Rochester Americans
56 points
24-19-5-3
Playoff chances: 97.1%
Current Streak:
5L
Winless in Regulation:
5 games
Recent Games
Fri Feb 27
Fri 02-27
LAV
9
@
ROC
3
Wed Feb 25
Wed 02-25
ROC
2
@
CLE
4
Fri Feb 20
Fri 02-20
LAV
3
@
OT
ROC
2
Wed Feb 18
Wed 02-18
CLT
3
@
SO
ROC
2
Sun Feb 15
Sun 02-15
UTC
7
@
ROC
4
Sat Feb 14
Sat 02-14
ROC
4
@
UTC
1
Sat Feb 07
Sat 02-07
ROC
5
@
UTC
1
Fri Feb 06
Fri 02-06
SPR
0
@
ROC
4
Wed Feb 04
Wed 02-04
BEL
3
@
ROC
1
Fri Jan 30
Fri 01-30
HER
1
@
ROC
3
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Sunday, March 01
Importance: 7
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Home team on back-to-back
Friday, March 06
Importance: 2
Game in 5 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 07
Importance: 1
Game in 6 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, March 11
Importance: -4
Game in 10 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Division matchup
Final game(s) in close season series
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 13
Importance: -4
Game in 12 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 14
Importance: -5
Game in 13 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 20
Importance: -14
Game in 19 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, March 22
Importance: -19
Game in 21 days
Team on 5-game losing streak
Team on 3-game winning streak
Some playoff implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
Conference matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Rochester Americans.
Last 10 Games
Record:
4-4-1-1
Points:
10 (.500)
Goal Differential:
-2
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-5.3%
vs Conference Avg:
-6.0%
vs Division Avg:
-5.0%
Last 7 Days
Record:
0-2-1-0
Points:
1 (.167)
Goal Differential:
-9
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-41.4%
vs Conference Avg:
-39.8%
vs Division Avg:
-26.4%
Last 30 Days
Record:
4-5-1-1
Points:
10 (.455)
Goal Differential:
-4
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-10.4%
vs Conference Avg:
-11.0%
vs Division Avg:
-11.7%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
97.1%
Win Round 1:
56.1%
Win Round 2:
20.4%
Win Round 3:
8.2%
Win Round 4:
2.6%
🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆:
0.8%
Expected Playoff Games:
6.0
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.9
Home vs Away
Home:
10-11-3-2
(.481)
-9.7% vs league -9.0% vs conf -10.6% vs div
-9.7% vs league -9.0% vs conf -10.6% vs div
Away:
14-8-2-1
(.620)
+6.8% vs league +5.9% vs conf +8.8% vs div
+6.8% vs league +5.9% vs conf +8.8% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
7-2-0-0
(.778)
November 2025
5-7-0-0
(.417)
December 2025
4-1-3-1
(.667)
January 2026
5-5-1-1
(.500)
February 2026
3-4-1-1
(.444)
By Opponent Conference
Eastern Conference:
24-19-5-3
(.549)
Western Conference:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
By Opponent Division
Atlantic Division:
6-4-1-2
(.577)
North Division:
18-15-4-1
(.539)
Central Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Pacific Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
After Previous Result
After Win:
8-11-4-1
(.438)
After Reg. Loss:
11-5-0-2
(.667)
After OTL:
3-2-0-0
(.600)
After SOL:
1-1-1-0
(.500)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
4-6-1-0
(.409)
1 Day Rest:
11-4-2-1
(.694)
2 Days Rest:
1-1-0-2
(.500)
3+ Days Rest:
7-8-2-0
(.471)
By Day of Week
Monday:
1-0-0-1
(.750)
Tuesday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Wednesday:
5-8-1-1
(.400)
Thursday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Friday:
12-3-2-0
(.765)
Saturday:
5-6-2-1
(.464)
Sunday:
1-2-0-0
(.333)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
5 game losing streak
(Feb 15 - Feb 27)
Current Winless in Regulation:
5 games
(Feb 15 - Feb 27)
Longest Win Streak:
5 game
(Oct 22 - Oct 31)
Longest Loss Streak:
5 game
(Feb 15 - Feb 27)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
6 game
(Nov 28 - Dec 13)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
6 game
(Dec 13 - Jan 03)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
10-5-5-3
(.609)
Two-Goal Games:
4-8
(.333)
Three-Goal Games:
6-5
(.545)
4+ Goals:
4-1
(.800)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
12-13-3-3
(.484)
vs Below .500:
12-6-2-0
(.650)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
2.82
Avg Goals Against:
3.18
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.36
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.549
SOS Rank:
#27
RPI:
.549
RPI Rank:
#22
Performance vs Expected
56
Points
56.7
.549
Points %
.556
+3
Goal Diff
-4.1
160
Goals For
152.3
157
Goals Against
156.5
24
Wins
28.3
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 25
95%:
Oct 10
90%:
Oct 10
75%:
Oct 10
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
Championship Odds:
Peak:
3.1% on Oct 10
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
17th since Feb 28
Best Position:
5th on Oct 31
Worst Position:
19th on Oct 12
Recent Change:
↘ 17th from 14th (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
9th since Feb 28
Best Position:
2nd on Oct 31
Worst Position:
9th on Oct 19
Recent Change:
↘ 9th from 7th (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
5th since Feb 25
Best Position:
1st on Oct 26
Worst Position:
5th on Oct 19
Recent Change:
↘ 5th from 4th (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Magic/Tragic Number
Magic Number:
26
Tragic Number:
53
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the ROC finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 | 15,000 |
| 97 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |
| 95 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |
| 94 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 33 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 3 |
| 93 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |
| 92 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 29 59 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 17 |
| 91 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 15 50 26 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 34 |
| 90 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 13 41 40 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 68 |
| 89 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 5 27 46 20 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 143 |
| 88 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 20 39 36 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 201 |
| 87 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 6 28 48 17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 326 |
| 86 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 2 20 45 31 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 511 |
| 85 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 1 12 40 41 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 680 |
| 84 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 3 26 53 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 915 |
| 83 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 1 18 53 25 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,023 |
| 82 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 8 44 39 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,240 |
| 81 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 4 31 48 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,361 |
| 80 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 1 20 47 29 2 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,478 |
| 79 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 99.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 45 39 5 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,340 |
| 78 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 99.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 32 49 12 2 0 0 0 0 | 1,252 |
| 77 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 98.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 20 54 21 3 0 0 0 0 | 1,139 |
| 76 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 97.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 48 36 6 0 0 0 0 | 886 |
| 75 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 95.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 34 45 15 0 0 0 0 | 739 |
| 74 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 91.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 27 42 25 5 0 0 0 | 577 |
| 73 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 83.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 40 37 14 1 0 0 | 418 |
| 72 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 72.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 25 38 27 6 0 0 | 276 |
| 71 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 72.2% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 44 30 10 1 0 | 162 |
| 70 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 58.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 21 43 28 4 0 | 108 |
| 69 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 35.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13 40 30 13 2 | 53 |
| 68 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 15 19 23 35 4 | 26 |
| 67 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 53 20 13 | 15 |
| 66 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 67 0 33 | 3 |
| 65 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 67 | 3 |