Toronto Marlies - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

50 points

22-15-4-2

Playoff chances: 88.5%

Current Streak: 2L

Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games

Winless in Regulation: 2 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

LAV 3

TOR 2

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

TOR 3

PRO 4

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

TOR 4

HFD 1

Fri Jan 23 Fri 01-23

TOR 3

SPR 4

Sat Jan 17 Sat 01-17

TOR 5

IA 4

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

TOR 3

IA 2

Sat Jan 10 Sat 01-10

TOR 3

BEL 6

Fri Jan 09 Fri 01-09

BEL 1

TOR 6

Wed Jan 07 Wed 01-07

CLE 5

TOR 4

Sun Jan 04 Sun 01-04

LV 6

TOR 1

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Tuesday, February 03 Importance: 8

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Cleveland Monsters 50 pts (84%)

Team on 5-game winning streak Playoff race implications Teams tied in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 07 Importance: -1

Springfield Thunderbirds 38 pts (24%)

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Game in 6 days Some playoff implications Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 14 Importance: -9

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Laval Rocket 56 pts (99%)

Game in 13 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, February 18 Importance: -11

Hershey Bears 47 pts (93%)

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Game in 17 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Monday, February 16 Importance: -11

Laval Rocket 56 pts (99%)

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Game in 15 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, February 20 Importance: -11

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Cleveland Monsters 50 pts (84%)

Game in 19 days Team on 5-game winning streak Playoff race implications Teams tied in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, February 21 Importance: -12

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Cleveland Monsters 50 pts (84%)

Game in 20 days Team on 5-game winning streak Playoff race implications Teams tied in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, February 25 Importance: -28

Toronto Marlies 50 pts (89%)

Laval Rocket 56 pts (99%)

Game in 24 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Toronto Marlies.

Last 10 Games

Record: 4-2-3-1

Points: 12 (.600)

Goal Differential: -2

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +3.7%

vs Conference Avg: +1.7%

vs Division Avg: +1.4%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-0-2-0

Points: 4 (.667)

Goal Differential: +1

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +9.6%

vs Conference Avg: +8.3%

vs Division Avg: +7.7%

Last 30 Days

Record: 6-2-3-1

Points: 16 (.667)

Goal Differential: +1

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +9.9%

vs Conference Avg: +8.5%

vs Division Avg: +7.0%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 88.5%

Win Round 1: 71.8%

Win Round 2: 30.3%

Win Round 3: 12.7%

Win Round 4: 3.9%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 1.0%

Expected Playoff Games: 6.8

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.3

Home vs Away

Home: 10-6-1-2 (.605)

+2.3% vs league +3.0% vs conf +2.4% vs div

Away: 12-9-3-0 (.562)

+1.3% vs league +0.5% vs conf +3.2% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-3-0-1 (.500)

November 2025

6-6-1-0 (.500)

December 2025

7-4-0-0 (.636)

January 2026

6-2-3-1 (.667)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

17-11-3-2 (.591)

Western Conference:

5-4-1-0 (.550)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

4-4-2-0 (.500)

North Division:

13-7-1-2 (.630)

Central Division:

5-4-1-0 (.550)

Pacific Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

12-8-2-0 (.591)

After Reg. Loss:

8-4-1-2 (.633)

After OTL:

1-1-1-0 (.500)

After SOL:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

8-5-1-1 (.600)

1 Day Rest:

5-3-0-0 (.625)

2 Days Rest:

4-4-0-1 (.500)

3+ Days Rest:

5-2-3-0 (.650)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Wednesday:

3-3-1-1 (.500)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

4-4-1-0 (.500)

Saturday:

9-5-1-0 (.633)

Sunday:

4-3-1-1 (.556)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game losing streak (Jan 25 - Jan 31)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games (Jan 16 - Jan 31)

Current Winless in Regulation: 2 games (Jan 25 - Jan 31)

Longest Win Streak: 5 game (Dec 26 - Jan 03)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Oct 25 - Nov 01)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 game (Jan 16 - Jan 31)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Oct 25 - Nov 01)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

14-4-4-2 (.708)

Two-Goal Games:

3-2 (.600)

Three-Goal Games:

3-4 (.429)

4+ Goals:

2-5 (.286)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

15-15-3-2 (.500)

vs Below .500:

7-0-1-0 (.938)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.50

Avg Goals Against: 3.42

Avg Goal Differential: +0.08

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .573

SOS Rank: #8

RPI: .569

RPI Rank: #13

Performance vs Expected

50 Points 50.2

.581 Points % .583

-8 Goal Diff +8.7

135 Goals For 133.5

143 Goals Against 124.8

22 Wins 25.1

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

50%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.1% on Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 12th since Jan 31

Best Position: 9th on Jan 09

Worst Position: 24th on Nov 21

Recent Change: → 12th position (Jan 01-31)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 6th since Jan 24

Best Position: 4th on Jan 09

Worst Position: 12th on Nov 01

Recent Change: → 7th position (Jan 01-31)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Jan 24

Best Position: 2nd on Oct 19

Worst Position: 6th on Nov 01

Recent Change: → 4th position (Jan 01-31)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 43

Tragic Number: 62

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the TOR finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	2,500
98	23	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2
97	23	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 83 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	6
96	22	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 73 18 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	11
95	22	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 36 46 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	11
94	21	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 22 33 33 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	18
93	21	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 17 33 39 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	36
92	20	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 17 48 30 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	54
91	20	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 5 38 48 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	80
90	19	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 1 17 45 28 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	95
89	19	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 1 12 40 34 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	106
88	18	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 6 26 42 24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	151
87	18	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 1 15 41 33 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	153
86	17	10	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 6 32 41 20 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	207
85	16	11	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 4 25 28 33 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	195
84	16	11	2	0	98.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 8 38 34 17 4 0 0 0 0 0 0	184
83	15	11	2	1	98.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 3 29 34 25 7 1 0 0 0 0 0	203
82	14	12	2	1	95.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 12 28 37 14 6 1 0 0 0 0	201
81	14	12	2	1	92.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 4 20 36 31 9 1 0 0 0 0	156
80	13	13	2	1	85.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 2 16 25 38 16 3 0 0 0 0	143
79	13	13	2	1	72.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 3 22 36 29 8 1 0 0 0	102
78	12	13	3	1	66.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 36 24 21 4 0 0 0	112
77	11	14	3	1	60.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 24 34 30 7 0 0 0	83
76	11	14	3	1	46.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 27 45 11 3 0 0	62
75	10	15	3	1	26.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 18 13 37 21 8 0 0	38
74	10	15	3	1	14.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 42 29 15 0 0	41
73	9	16	3	1	14.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 43 43 0 0 0	21
72	9	16	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 50 33 0 0	12
71	8	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 88 0 0 0	8
70	8	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 75 25 0 0	4
69	7	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1
68	7	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1
67	6	18	4	1	33.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 67 0 0	3