Wheeling Nailers - ECHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

98 points

46-18-3-3

Playoff chances: CLINCHED

Current Streak: 2W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 2 games

Winless in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sun Apr 12 Sun 04-12

WHL 2

REA 1

Sat Apr 11 Sat 04-11

WHL 6

REA 2

Fri Apr 10 Fri 04-10

WHL 2

REA 3

Tue Apr 07 Tue 04-07

CIN 4

WHL 2

Sat Apr 04 Sat 04-04

WHL 4

TOL 2

Wed Apr 01 Wed 04-01

WHL 8

FW 5

Sun Mar 29 Sun 03-29

WOR 1

WHL 4

Sat Mar 28 Sat 03-28

WOR 1

WHL 2

Fri Mar 27 Fri 03-27

WOR 0

WHL 4

Sun Mar 22 Sun 03-22

WHL 3

TR 1

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Friday, April 17 Importance: 10

Wheeling Nailers 98 pts (100%)

Toledo Walleye 94 pts (100%)

Potential championship race impact Playoff seeding implications Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 2 division teams Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 18 Importance: 2

Indy Fuel 76 pts (44%)

Wheeling Nailers 98 pts (100%)

Game in 5 days Playoff race implications High quality matchup Top 3 division teams Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Wheeling Nailers.

Last 10 Games

Record: 8-2-0-0

Points: 16 (.800)

Goal Differential: +17

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +23.7%

vs Conference Avg: +28.3%

vs Division Avg: +29.4%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-2-0-0

Points: 4 (.500)

Goal Differential: +2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: -4.7%

vs Conference Avg: +0.3%

vs Division Avg: +2.2%

Last 30 Days

Record: 12-2-0-0

Points: 24 (.857)

Goal Differential: +25

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +30.2%

vs Conference Avg: +32.5%

vs Division Avg: +33.9%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 100.0%

Win Round 1: 73.7%

Win Round 2: 46.4%

Win Round 3: 23.2%

🏆 Win Kelly Cup 🏆: 11.7%

Expected Playoff Games: 13.9

Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.4

Home vs Away

Home: 24-7-2-2 (.743)

+18.1% vs league +16.6% vs conf +15.9% vs div

Away: 22-11-1-1 (.657)

+11.6% vs league +13.7% vs conf +15.9% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

2-1-0-0 (.667)

November 2025

12-2-1-0 (.833)

December 2025

6-4-0-0 (.600)

January 2026

6-4-1-1 (.583)

February 2026

5-4-0-2 (.545)

March 2026

11-1-1-0 (.885)

April 2026

4-2-0-0 (.667)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern:

32-15-1-2 (.670)

Western:

14-3-2-1 (.775)

By Opponent Division

North:

32-15-1-2 (.670)

South:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Central:

11-3-2-1 (.735)

Mountain:

3-0-0-0 (1.000)

After Previous Result

After Win:

30-12-1-2 (.700)

After Reg. Loss:

12-3-2-1 (.750)

After OTL:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

After SOL:

1-2-0-0 (.333)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

23-6-3-1 (.758)

1 Day Rest:

8-2-0-1 (.773)

2 Days Rest:

5-4-0-0 (.556)

3+ Days Rest:

9-6-0-1 (.594)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

Wednesday:

6-4-0-1 (.591)

Thursday:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

13-6-0-1 (.675)

Saturday:

18-5-1-0 (.771)

Sunday:

7-2-2-1 (.708)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game winning streak (Apr 11 - Apr 12)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 2 games (Apr 11 - Apr 12)

Current Winless in Regulation: 1 game (Started Apr 12)

Longest Win Streak: 10 game (Mar 13 - Apr 04)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Jan 24 - Feb 01)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 10 game (Mar 13 - Apr 04)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 7 game (Jan 24 - Feb 06)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

16-6-3-3 (.679)

Two-Goal Games:

12-3 (.800)

Three-Goal Games:

9-7 (.562)

4+ Goals:

9-2 (.818)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

34-15-3-3 (.673)

vs Below .500:

12-3-0-0 (.800)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.71

Avg Goals Against: 1.93

Avg Goal Differential: +1.79

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .544

SOS Rank: #16

RPI: .584

RPI Rank: #4

Performance vs Expected

98 Points 97.2

.700 Points % .694

+60 Goal Diff +98.2

226 Goals For 265.8

166 Goals Against 167.6

46 Wins 48.6

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Oct 23

95%: Oct 17

90%: Oct 17

75%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 57.1% on Dec 07

35%: Nov 29

25%: Oct 23

15%: Oct 23

Recent Trend: → Stable

League Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Mar 22

Best Position: 1st on Nov 18

Worst Position: 24th on Oct 31

Recent Change: ↗ 3rd from 5th (Mar 13-Apr 12)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 22

Best Position: 1st on Oct 18

Worst Position: 15th on Oct 25

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 3rd (Mar 13-Apr 12)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 1st since Feb 27

Best Position: 1st on Nov 07

Worst Position: 8th on Oct 25

Recent Change: → 1st position (Mar 13-Apr 12)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Status: Clinched Playoffs

North Championship

Status: North Champion

Eastern Championship

Status: Eliminated

Brabham Cup Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the WHL finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of Brabham Cup	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15	90,000
102	1	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	24,924
101	1	1	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	10,033
100	0	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	37,460
99	0	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	6,368
98	0	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	11,215