Belleville Senators - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

50 points

21-27-8-0

Playoff chances: 3.4%

Current Streak: 5L

Winless in Regulation: 5 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

UTC 5

BEL 1

Fri Feb 27 Fri 02-27

BEL 3

UTC 5

Sat Feb 21 Sat 02-21

BEL 0

HFD 4

Fri Feb 20 Fri 02-20

BEL 2

PRO 5

Wed Feb 18 Wed 02-18

SYR 2

BEL 1

Mon Feb 16 Mon 02-16

HER 1

BEL 3

Sat Feb 14 Sat 02-14

HER 6

BEL 3

Sat Feb 07 Sat 02-07

SYR 5

BEL 2

Fri Feb 06 Fri 02-06

BEL 3

SYR 5

Wed Feb 04 Wed 02-04

BEL 3

ROC 1

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Friday, March 06 Importance: 2

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Utica Comets 45 pts (0%)

Game in 5 days Team on 5-game losing streak Teams close in standings Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 07 Importance: 1

Utica Comets 45 pts (0%)

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Game in 6 days Team on 5-game losing streak Teams close in standings Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 14 Importance: -7

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Hershey Bears 58 pts (97%)

Game in 13 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 5-game losing streak Teams somewhat close in standings Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 15 Importance: -8

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Hershey Bears 58 pts (97%)

Game in 14 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 5-game losing streak Teams somewhat close in standings Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 21 Importance: -11

Springfield Thunderbirds 49 pts (29%)

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Game in 20 days Team on 5-game losing streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, March 18 Importance: -12

Cleveland Monsters 65 pts (100%)

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Game in 17 days Team on 5-game losing streak Division matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 20 Importance: -17

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins 78 pts (100%)

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Game in 19 days Team on 5-game losing streak High quality matchup Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 27 Importance: -25

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Belleville Senators 50 pts (3%)

Game in 26 days Team on 5-game losing streak Teams close in standings Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Belleville Senators.

Last 10 Games

Record: 2-8-0-0

Points: 4 (.200)

Goal Differential: -18

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -35.3%

vs Conference Avg: -36.0%

vs Division Avg: -35.0%

Last 7 Days

Record: 0-3-0-0

Points: 0 (.000)

Goal Differential: -10

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -58.1%

vs Conference Avg: -56.5%

vs Division Avg: -43.1%

Last 30 Days

Record: 2-9-1-0

Points: 5 (.208)

Goal Differential: -20

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -35.0%

vs Conference Avg: -35.6%

vs Division Avg: -36.3%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 3.4%

Win Round 1: 1.1%

Win Round 2: 0.2%

Win Round 3: 0.1%

Expected Playoff Games: 4.2

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.4

Home vs Away

Home: 10-15-3-0 (.411)

-16.7% vs league -16.0% vs conf -17.6% vs div

Away: 11-12-5-0 (.482)

-7.0% vs league -7.9% vs conf -5.0% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-4-1-0 (.438)

November 2025

7-6-1-0 (.536)

December 2025

3-6-3-0 (.375)

January 2026

6-3-3-0 (.625)

February 2026

2-8-0-0 (.200)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

20-26-8-0 (.444)

Western Conference:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

4-8-2-0 (.357)

North Division:

16-18-6-0 (.475)

Central Division:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

Pacific Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:

8-10-3-0 (.452)

After Reg. Loss:

9-14-3-0 (.404)

After OTL:

4-2-2-0 (.625)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

7-9-4-0 (.450)

1 Day Rest:

5-4-2-0 (.545)

2 Days Rest:

7-6-0-0 (.538)

3+ Days Rest:

2-7-2-0 (.273)

By Day of Week

Monday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Tuesday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Wednesday:

6-6-0-0 (.500)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

2-8-3-0 (.269)

Saturday:

7-9-3-0 (.447)

Sunday:

4-4-2-0 (.500)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 5 game losing streak (Feb 18 - Feb 28)

Current Winless in Regulation: 5 games (Feb 18 - Feb 28)

Longest Win Streak: 4 game (Nov 12 - Nov 19)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Nov 26 - Dec 05)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 8 game (Jan 10 - Jan 24)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 6 game (Jan 11 - Jan 23)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

9-6-8-0 (.565)

Two-Goal Games:

4-5 (.444)

Three-Goal Games:

4-9 (.308)

4+ Goals:

4-7 (.364)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

16-22-7-0 (.433)

vs Below .500:

5-5-1-0 (.500)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 2.58

Avg Goals Against: 4.25

Avg Goal Differential: -1.67

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .569

SOS Rank: #12

RPI: .534

RPI Rank: #28

Performance vs Expected

50 Points 52.9

.446 Points % .472

-34 Goal Diff -60.0

172 Goals For 142.2

206 Goals Against 202.2

21 Wins 26.4

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 99.8% on Oct 25

95%: Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.1% on Oct 10

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 25th since Feb 27

Best Position: 9th on Nov 19

Worst Position: 31th on Oct 12

Recent Change: ↘ 25th from 18th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 12th since Feb 25

Best Position: 6th on Nov 21

Worst Position: 15th on Oct 12

Recent Change: ↘ 12th from 10th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 6th since Jan 28

Best Position: 2nd on Nov 25

Worst Position: 7th on Oct 12

Recent Change: → 6th position (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 43

Tragic Number: 37

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the BEL finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	15,000
80	14	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 17 50 33 0 0 0 0 0 0	6
79	14	2	0	0	69.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 77 0 0 0 0 0 0	13
78	13	3	0	0	75.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 5 38 38 11 8 0 0 0 0	37
77	13	3	0	0	43.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 37 41 11 1 0 0 0	83
76	12	4	0	0	34.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 24 44 22 3 1 0 0	183
75	12	4	0	0	26.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 43 34 7 0 0 0	309
74	11	5	0	0	15.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 28 47 16 1 0 0	554
73	11	5	0	0	10.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 20 44 29 5 0 0	721
72	10	5	1	0	5.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 37 39 14 1 0	1,050
71	10	5	1	0	2.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 25 46 23 2 0	1,324
70	9	6	1	0	1.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 42 37 6 0	1,553
69	9	6	1	0	0.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 33 45 15 1	1,595
68	8	7	1	0	0.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 21 47 28 3	1,498
67	8	7	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 44 37 8	1,479
66	7	8	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 35 45 16	1,291
65	7	8	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 21 50 27	1,056
64	6	9	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 47 41	833
63	6	9	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 43 51	576
62	5	10	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 30 65	390
61	5	10	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 19 79	208
60	4	10	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 91	120
59	3	10	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 93	74
58	2	11	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 96	24
57	2	11	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 94	16
56	1	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	4
55	1	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	3