Manitoba Moose - AHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

53 points

24-19-4-1

Playoff chances: 99.6%

Current Streak: 1L

Winless in Regulation: 5 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

MB 2

MIL 6

Wed Feb 25 Wed 02-25

MB 3

GR 2

Sun Feb 22 Sun 02-22

IA 5

MB 1

Sat Feb 21 Sat 02-21

IA 3

MB 2

Mon Feb 16 Mon 02-16

CGY 3

MB 2

Sat Feb 14 Sat 02-14

CGY 1

MB 5

Sat Feb 07 Sat 02-07

MB 3

TEX 4

Fri Feb 06 Fri 02-06

MB 1

TEX 2

Sun Feb 01 Sun 02-01

RFD 1

MB 2

Sat Jan 31 Sat 01-31

RFD 1

MB 4

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Sunday, March 01 Importance: 6

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Milwaukee Admirals 49 pts (96%)

Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Friday, March 06 Importance: -1

Toronto Marlies 59 pts (99%)

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Game in 5 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 08 Importance: -3

Toronto Marlies 59 pts (99%)

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Some playoff implications Teams moderately close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Similar goal differential per game

Tuesday, March 10 Importance: -5

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Abbotsford Canucks 44 pts

Game in 9 days Teams somewhat close in standings Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 13 Importance: -6

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Calgary Wranglers 51 pts (2%)

Game in 12 days Team on 3-game losing streak Teams very close in standings Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, March 11 Importance: -6

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Abbotsford Canucks 44 pts

Game in 10 days Teams somewhat close in standings Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 15 Importance: -8

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Calgary Wranglers 51 pts (2%)

Game in 14 days Team on 3-game losing streak Teams very close in standings Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, March 18 Importance: -11

Milwaukee Admirals 49 pts (96%)

Manitoba Moose 53 pts (100%)

Game in 17 days Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Manitoba Moose.

Last 10 Games

Record: 4-4-1-1

Points: 10 (.500)

Goal Differential: -3

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -5.3%

vs Conference Avg: -4.7%

vs Division Avg: -5.7%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-2-1-0

Points: 3 (.375)

Goal Differential: -8

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -20.6%

vs Conference Avg: -22.0%

vs Division Avg: -20.4%

Last 30 Days

Record: 4-4-1-1

Points: 10 (.500)

Goal Differential: -3

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -5.8%

vs Conference Avg: -5.3%

vs Division Avg: -6.0%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 99.6%

Win Round 1: 81.7%

Win Round 2: 24.4%

Win Round 3: 7.4%

Win Round 4: 1.9%

🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 0.5%

Expected Playoff Games: 5.7

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.2

Home vs Away

Home: 12-9-2-1 (.562)

-1.5% vs league -2.0% vs conf +1.1% vs div

Away: 12-10-2-0 (.542)

-1.0% vs league -0.2% vs conf +0.2% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-4-1-0 (.438)

November 2025

8-4-1-0 (.654)

December 2025

4-4-0-0 (.500)

January 2026

6-3-1-0 (.650)

February 2026

3-4-1-1 (.444)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:

4-2-0-0 (.667)

Western Conference:

20-17-4-1 (.536)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

North Division:

4-2-0-0 (.667)

Central Division:

16-16-4-0 (.500)

Pacific Division:

4-1-0-1 (.750)

After Previous Result

After Win:

11-10-2-1 (.521)

After Reg. Loss:

11-6-1-0 (.639)

After OTL:

1-3-0-0 (.250)

After SOL:

0-0-1-0 (.500)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

9-4-2-0 (.667)

1 Day Rest:

5-3-0-1 (.611)

2 Days Rest:

4-4-0-0 (.500)

3+ Days Rest:

5-8-2-0 (.400)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-1-0-1 (.250)

Tuesday:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

Wednesday:

5-1-0-0 (.833)

Thursday:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

Friday:

5-5-0-0 (.500)

Saturday:

7-6-2-0 (.533)

Sunday:

5-3-2-0 (.600)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game losing streak (Started Feb 28)

Current Winless in Regulation: 5 games (Feb 16 - Feb 28)

Longest Win Streak: 6 game (Nov 08 - Nov 22)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Oct 12 - Oct 25)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 game (Nov 08 - Nov 22)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 5 game (Oct 12 - Oct 25)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

12-3-4-1 (.725)

Two-Goal Games:

2-1 (.667)

Three-Goal Games:

6-8 (.429)

4+ Goals:

4-7 (.364)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

12-10-3-0 (.540)

vs Below .500:

12-9-1-1 (.565)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 2.50

Avg Goals Against: 2.80

Avg Goal Differential: -0.30

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .523

SOS Rank: #32

RPI: .540

RPI Rank: #25

Performance vs Expected

53 Points 52.0

.552 Points % .542

-12 Goal Diff -11.3

125 Goals For 139.8

137 Goals Against 151.1

24 Wins 26.0

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 10

95%: Oct 10

90%: Oct 10

75%: Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.1% on Oct 10

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 21th since Feb 28

Best Position: 6th on Dec 07

Worst Position: 29th on Oct 22

Recent Change: → 21th position (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 12th since Feb 28

Best Position: 3rd on Nov 20

Worst Position: 16th on Oct 25

Recent Change: ↘ 12th from 10th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 4th since Feb 28

Best Position: 2nd on Nov 20

Worst Position: 6th on Oct 24

Recent Change: ↘ 4th from 3rd (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 36

Tragic Number: 59

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the MB finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17	15,000
93	19	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 50 0 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	4
92	19	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 21 29 43 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	14
91	18	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 27 38 31 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	26
90	18	5	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 26 28 33 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	39
89	17	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 7 30 36 26 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	86
88	17	6	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 1 17 41 37 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	138
87	16	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 7 32 47 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	205
86	16	7	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 3 23 48 24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	323
85	15	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 12 40 38 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	419
84	15	8	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 5 31 45 16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	595
83	14	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 20 44 30 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	724
82	14	9	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 11 36 40 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	965
81	13	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 5 26 42 24 3 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,146
80	13	10	1	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 40 38 7 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,235
79	12	10	2	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 31 43 16 2 0 0 0 0 0	1,342
78	11	10	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 20 46 26 5 1 0 0 0 0	1,336
77	10	11	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 39 38 11 2 0 0 0 0	1,218
76	10	11	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 25 42 24 4 0 0 0 0	1,155
75	9	12	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 41 32 11 0 0 0 0	1,038
74	9	12	2	1	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 30 42 20 2 0 0 0	829
73	8	13	2	1	99.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 18 44 31 5 0 0 0	657
72	8	13	2	1	99.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 36 42 11 0 0 0	498
71	7	14	2	1	99.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 27 52 15 1 0 0	353
70	7	14	2	1	97.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 50 35 0 0 0	259
69	6	14	3	1	97.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 48 43 1 0 0	175
68	5	15	3	1	88.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 25 60 11 0 0	80
67	5	15	3	1	87.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 72 8 0 0	74
66	4	16	3	1	70.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 67 23 3 0	30
65	4	16	3	1	72.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 50 22 17 0	18
64	3	17	3	1	63.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 46 46 0 0	11
63	3	17	3	1	66.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 33 17 0	6
61	2	18	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	1
59	1	19	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	1