 0 0	73
73	12	17	3	1	98.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 48 37 8 0 0 0	71
72	11	18	3	1	95.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 23 51 19 3 0 0	73
71	11	18	3	1	88.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16 41 32 9 0 0	44
70	10	18	4	1	82.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 38 38 7 0 0	29
69	9	19	4	1	70.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 12 59 18 0 0	17
68	9	19	4	1	60.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 47 27 0 0	15
67	8	20	4	1	33.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 0 67 0 0	3
66	8	20	4	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1
65	7	21	4	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0	1
64	7	21	4	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1
63	6	22	4	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1