Wichita Thunder - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

52 points

22-21-4-4

Playoff chances: 9.1%

Current Streak: 1L

Winless in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

WIC 1

IDH 4

Wed Feb 25 Wed 02-25

WIC 3

IDH 2

Sat Feb 21 Sat 02-21

WIC 0

KC 1

Fri Feb 20 Fri 02-20

WIC 3

KC 4

Wed Feb 18 Wed 02-18

WIC 3

IA 6

Sun Feb 15 Sun 02-15

IDH 1

WIC 4

Sat Feb 14 Sat 02-14

IDH 1

WIC 4

Fri Feb 13 Fri 02-13

IDH 5

WIC 2

Wed Feb 11 Wed 02-11

WIC 2

ALN 1

Sat Feb 07 Sat 02-07

RC 3

WIC 4

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, March 04 Importance: 3

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Indy Fuel 57 pts (64%)

Teams close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 06 Importance: 0

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Indy Fuel 57 pts (64%)

Game in 5 days Teams close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 07 Importance: -1

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Indy Fuel 57 pts (64%)

Game in 6 days Teams close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 08 Importance: -4

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Toledo Walleye 68 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days High quality matchup Top 5 division teams Conference matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Thursday, March 12 Importance: -5

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Rapid City Rush 48 pts (5%)

Game in 11 days Teams close in standings Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 13 Importance: -6

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Rapid City Rush 48 pts (5%)

Game in 12 days Teams close in standings Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 14 Importance: -7

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Rapid City Rush 48 pts (5%)

Game in 13 days Teams close in standings Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 20 Importance: -20

Kansas City Mavericks 85 pts (100%)

Wichita Thunder 52 pts (9%)

Game in 19 days Elite quality matchup Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Wichita Thunder.

Last 10 Games

Record: 5-4-1-0

Points: 11 (.550)

Goal Differential: -2

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -0.7%

vs Conference Avg: -1.0%

vs Division Avg: -1.9%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-1-1-0

Points: 3 (.500)

Goal Differential: -3

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -4.3%

vs Conference Avg: -5.8%

vs Division Avg: -5.2%

Last 30 Days

Record: 6-7-1-0

Points: 13 (.464)

Goal Differential: -5

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -9.3%

vs Conference Avg: -8.8%

vs Division Avg: -9.7%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 9.1%

Win Round 1: 2.3%

Win Round 2: 0.7%

Win Round 3: 0.2%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 0.1%

Expected Playoff Games: 7.6

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.4

Home vs Away

Home: 14-8-2-4 (.607)

+5.3% vs league +7.1% vs conf +3.2% vs div

Away: 8-13-2-0 (.391)

-15.4% vs league -16.4% vs conf -13.1% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-1-1 (.600)

November 2025

5-7-1-0 (.423)

December 2025

4-3-1-1 (.556)

January 2026

5-4-0-2 (.545)

February 2026

6-6-1-0 (.500)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

1-1-1-0 (.500)

Western:

21-20-3-4 (.510)

By Opponent Division

North:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

South:

1-1-1-0 (.500)

Central:

2-2-0-0 (.500)

Mountain:

19-18-3-4 (.511)

After Previous Result

After Win:

7-12-1-2 (.386)

After Reg. Loss:

9-7-3-1 (.550)

After OTL:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

After SOL:

3-1-0-0 (.750)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

11-7-3-2 (.587)

1 Day Rest:

2-6-0-0 (.250)

2 Days Rest:

2-3-0-0 (.400)

3+ Days Rest:

7-5-1-1 (.571)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Wednesday:

5-4-1-0 (.550)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

5-9-0-1 (.367)

Saturday:

8-4-3-3 (.611)

Sunday:

3-4-0-0 (.429)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game losing streak (Started Feb 28)

Current Winless in Regulation: 1 game (Started Feb 28)

Longest Win Streak: 3 game (Nov 29 - Dec 06)

Longest Loss Streak: 4 game (Oct 31 - Nov 05)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 5 game (Nov 29 - Dec 13)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Oct 31 - Nov 05)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

12-9-4-4 (.552)

Two-Goal Games:

3-6 (.333)

Three-Goal Games:

5-4 (.556)

4+ Goals:

2-2 (.500)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

12-17-2-4 (.429)

vs Below .500:

10-4-2-0 (.688)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 2.57

Avg Goals Against: 2.93

Avg Goal Differential: -0.36

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .578

SOS Rank: #4

RPI: .553

RPI Rank: #15

Performance vs Expected

52 Points 52.4

.510 Points % .514

-7 Goal Diff -21.4

153 Goals For 143.5

160 Goals Against 164.9

22 Wins 26.2

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 50.0% on Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 3.3% on Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 19th since Feb 28

Best Position: 11th on Oct 29

Worst Position: 25th on Oct 19

Recent Change: ↘ 19th from 17th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 10th since Feb 28

Best Position: 5th on Oct 30

Worst Position: 13th on Nov 19

Recent Change: ↘ 10th from 9th (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Jan 17

Best Position: 3rd on Nov 06

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 19

Recent Change: → 5th position (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 40

Tragic Number: 33

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the WIC finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	15,000
90	18	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	1
89	18	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 12 62 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	8
88	17	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 20 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5
87	17	4	0	0	92.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 69 23 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	13
86	16	5	0	0	96.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 55 42 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	31
85	16	5	0	0	81.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 29 56 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	59
84	15	6	0	0	72.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 19 52 28 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	129
83	15	6	0	0	70.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 16 57 24 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	194
82	14	6	1	0	54.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 5 48 39 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	322
81	14	6	1	0	40.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 3 29 50 16 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	454
80	13	7	1	0	34.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 1 22 49 25 3 0 0 0 0 0 0	619
79	13	7	1	0	20.7%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 10 40 37 11 1 0 0 0 0 0	783
78	12	8	1	0	13.3%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 4 29 43 20 4 0 0 0 0 0	993
77	12	8	1	0	7.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 1 17 40 32 9 0 0 0 0 0	1,112
76	11	9	1	0	3.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 9 31 39 19 3 0 0 0 0	1,299
75	11	9	1	0	1.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 2 17 40 31 9 1 0 0 0	1,372
74	10	10	1	0	0.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 30 40 18 3 0 0 0	1,395
73	10	10	1	0	0.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 18 38 33 8 0 0 0	1,301
72	9	11	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 28 41 20 2 0 0	1,139
71	9	11	1	0	0.1%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 16 42 33 7 0 0	1,015
70	8	11	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 31 46 15 0 0	840
69	7	12	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 19 48 30 1 0	612
68	7	12	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 42 44 2 0	462
67	6	13	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 33 57 6 0	330
66	6	13	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 22 71 6 0	207
65	5	14	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 76 15 2	155
64	5	14	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 58 35 2	83
63	4	15	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 60 30 3	37
62	4	15	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 40 7	15
61	3	16	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 38 62 0	8
60	3	16	2	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	3
59	1	16	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 33 33	3
58	1	16	3	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	1