Toronto Marlies
59 points
25-18-4-5
Playoff chances: 99.2%
Current Streak:
1L
Unbeaten in Regulation:
3 games
Winless in Regulation:
1 game
Recent Games
Sat Feb 28
Sat 02-28
CHI
5
@
SO
TOR
4
Wed Feb 25
Wed 02-25
TOR
4
@
LAV
1
Sat Feb 21
Sat 02-21
TOR
2
@
SO
CLE
3
Fri Feb 20
Fri 02-20
TOR
2
@
CLE
4
Wed Feb 18
Wed 02-18
HER
3
@
TOR
2
Mon Feb 16
Mon 02-16
LAV
3
@
SO
TOR
4
Sat Feb 14
Sat 02-14
TOR
2
@
LAV
4
Sat Feb 07
Sat 02-07
SPR
1
@
TOR
5
Tue Feb 03
Tue 02-03
TOR
2
@
SO
CLE
3
Sat Jan 31
Sat 01-31
LAV
3
@
OT
TOR
2
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Sunday, March 01
Importance: 6
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Away team on back-to-back
Wednesday, March 04
Importance: 4
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 06
Importance: -1
Game in 5 days
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
Quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, March 08
Importance: -3
Game in 7 days
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
Quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 13
Importance: -4
Game in 12 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, March 11
Importance: -5
Game in 10 days
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 14
Importance: -5
Game in 13 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Tuesday, March 17
Importance: -11
Game in 16 days
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Toronto Marlies.
Last 10 Games
Record:
3-3-1-3
Points:
10 (.500)
Goal Differential:
-1
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-5.3%
vs Conference Avg:
-6.0%
vs Division Avg:
-5.0%
Last 7 Days
Record:
1-0-0-2
Points:
4 (.667)
Goal Differential:
+1
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
+8.6%
vs Conference Avg:
+10.2%
vs Division Avg:
+23.6%
Last 30 Days
Record:
3-3-1-3
Points:
10 (.500)
Goal Differential:
-1
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-5.8%
vs Conference Avg:
-6.5%
vs Division Avg:
-7.1%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
99.2%
Win Round 1:
62.3%
Win Round 2:
20.9%
Win Round 3:
7.4%
Win Round 4:
2.1%
🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆:
0.6%
Expected Playoff Games:
5.7
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.9
Home vs Away
Home:
12-7-1-3
(.609)
+3.1% vs league +3.8% vs conf +2.2% vs div
+3.1% vs league +3.8% vs conf +2.2% vs div
Away:
13-11-3-2
(.534)
-1.7% vs league -2.7% vs conf +0.3% vs div
-1.7% vs league -2.7% vs conf +0.3% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
3-3-0-1
(.500)
November 2025
6-6-1-0
(.500)
December 2025
7-4-0-0
(.636)
January 2026
6-2-3-1
(.667)
February 2026
3-3-0-3
(.500)
By Opponent Conference
Eastern Conference:
20-14-3-4
(.573)
Western Conference:
5-4-1-1
(.545)
By Opponent Division
Atlantic Division:
5-5-2-0
(.500)
North Division:
15-9-1-4
(.603)
Central Division:
5-4-1-1
(.545)
Pacific Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
After Previous Result
After Win:
12-10-2-1
(.540)
After Reg. Loss:
9-5-1-3
(.611)
After OTL:
1-1-1-1
(.500)
After SOL:
3-1-0-0
(.750)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
8-5-1-2
(.594)
1 Day Rest:
6-5-0-0
(.545)
2 Days Rest:
4-4-0-3
(.500)
3+ Days Rest:
7-3-3-0
(.654)
By Day of Week
Monday:
1-0-0-0
(1.000)
Tuesday:
1-0-0-1
(.750)
Wednesday:
4-4-1-1
(.500)
Thursday:
1-0-0-0
(1.000)
Friday:
4-5-1-0
(.450)
Saturday:
10-6-1-2
(.605)
Sunday:
4-3-1-1
(.556)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
1 game losing streak
(Started Feb 28)
Current Unbeaten in Regulation:
3 games
(Feb 21 - Feb 28)
Current Winless in Regulation:
1 game
(Started Feb 28)
Longest Win Streak:
5 game
(Dec 26 - Jan 03)
Longest Loss Streak:
4 game
(Oct 25 - Nov 01)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
8 game
(Jan 16 - Feb 07)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
5 game
(Feb 14 - Feb 21)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
15-5-4-5
(.672)
Two-Goal Games:
3-4
(.429)
Three-Goal Games:
4-4
(.500)
4+ Goals:
3-5
(.375)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
12-14-3-4
(.470)
vs Below .500:
13-4-1-1
(.737)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
2.90
Avg Goals Against:
3.00
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.10
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.579
SOS Rank:
#5
RPI:
.570
RPI Rank:
#13
Performance vs Expected
59
Points
59.2
.567
Points %
.569
-8
Goal Diff
+3.5
162
Goals For
159.2
170
Goals Against
155.7
25
Wins
29.6
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 10
95%:
Oct 10
90%:
Oct 10
75%:
Oct 10
Recent Trend:
↗ Increasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
3.1% on Oct 10
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
15th since Feb 27
Best Position:
9th on Jan 09
Worst Position:
24th on Nov 21
Recent Change:
↘ 15th from 11th (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
7th since Feb 25
Best Position:
4th on Jan 09
Worst Position:
12th on Nov 01
Recent Change:
↘ 7th from 6th (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
4th since Feb 25
Best Position:
2nd on Oct 11
Worst Position:
6th on Nov 01
Recent Change:
↘ 4th from 3rd (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Magic/Tragic Number
Magic Number:
35
Tragic Number:
54
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the TOR finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 | 15,000 |
| 97 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 2 |
| 96 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 33 33 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 3 |
| 95 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 67 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 6 |
| 94 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 6 67 22 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 18 |
| 93 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 2 33 56 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 46 |
| 92 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 3 26 51 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 78 |
| 91 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 14 47 30 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 131 |
| 90 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 1 9 35 39 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 238 |
| 89 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 2 20 42 32 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 373 |
| 88 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 10 36 42 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 551 |
| 87 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 4 25 52 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 770 |
| 86 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 1 18 47 32 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 894 |
| 85 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 7 41 46 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,115 |
| 84 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 2 28 54 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,280 |
| 83 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 1 16 56 24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,483 |
| 82 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 9 50 35 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,514 |
| 81 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 4 38 45 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,389 |
| 80 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 99.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 1 23 50 23 2 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,227 |
| 79 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 43 36 5 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,067 |
| 78 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 99.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 34 47 12 1 0 0 0 0 | 834 |
| 77 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 99.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 23 52 20 2 0 0 0 0 | 664 |
| 76 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 98.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 12 45 34 8 0 0 0 0 | 485 |
| 75 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 94.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 33 42 16 2 0 0 0 | 313 |
| 74 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 92.2% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 22 49 24 4 0 0 0 | 217 |
| 73 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 81.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 40 34 14 1 0 0 | 136 |
| 72 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 83.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 31 45 18 2 0 0 | 84 |
| 71 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 54.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 16 41 25 14 0 0 | 44 |
| 70 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 54 31 0 0 | 26 |
| 69 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 43 43 0 0 | 7 |
| 68 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 67 0 0 | 3 |
| 67 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 0 | 2 |