Rochester Americans
48 points
21-15-4-2
Playoff chances: 87.6%
Current Streak:
1W
Unbeaten in Regulation:
1 game
Recent Games
Fri Jan 30
Fri 01-30
HER
1
@
ROC
3
Wed Jan 28
Wed 01-28
HER
3
@
ROC
1
Sat Jan 24
Sat 01-24
CLE
2
@
ROC
1
Fri Jan 23
Fri 01-23
UTC
0
@
ROC
3
Mon Jan 19
Mon 01-19
ROC
2
@
SO
SYR
3
Sat Jan 17
Sat 01-17
ROC
0
@
UTC
3
Fri Jan 16
Fri 01-16
ROC
4
@
OT
BEL
5
Wed Jan 14
Wed 01-14
SYR
0
@
ROC
3
Sun Jan 11
Sun 01-11
ROC
6
@
OT
BEL
5
Fri Jan 09
Fri 01-09
LAV
3
@
ROC
2
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Wednesday, February 04
Importance: 7
High playoff race importance
Teams very close in standings
Quality matchup
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, February 06
Importance: -1
Game in 5 days
Some playoff implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
Conference matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, February 07
Importance: -1
Game in 6 days
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, February 14
Importance: -8
Game in 13 days
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, February 15
Importance: -9
Game in 14 days
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, February 18
Importance: -12
Game in 17 days
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Conference matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, February 20
Importance: -15
Game in 19 days
Some playoff implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, February 25
Importance: -22
Game in 24 days
Team on 5-game winning streak
Playoff race implications
Teams very close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Rochester Americans.
Last 10 Games
Record:
4-4-1-1
Points:
10 (.500)
Goal Differential:
+0
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-6.2%
vs Conference Avg:
-8.3%
vs Division Avg:
-8.6%
Last 7 Days
Record:
2-2-0-0
Points:
4 (.500)
Goal Differential:
+2
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-7.0%
vs Conference Avg:
-8.3%
vs Division Avg:
-8.9%
Last 30 Days
Record:
5-5-1-1
Points:
12 (.500)
Goal Differential:
-1
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-6.8%
vs Conference Avg:
-8.2%
vs Division Avg:
-9.7%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
87.6%
Win Round 1:
71.2%
Win Round 2:
34.6%
Win Round 3:
17.4%
Win Round 4:
5.2%
🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆:
1.7%
Expected Playoff Games:
7.4
Expected Playoff Rounds:
2.5
Home vs Away
Home:
9-8-2-1
(.525)
-5.8% vs league -5.1% vs conf -5.6% vs div
-5.8% vs league -5.1% vs conf -5.6% vs div
Away:
12-7-2-1
(.614)
+6.4% vs league +5.6% vs conf +8.3% vs div
+6.4% vs league +5.6% vs conf +8.3% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
7-2-0-0
(.778)
November 2025
5-7-0-0
(.417)
December 2025
4-1-3-1
(.667)
January 2026
5-5-1-1
(.500)
By Opponent Conference
Eastern Conference:
21-15-4-2
(.571)
Western Conference:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
By Opponent Division
Atlantic Division:
5-4-1-1
(.545)
North Division:
16-11-3-1
(.581)
Central Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Pacific Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
After Previous Result
After Win:
6-9-4-1
(.425)
After Reg. Loss:
10-4-0-1
(.700)
After OTL:
3-1-0-0
(.750)
After SOL:
1-1-0-0
(.500)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
3-5-1-0
(.389)
1 Day Rest:
10-3-1-1
(.733)
2 Days Rest:
1-1-0-1
(.500)
3+ Days Rest:
6-6-2-0
(.500)
By Day of Week
Monday:
1-0-0-1
(.750)
Tuesday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Wednesday:
5-6-1-0
(.458)
Thursday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Friday:
11-2-1-0
(.821)
Saturday:
3-6-2-1
(.375)
Sunday:
1-1-0-0
(.500)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
1 game winning streak
(Started Jan 30)
Current Unbeaten in Regulation:
1 game
(Started Jan 30)
Longest Win Streak:
5 game
(Oct 22 - Oct 31)
Longest Loss Streak:
3 game
(Jan 16 - Jan 19)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
6 game
(Nov 28 - Dec 13)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
6 game
(Dec 13 - Jan 03)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
10-5-4-2
(.619)
Two-Goal Games:
4-6
(.400)
Three-Goal Games:
5-4
(.556)
4+ Goals:
2-0
(1.000)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
16-12-3-2
(.561)
vs Below .500:
5-3-1-0
(.611)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
2.67
Avg Goals Against:
2.75
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.08
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.555
SOS Rank:
#24
RPI:
.557
RPI Rank:
#19
Performance vs Expected
48
Points
48.4
.571
Points %
.576
+7
Goal Diff
+5.5
133
Goals For
128.8
126
Goals Against
123.3
21
Wins
24.2
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 25
90%:
Oct 10
75%:
Oct 10
50%:
Oct 10
Recent Trend:
↘ Decreasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
3.1% on Oct 10
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
16th since Jan 31
Best Position:
5th on Oct 31
Worst Position:
19th on Oct 12
Recent Change:
↘ 16th from 11th (Jan 01-31)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
8th since Jan 31
Best Position:
2nd on Oct 25
Worst Position:
9th on Oct 12
Recent Change:
↘ 8th from 6th (Jan 01-31)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
5th since Jan 31
Best Position:
1st on Oct 17
Worst Position:
5th on Oct 18
Recent Change:
↘ 5th from 3rd (Jan 01-31)
Magic/Tragic Number
Magic Number:
45
Tragic Number:
62
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the ROC finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 | 2,500 |
| 99 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 2 |
| 98 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 2 |
| 97 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 4 |
| 96 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 3 |
| 95 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 75 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 12 |
| 94 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 25 56 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 16 |
| 93 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 21 58 16 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 38 |
| 92 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 13 46 33 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 39 |
| 91 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 11 25 46 17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 72 |
| 90 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 5 20 37 38 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 82 |
| 89 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 2 7 42 40 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 119 |
| 88 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 8 29 42 19 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 133 |
| 87 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 1 12 55 26 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 130 |
| 86 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 10 34 39 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 223 |
| 85 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 99.4% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 4 25 37 27 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 177 |
| 84 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 99.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 3 17 31 35 11 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 193 |
| 83 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 99.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 10 25 32 26 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 193 |
| 82 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 96.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 2 10 27 40 17 2 0 0 0 0 0 | 190 |
| 81 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 96.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 6 28 34 26 5 0 0 0 0 0 | 159 |
| 80 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 86.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 2 13 27 34 19 4 0 0 0 0 | 137 |
| 79 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 78.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 16 43 23 9 1 0 0 0 | 141 |
| 78 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 70.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 11 32 30 21 1 1 0 0 | 122 |
| 77 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 53.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 25 40 20 9 0 0 0 | 89 |
| 76 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 43.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 14 21 35 21 4 0 0 | 57 |
| 75 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 41.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 15 17 42 23 2 0 0 | 48 |
| 74 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 50 32 0 0 0 | 38 |
| 73 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 38 28 23 3 0 | 39 |
| 72 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 79 7 0 0 | 14 |
| 71 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 73 27 0 0 | 11 |
| 70 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 25 50 12 0 | 8 |
| 69 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 | 3 |
| 68 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 | 2 |
| 67 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 67 33 0 | 3 |
| 66 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 | 1 |