Ottawa Senators - NHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

79 points

35-24-9-0

Playoff chances: 37.1%

Current Streak: 1W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Thu Mar 19 Thu 03-19

NYI 2

OTT 3

Wed Mar 18 Wed 03-18

OTT 1

WSH 4

Sun Mar 15 Sun 03-15

SJS 4

OTT 7

Sat Mar 14 Sat 03-14

ANA 0

OTT 2

Wed Mar 11 Wed 03-11

MTL 3

OTT 2

Mon Mar 09 Mon 03-09

OTT 2

VAN 0

Sat Mar 07 Sat 03-07

OTT 7

SEA 4

Thu Mar 05 Thu 03-05

OTT 4

CGY 1

Tue Mar 03 Tue 03-03

OTT 4

EDM 5

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

OTT 5

TOR 2

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Tuesday, March 24 Importance: 6

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

Detroit Red Wings 84 pts (66%)

Playoff race implications Teams close in standings High quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 21 Importance: 5

Toronto Maple Leafs 71 pts (0%)

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

Some playoff implications Teams somewhat close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game Away team on back-to-back

Monday, March 23 Importance: 3

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

New York Rangers 64 pts

Team on 3-game losing streak Some playoff implications Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Thursday, March 26 Importance: 2

Pittsburgh Penguins 84 pts (90%)

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

Game in 5 days Playoff race implications Teams close in standings High quality matchup Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 28 Importance: -2

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

Tampa Bay Lightning 88 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Playoff race implications Teams somewhat close in standings High quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Tuesday, March 31 Importance: -6

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

Florida Panthers 71 pts (0%)

Game in 10 days Some playoff implications Teams somewhat close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Thursday, April 02 Importance: -8

Buffalo Sabres 92 pts (100%)

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

Game in 12 days Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications Elite quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: -11

Minnesota Wild 90 pts (100%)

Ottawa Senators 79 pts (37%)

Game in 14 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Ottawa Senators.

Last 10 Games

Record: 7-2-1-0

Points: 15 (.750)

Goal Differential: +12

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +17.8%

vs Conference Avg: +14.4%

vs Division Avg: +18.1%

Last 7 Days

Record: 3-1-0-0

Points: 6 (.750)

Goal Differential: +3

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +17.2%

vs Conference Avg: +7.8%

vs Division Avg: +12.5%

Last 30 Days

Record: 7-2-2-0

Points: 16 (.727)

Goal Differential: +11

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +16.0%

vs Conference Avg: +12.7%

vs Division Avg: +16.5%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 37.1%

Win Round 1: 12.8%

Win Round 2: 5.3%

Win Round 3: 2.0%

🏆 Win Stanley Cup 🏆: 0.7%

Expected Playoff Games: 8.9

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.5

Home vs Away

Home: 17-11-5-0 (.591)

+0.4% vs league -1.6% vs conf -3.3% vs div

Away: 18-13-4-0 (.571)

+3.1% vs league +0.8% vs conf +0.7% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

6-5-1-0 (.542)

November 2025

6-4-3-0 (.577)

December 2025

6-6-1-0 (.500)

January 2026

8-6-2-0 (.562)

February 2026

3-1-1-0 (.700)

March 2026

6-2-1-0 (.722)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

18-13-6-0 (.568)

Western:

17-11-3-0 (.597)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic:

6-6-6-0 (.500)

Metropolitan:

12-7-0-0 (.632)

Central:

5-9-1-0 (.367)

Pacific:

12-2-2-0 (.812)

After Previous Result

After Win:

15-13-6-0 (.529)

After Reg. Loss:

13-10-1-0 (.562)

After OTL:

6-1-2-0 (.778)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

7-3-1-0 (.682)

1 Day Rest:

20-18-3-0 (.524)

2 Days Rest:

6-2-3-0 (.682)

3+ Days Rest:

1-1-2-0 (.500)

By Day of Week

Monday:

4-4-0-0 (.500)

Tuesday:

3-3-4-0 (.500)

Wednesday:

3-4-0-0 (.429)

Thursday:

12-3-2-0 (.765)

Friday:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Saturday:

9-8-2-0 (.526)

Sunday:

4-1-1-0 (.750)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game winning streak (Started Mar 19)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 1 game (Started Mar 19)

Longest Win Streak: 4 game (Dec 15 - Dec 21)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Jan 05 - Jan 10)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 7 game (Oct 30 - Nov 13)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 6 game (Oct 11 - Oct 21)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

14-10-9-0 (.561)

Two-Goal Games:

6-5 (.545)

Three-Goal Games:

9-4 (.692)

4+ Goals:

6-5 (.545)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

27-20-9-0 (.562)

vs Below .500:

8-4-0-0 (.667)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.45

Avg Goals Against: 2.45

Avg Goal Differential: +1.00

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .564

SOS Rank: #18

RPI: .568

RPI Rank: #13

Performance vs Expected

79 Points 79.6

.581 Points % .585

+18 Goal Diff +15.4

229 Goals For 219.4

211 Goals Against 204.1

35 Wins 39.8

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 08

95%: Oct 08

90%: Oct 08

75%: Oct 08

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 6.6% on Oct 09

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 14th since Mar 20

Best Position: 7th on Nov 13

Worst Position: 29th on Oct 15

Recent Change: ↗ 14th from 17th (Feb 05-Mar 20)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 10th since Mar 14

Best Position: 3rd on Nov 14

Worst Position: 16th on Oct 19

Recent Change: ↗ 10th from 11th (Feb 05-Mar 20)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 6th since Feb 05

Best Position: 1st on Nov 13

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 08

Recent Change: → 6th position (Feb 05-Mar 20)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 34

Tragic Number: 24

Atlantic Championship

Status: Eliminated

Eastern Championship

Status: Eliminated

President's Trophy Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the OTT finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of President's Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16	10,000
107	13	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
106	13	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 33 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	3
105	12	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 14 36 41 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	22
104	12	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 2 20 52 22 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	40
103	11	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 1 11 48 33 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	122
102	11	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 5 24 48 18 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	186
101	10	4	0	0	99.5%	0.0%	0 0 2 17 36 34 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	365
100	10	4	0	0	97.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 5 25 39 23 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	490
99	9	5	0	0	90.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 1 11 29 38 16 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	702
98	9	5	0	0	76.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 3 16 34 30 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	911
97	8	6	0	0	55.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 5 21 39 27 8 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,082
96	8	6	0	0	33.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 8 30 39 20 2 0 0 0 0 0	1,139
95	7	6	1	0	13.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 38 37 9 0 0 0 0 0	1,126
94	7	6	1	0	4.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 28 43 22 2 0 0 0 0	974
93	6	7	1	0	0.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 43 36 7 0 0 0 0	899
92	6	7	1	0	0.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 31 47 17 1 0 0 0	696
91	5	8	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 19 45 31 4 0 0 0	499
90	5	8	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 41 42 8 1 0 0	308
89	4	9	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 25 47 24 2 0 0	214
88	4	9	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 39 43 7 0 0	108
87	3	9	1	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 52 19 5 0	58
86	2	10	1	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 47 34 16 0	32
85	2	10	1	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 47 20 0	15
84	1	10	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 0	4
83	0	11	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 0	4