Tucson Roadrunners - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

54 points

23-20-8-0

Playoff chances: 35.2%

Current Streak: 1L

Winless in Regulation: 4 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

TUC 3

SJ 5

Wed Feb 25 Wed 02-25

TUC 2

SD 1

Sun Feb 22 Sun 02-22

ONT 5

TUC 3

Sat Feb 21 Sat 02-21

ONT 4

TUC 2

Sun Feb 15 Sun 02-15

TUC 3

CV 2

Fri Feb 13 Fri 02-13

TUC 1

CV 6

Sat Feb 07 Sat 02-07

TUC 6

CGY 5

Fri Feb 06 Fri 02-06

TUC 7

CGY 3

Wed Feb 04 Wed 02-04

TUC 1

ONT 5

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

COL 3

TUC 2

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Sunday, March 01 Importance: 6

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

San Jose Barracuda 66 pts (100%)

Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Wednesday, March 04 Importance: 2

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

Ontario Reign 70 pts (100%)

Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 06 Importance: 1

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

Bakersfield Condors 65 pts (99%)

Game in 5 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Tuesday, March 10 Importance: 0

Henderson Silver Knights 54 pts (82%)

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

Game in 9 days Team on 4-game winning streak Playoff race implications Teams tied in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 07 Importance: 0

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

Bakersfield Condors 65 pts (99%)

Game in 6 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, March 11 Importance: -1

Henderson Silver Knights 54 pts (82%)

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

Game in 10 days Team on 4-game winning streak Playoff race implications Teams tied in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 14 Importance: -8

San Jose Barracuda 66 pts (100%)

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

Game in 13 days Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 15 Importance: -9

San Jose Barracuda 66 pts (100%)

Tucson Roadrunners 54 pts (35%)

Game in 14 days Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Tucson Roadrunners.

Last 10 Games

Record: 4-5-1-0

Points: 9 (.450)

Goal Differential: -9

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -10.3%

vs Conference Avg: -9.7%

vs Division Avg: -9.0%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-3-0-0

Points: 2 (.250)

Goal Differential: -5

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -33.1%

vs Conference Avg: -34.5%

vs Division Avg: -35.6%

Last 30 Days

Record: 4-6-1-0

Points: 9 (.409)

Goal Differential: -11

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -14.9%

vs Conference Avg: -14.4%

vs Division Avg: -13.9%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 35.2%

Win Round 1: 13.0%

Win Round 2: 4.2%

Win Round 3: 1.3%

Win Round 4: 0.4%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 0.1%

Expected Playoff Games: 4.7

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.5

Home vs Away

Home: 11-11-6-0 (.500)

-7.7% vs league -8.3% vs conf -10.5% vs div

Away: 12-9-2-0 (.565)

+1.3% vs league +2.2% vs conf +1.9% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-4-1-0 (.438)

November 2025

5-5-1-0 (.500)

December 2025

4-3-3-0 (.550)

January 2026

7-3-3-0 (.654)

February 2026

4-5-0-0 (.444)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Western Conference:

23-20-8-0 (.529)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

North Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Central Division:

3-2-1-0 (.583)

Pacific Division:

20-18-7-0 (.522)

After Previous Result

After Win:

9-9-5-0 (.500)

After Reg. Loss:

10-7-2-0 (.579)

After OTL:

3-4-1-0 (.438)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

7-7-5-0 (.500)

1 Day Rest:

5-2-1-0 (.688)

2 Days Rest:

3-4-2-0 (.444)

3+ Days Rest:

7-7-0-0 (.500)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-1-1-0 (.250)

Wednesday:

2-5-1-0 (.312)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

8-5-1-0 (.607)

Saturday:

9-6-3-0 (.583)

Sunday:

4-3-2-0 (.556)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game losing streak (Started Feb 28)

Current Winless in Regulation: 4 games (Feb 21 - Feb 28)

Longest Win Streak: 5 game (Jan 02 - Jan 16)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Jan 17 - Jan 24)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 10 game (Dec 27 - Jan 20)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 9 game (Jan 17 - Feb 04)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

12-3-8-0 (.696)

Two-Goal Games:

2-11 (.154)

Three-Goal Games:

5-2 (.714)

4+ Goals:

4-4 (.500)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

12-17-6-0 (.429)

vs Below .500:

11-3-2-0 (.750)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 2.82

Avg Goals Against: 3.82

Avg Goal Differential: -1.00

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .557

SOS Rank: #19

RPI: .551

RPI Rank: #20

Performance vs Expected

54 Points 54.5

.529 Points % .535

-9 Goal Diff -16.0

161 Goals For 146.6

170 Goals Against 162.6

23 Wins 27.3

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

95%: Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.1% on Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 20th since Feb 28

Best Position: 11th on Oct 24

Worst Position: 28th on Dec 21

Recent Change: ↘ 20th from 19th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 11th since Feb 28

Best Position: 4th on Oct 19

Worst Position: 15th on Dec 05

Recent Change: ↘ 11th from 9th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 8th since Feb 28

Best Position: 2nd on Oct 24

Worst Position: 9th on Nov 14

Recent Change: ↘ 8th from 7th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 41

Tragic Number: 36

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the TUC finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17	10,000
92	18	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
91	18	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2
90	17	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 12 50 25 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	8
89	17	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 8 23 31 23 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	13
88	16	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 4 46 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	24
87	16	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 10 41 41 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	51
86	15	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 14 54 26 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	80
85	15	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 10 40 40 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	174
84	14	6	1	0	97.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 4 33 36 24 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	240
83	14	6	1	0	92.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 14 39 33 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	384
82	13	7	1	0	91.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 7 26 42 23 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	483
81	13	7	1	0	79.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 1 18 39 34 7 0 0 0 0 0 0	605
80	12	8	1	0	63.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 27 42 20 4 0 0 0 0 0	778
79	12	8	1	0	53.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 20 41 29 6 0 0 0 0 0	815
78	11	9	1	0	35.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 32 44 14 1 0 0 0 0	905
77	11	9	1	0	19.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 23 42 27 4 0 0 0 0	926
76	10	10	1	0	13.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 41 38 8 1 0 0 0	917
75	10	10	1	0	7.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 32 46 15 1 0 0 0	812
74	9	10	2	0	3.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 24 43 28 3 0 0 0	704
73	8	10	2	1	0.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 42 39 7 0 0 0	604
72	7	11	2	1	0.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 34 46 13 0 0 0	476
71	7	11	2	1	0.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 26 51 21 1 0 0	339
70	6	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 47 38 2 0 0	251
69	6	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 43 46 2 0 0	167
68	5	13	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 26 58 13 0 0	95
67	5	13	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 26 60 12 0 0	73
66	4	14	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 63 23 0 0	43
65	4	14	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 50 43 0 0	14
64	3	14	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 50 38 0 0	8
63	2	15	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 25 25 0	4
62	2	15	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1
61	1	16	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0	1
60	1	16	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0	1
59	0	17	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	1