Hershey Bears
58 points
25-20-6-2
Playoff chances: 97.2%
Current Streak:
3W
Unbeaten in Regulation:
3 games
Recent Games
Sat Feb 28
Sat 02-28
HER
5
@
RFD
1
Fri Feb 27
Fri 02-27
HER
4
@
RFD
1
Wed Feb 25
Wed 02-25
UTC
3
@
HER
6
Sat Feb 21
Sat 02-21
LV
6
@
HER
4
Fri Feb 20
Fri 02-20
LV
4
@
HER
1
Wed Feb 18
Wed 02-18
HER
3
@
TOR
2
Mon Feb 16
Mon 02-16
HER
1
@
BEL
3
Sat Feb 14
Sat 02-14
HER
6
@
BEL
3
Fri Feb 13
Fri 02-13
HER
1
@
LAV
6
Sat Feb 07
Sat 02-07
WBS
4
@
OT
HER
3
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Monday, March 02
Importance: 6
Team on 3-game winning streak
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Tuesday, March 03
Importance: 5
Team on 3-game winning streak
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 07
Importance: -1
Game in 6 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
Team on 3-game winning streak
Some playoff implications
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, March 08
Importance: -2
Game in 7 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
Some playoff implications
Elite quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 14
Importance: -7
Game in 13 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
Team on 5-game losing streak
Teams somewhat close in standings
Conference matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 13
Importance: -8
Game in 12 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
Some playoff implications
Elite quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, March 15
Importance: -8
Game in 14 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
Team on 5-game losing streak
Teams somewhat close in standings
Conference matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 21
Importance: -14
Game in 20 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
Some playoff implications
Teams moderately close in standings
Top 5 division teams
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Hershey Bears.
Last 10 Games
Record:
5-4-1-0
Points:
11 (.550)
Goal Differential:
+1
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-0.3%
vs Conference Avg:
-1.0%
vs Division Avg:
-1.9%
Last 7 Days
Record:
3-1-0-0
Points:
6 (.750)
Goal Differential:
+8
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
+16.9%
vs Conference Avg:
+18.5%
vs Division Avg:
+6.8%
Last 30 Days
Record:
6-6-1-0
Points:
13 (.500)
Goal Differential:
-3
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-5.8%
vs Conference Avg:
-6.5%
vs Division Avg:
-5.9%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
97.2%
Win Round 1:
54.3%
Win Round 2:
14.6%
Win Round 3:
5.0%
Win Round 4:
1.6%
🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆:
0.5%
Expected Playoff Games:
5.7
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.8
Home vs Away
Home:
12-11-5-1
(.517)
-6.0% vs league -5.4% vs conf -4.0% vs div
-6.0% vs league -5.4% vs conf -4.0% vs div
Away:
13-9-1-1
(.583)
+3.2% vs league +2.2% vs conf -0.3% vs div
+3.2% vs league +2.2% vs conf -0.3% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
4-3-1-0
(.562)
November 2025
7-4-0-0
(.636)
December 2025
3-7-0-0
(.300)
January 2026
6-1-4-2
(.692)
February 2026
5-5-1-0
(.500)
By Opponent Conference
Eastern Conference:
21-20-6-2
(.510)
Western Conference:
4-0-0-0
(1.000)
By Opponent Division
Atlantic Division:
12-13-4-2
(.484)
North Division:
9-7-2-0
(.556)
Central Division:
4-0-0-0
(1.000)
Pacific Division:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
After Previous Result
After Win:
12-10-1-1
(.542)
After Reg. Loss:
10-8-2-0
(.550)
After OTL:
3-1-1-1
(.667)
After SOL:
0-0-2-0
(.500)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
10-5-3-1
(.632)
1 Day Rest:
4-5-1-0
(.450)
2 Days Rest:
3-2-2-1
(.562)
3+ Days Rest:
8-7-0-0
(.533)
By Day of Week
Monday:
0-1-0-0
(.000)
Tuesday:
0-0-1-0
(.500)
Wednesday:
4-4-1-0
(.500)
Thursday:
1-0-0-0
(1.000)
Friday:
3-6-0-1
(.350)
Saturday:
13-5-2-0
(.700)
Sunday:
4-4-2-1
(.500)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
3 game winning streak
(Feb 25 - Feb 28)
Current Unbeaten in Regulation:
3 games
(Feb 25 - Feb 28)
Longest Win Streak:
5 game
(Nov 09 - Nov 20)
Longest Loss Streak:
4 game
(Dec 21 - Dec 31)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
11 game
(Jan 03 - Jan 28)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
7 game
(Jan 11 - Jan 24)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
12-3-6-2
(.696)
Two-Goal Games:
3-6
(.333)
Three-Goal Games:
6-9
(.400)
4+ Goals:
4-2
(.667)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
14-18-4-2
(.447)
vs Below .500:
11-2-2-0
(.800)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
3.08
Avg Goals Against:
3.31
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.23
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.554
SOS Rank:
#23
RPI:
.554
RPI Rank:
#18
Performance vs Expected
58
Points
58.2
.547
Points %
.549
-7
Goal Diff
-8.3
154
Goals For
156.3
161
Goals Against
164.7
25
Wins
29.1
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
97.8% on Oct 17
95%:
Oct 17
90%:
Oct 17
75%:
Oct 10
Recent Trend:
↗ Increasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
3.1% on Oct 10
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
16th since Feb 28
Best Position:
6th on Nov 20
Worst Position:
27th on Oct 11
Recent Change:
→ 16th position (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
8th since Feb 28
Best Position:
4th on Nov 20
Worst Position:
14th on Oct 11
Recent Change:
↗ 8th from 9th (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
4th since Jan 28
Best Position:
4th on Oct 30
Worst Position:
7th on Oct 11
Recent Change:
→ 4th position (Jan 28-Feb 28)
Magic/Tragic Number
Magic Number:
28
Tragic Number:
50
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the HER finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 | 15,000 |
| 93 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |
| 92 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 67 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 3 |
| 91 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 40 27 20 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 15 |
| 90 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 10 50 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 20 |
| 89 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 7 32 42 18 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 57 |
| 88 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 21 44 29 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 85 |
| 87 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 6 36 43 12 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 168 |
| 86 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 4 23 42 26 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 258 |
| 85 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 1 10 41 38 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 427 |
| 84 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 5 26 53 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 620 |
| 83 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 1 21 48 28 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 778 |
| 82 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 8 44 40 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 986 |
| 81 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 4 30 49 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,296 |
| 80 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 2 22 50 24 2 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,425 |
| 79 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 46 38 5 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,419 |
| 78 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 38 45 11 1 0 0 0 0 | 1,487 |
| 77 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 26 49 21 2 0 0 0 0 | 1,282 |
| 76 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 99.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 48 32 6 0 0 0 0 | 1,213 |
| 75 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 99.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 36 45 12 1 0 0 0 | 1,036 |
| 74 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 97.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 21 48 25 3 0 0 0 | 790 |
| 73 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 93.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 37 40 10 0 0 0 | 587 |
| 72 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 88.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 36 39 17 3 0 0 | 405 |
| 71 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 71.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 19 35 36 8 0 0 | 275 |
| 70 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 52.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 31 36 25 2 0 | 163 |
| 69 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 15 32 42 8 0 | 106 |
| 68 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 24 47 22 4 | 51 |
| 67 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 48 35 4 | 23 |
| 66 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 40 20 27 | 15 |
| 65 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 2 |
| 64 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 50 33 | 6 |
| 63 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 | 1 |