Tampa Bay Lightning
88 points
42-21-2-2
Playoff chances: 99.6%
Current Streak:
2W
Unbeaten in Regulation:
2 games
Recent Games
Thu Mar 19
Thu 03-19
TBL
6
@
VAN
2
Tue Mar 17
Tue 03-17
TBL
6
@
SEA
2
Sat Mar 14
Sat 03-14
CAR
4
@
TBL
2
Thu Mar 12
Thu 03-12
DET
1
@
TBL
4
Tue Mar 10
Tue 03-10
CBJ
5
@
TBL
2
Sun Mar 08
Sun 03-08
TBL
7
@
BUF
8
Sat Mar 07
Sat 03-07
TBL
5
@
TOR
2
Thu Mar 05
Thu 03-05
TBL
1
@
WPG
4
Tue Mar 03
Tue 03-03
TBL
1
@
MIN
5
Sat Feb 28
Sat 02-28
BUF
6
@
TBL
2
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Tuesday, March 24
Importance: 8
Playoff seeding implications
Some playoff implications
Teams very close in standings
Elite quality matchup
Top 3 conference teams | Top 3 division teams
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 21
Importance: 7
Some playoff implications
High quality matchup
Top 2 division teams
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, March 22
Importance: 2
Quality matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Thursday, March 26
Importance: -1
Game in 5 days
Some playoff implications
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 28
Importance: -2
Game in 7 days
Playoff race implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
High quality matchup
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, March 29
Importance: -3
Game in 8 days
Playoff race implications
High quality matchup
Top 5 division teams
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Tuesday, March 31
Importance: -3
Game in 10 days
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Elite quality matchup
Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Thursday, April 02
Importance: -5
Game in 12 days
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Elite quality matchup
Top 2 division teams
Conference matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Tampa Bay Lightning.
Last 10 Games
Record:
4-6-0-0
Points:
8 (.400)
Goal Differential:
-3
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-17.2%
vs Conference Avg:
-20.6%
vs Division Avg:
-16.9%
Last 7 Days
Record:
3-1-0-0
Points:
6 (.750)
Goal Differential:
+9
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
+17.2%
vs Conference Avg:
+7.8%
vs Division Avg:
+12.5%
Last 30 Days
Record:
5-7-0-0
Points:
10 (.417)
Goal Differential:
-2
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-15.1%
vs Conference Avg:
-18.4%
vs Division Avg:
-14.6%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
99.6%
Win Round 1:
65.2%
Win Round 2:
36.9%
Win Round 3:
21.3%
🏆 Win Stanley Cup 🏆:
11.1%
Expected Playoff Games:
12.9
Expected Playoff Rounds:
2.2
Home vs Away
Home:
20-12-0-0
(.625)
+3.8% vs league +1.8% vs conf +0.1% vs div
+3.8% vs league +1.8% vs conf +0.1% vs div
Away:
22-9-2-2
(.686)
+14.5% vs league +12.2% vs conf +12.2% vs div
+14.5% vs league +12.2% vs conf +12.2% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
5-4-2-0
(.545)
November 2025
11-3-0-0
(.786)
December 2025
7-6-0-1
(.536)
January 2026
11-1-0-1
(.885)
February 2026
4-2-0-0
(.667)
March 2026
4-5-0-0
(.444)
By Opponent Conference
Eastern:
22-15-2-1
(.588)
Western:
20-6-0-1
(.759)
By Opponent Division
Atlantic:
12-5-1-0
(.694)
Metropolitan:
10-10-1-1
(.500)
Central:
9-4-0-1
(.679)
Pacific:
11-2-0-0
(.846)
After Previous Result
After Win:
30-8-1-2
(.768)
After Reg. Loss:
11-10-0-0
(.524)
After OTL:
0-1-1-0
(.250)
After SOL:
1-1-0-0
(.500)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
6-5-1-0
(.542)
1 Day Rest:
25-10-0-1
(.708)
2 Days Rest:
8-3-1-1
(.692)
3+ Days Rest:
3-2-0-0
(.600)
By Day of Week
Monday:
5-2-0-0
(.714)
Tuesday:
8-4-1-0
(.654)
Wednesday:
3-1-0-0
(.750)
Thursday:
9-6-0-0
(.600)
Friday:
2-0-1-1
(.750)
Saturday:
10-6-0-1
(.618)
Sunday:
5-2-0-0
(.714)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
2 game winning streak
(Mar 17 - Mar 19)
Current Unbeaten in Regulation:
2 games
(Mar 17 - Mar 19)
Longest Win Streak:
11 game
(Dec 20 - Jan 13)
Longest Loss Streak:
4 game
(Oct 14 - Oct 23)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
15 game
(Dec 20 - Jan 23)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
4 game
(Oct 14 - Oct 23)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
12-9-2-2
(.560)
Two-Goal Games:
9-4
(.692)
Three-Goal Games:
11-4
(.733)
4+ Goals:
10-4
(.714)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
36-17-2-1
(.670)
vs Below .500:
6-4-0-1
(.591)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
3.67
Avg Goals Against:
3.83
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.17
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.562
SOS Rank:
#29
RPI:
.585
RPI Rank:
#5
Performance vs Expected
88
Points
87.4
.657
Points %
.652
+57
Goal Diff
+60.6
243
Goals For
241.0
186
Goals Against
180.4
42
Wins
43.7
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Feb 25
95%:
Oct 08
90%:
Oct 08
75%:
Oct 08
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
Championship Odds:
Peak:
12.0% on Feb 27
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
6th since Mar 05
Best Position:
2nd on Jan 18
Worst Position:
30th on Oct 11
Recent Change:
↘ 6th from 2nd (Feb 05-Mar 20)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
3rd since Mar 05
Best Position:
1st on Nov 29
Worst Position:
16th on Oct 22
Recent Change:
↘ 3rd from 1st (Feb 05-Mar 20)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
2nd since Mar 05
Best Position:
1st on Nov 24
Worst Position:
8th on Oct 09
Recent Change:
↘ 2nd from 1st (Feb 05-Mar 20)
Magic/Tragic Numbers
Playoffs
Magic Number:
23
Tragic Number:
35
Atlantic Championship
Magic Number:
31
Tragic Number:
27
Eastern Championship
Status:
Eliminated
President's Trophy Championship
Status:
Eliminated
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the TBL finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of President's Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 | 10,000 |
| 118 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | In | 50.0% | 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 2 |
| 117 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | In | 28.6% | 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 7 |
| 116 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 22.7% | 96 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 22 |
| 115 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 12.1% | 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 66 |
| 114 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 7.5% | 94 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 107 |
| 113 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 4.2% | 86 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 214 |
| 112 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 1.1% | 72 27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 355 |
| 111 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.2% | 59 37 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 536 |
| 110 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 42 49 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 746 |
| 109 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 30 52 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 984 |
| 108 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 18 53 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,071 |
| 107 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 9 44 45 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,142 |
| 106 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 3 32 57 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1,136 |
| 105 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 1 18 62 16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 921 |
| 104 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 10 56 30 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 859 |
| 103 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 2 37 44 15 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 625 |
| 102 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 19 42 31 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 469 |
| 101 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 99.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 10 32 38 15 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 307 |
| 100 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 98.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 3 13 36 30 17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 194 |
| 99 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 96.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 3 18 32 35 11 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 108 |
| 98 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 87.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 1 0 8 23 36 21 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 77 |
| 97 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 76.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 3 12 29 32 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 34 |
| 96 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 25 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 8 |
| 95 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 33 17 0 0 0 0 0 | 6 |
| 94 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 2 |
| 93 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |
| 92 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |