Last updated: 2026-10-15 19:51 ET
Games completed through: 2026-10-14

Toronto Marlies

6 points
3-1-0-0
Playoff chances: 79.7%
Current Streak: 3W
Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games

Recent Games

Sun Oct 11 Sun 10-11
Toronto Marlies logo TOR 5
@
Hamilton Hammers logo HAM 2
Fri Oct 09 Fri 10-09
Toronto Marlies logo TOR 5
@
SO
Hamilton Hammers logo HAM 4
Sat Oct 03 Sat 10-03
Hamilton Hammers logo HAM 3
@
Toronto Marlies logo TOR 5
Fri Oct 02 Fri 10-02
Toronto Marlies logo TOR 1
@
Rochester Americans logo ROC 3

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Saturday, October 17 Importance: 6
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
@
Belleville Senators logo Belleville Senators 4 pts (25%)
Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, October 18 Importance: 5
Belleville Senators logo Belleville Senators 4 pts (25%)
@
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, October 21 Importance: 3
Hamilton Hammers logo Hamilton Hammers 3 pts (27%)
@
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
Game in 6 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 3-game losing streak Playoff race implications Teams close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, October 24 Importance: -2
Rockford IceHogs logo Rockford IceHogs 2 pts (47%)
@
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
Game in 9 days Team on 3-game winning streak High playoff race importance Teams close in standings Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, October 25 Importance: -3
Rockford IceHogs logo Rockford IceHogs 2 pts (47%)
@
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
Game in 10 days Team on 3-game winning streak High playoff race importance Teams close in standings Similar goal differential per game
Friday, October 30 Importance: -9
Hershey Bears logo Hershey Bears 6 pts (95%)
@
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
Game in 15 days Team on 3-game winning streak Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams tied in standings Elite quality matchup Top 5 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Conference matchup Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, November 01 Importance: -12
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
@
Belleville Senators logo Belleville Senators 4 pts (25%)
Game in 17 days Team on 3-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game
Wednesday, November 04 Importance: -13
Toronto Marlies logo Toronto Marlies 6 pts (80%)
@
Hamilton Hammers logo Hamilton Hammers 3 pts (27%)
Game in 20 days Team on 3-game losing streak Team on 3-game winning streak Playoff race implications Teams close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Toronto Marlies.

Point Percentage through 4 GP

Current: .750
Last (25-26): .750
Last 5 (avg): .675
Last 10 (avg): .662
All-time (avg): .613

Goals/Game through 4 GP

Current: 4.00 - 3.00 (+1.00)
Last (25-26): 3.00 - 2.00 (+1.00)
Last 5 (avg): 3.20 - 2.70 (+0.50)
Last 10 (avg): 3.45 - 2.85 (+0.60)
All-time (avg): 3.35 - 2.87 (+0.48)

Last 10 Games

Record: 3-1-0-0
Points: 6 (.750)
Goal Differential: +4
Trend (last 4 games):
Green/red = this season Blue dash = Last (25-26) Gray dash = Last 5 (avg) vs season avg line
vs League Avg: +19.3%
vs Conference Avg: +17.8%
vs Division Avg: +12.5%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-0-0-0
Points: 4 (1.000)
Goal Differential: +4
Trend:
Green = above season avg Red = below season avg
vs League Avg: +43.8%
vs Conference Avg: +39.4%
vs Division Avg: +34.4%

Last 30 Days

Record: 3-1-0-0
Points: 6 (.750)
Goal Differential: +4
Trend:
Green = above season avg Red = below season avg
vs League Avg: +19.3%
vs Conference Avg: +17.8%
vs Division Avg: +12.5%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 79.7%
Win Round 1: 66.7%
Win Round 2: 32.6%
Win Round 3: 15.4%
Win Round 4: 6.9%
🏆 Win Calder Cup 🏆: 3.1%
Expected Playoff Games: 7.6
Expected Playoff Rounds: 2.5

Home vs Away

Home: 1-0-0-0 (1.000)
+52.6% vs league +55.7% vs conf +42.7% vs div
Away: 2-1-0-0 (.667)
-0.1% vs league -12.2% vs conf -5.2% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2026
3-1-0-0 (.750)

By Opponent Conference

Eastern Conference:
3-1-0-0 (.750)
Western Conference:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Opponent Division

Atlantic Division:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
North Division:
3-1-0-0 (.750)
Central Division:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
Pacific Division:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)

After Previous Result

After Win:
2-0-0-0 (1.000)
After Reg. Loss:
1-0-0-0 (1.000)
After OTL:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
After SOL:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:
1-0-0-0 (1.000)
1 Day Rest:
1-0-0-0 (1.000)
2 Days Rest:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
3+ Days Rest:
1-0-0-0 (1.000)

By Day of Week

Monday:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
Tuesday:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
Wednesday:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
Thursday:
0-0-0-0 (N/A)
Friday:
1-1-0-0 (.500)
Saturday:
1-0-0-0 (1.000)
Sunday:
1-0-0-0 (1.000)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 3 game winning streak (Oct 03 - Oct 11)
Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 games (Oct 03 - Oct 11)
Longest Win Streak: 3 game (Oct 03 - Oct 11)
Longest Loss Streak: 1 game (Oct 02)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 3 game (Oct 03 - Oct 11)
Longest Winless in Regulation: 1 game (Oct 02)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:
1-0-0-0 (1.000)
Two-Goal Games:
1-1 (.500)
Three-Goal Games:
1-0 (1.000)
4+ Goals:
0-0 (N/A)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:
0-1-0-0 (.000)
vs Below .500:
3-0-0-0 (1.000)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 4.00
Avg Goals Against: 3.00
Avg Goal Differential: +1.00

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .500
SOS Rank: #21
RPI: .574
RPI Rank: #8

Performance vs Expected

6 Points 4.7
.750 Points % .583
+4 Goal Diff +1.1
16 Goals For 12.8
12 Goals Against 11.6
3 Wins 2.3

Odds History

Playoff Odds:
Peak: 79.7% on Oct 14
75%: Oct 11
50%: Oct 02
25%: Oct 02
Recent Trend: ↗ Increasing
Championship Odds:
Peak: 2.3% on Oct 14
Recent Trend: ↗ Increasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 8th since Oct 14
Best Position: 8th on Oct 14
Worst Position: 18th on Oct 04
Recent Change: ↗ 8th from 18th (Oct 04-14)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Oct 11
Best Position: 4th on Oct 09
Worst Position: 8th on Oct 04
Recent Change: ↗ 5th from 8th (Oct 04-14)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Oct 11
Best Position: 2nd on Oct 09
Worst Position: 5th on Oct 03
Recent Change: ↗ 3rd from 5th (Oct 04-14)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 135
Tragic Number: 138

North Division Championship

Magic Number: 139
Tragic Number: 137

Eastern Conference Championship

Magic Number: 139
Tragic Number: 137

Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy Championship

Magic Number: 139
Tragic Number: 135

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the TOR finish out the regular season.

If finish: Chance Chance Chance will finish regular season at seed Count
Points W L OTL SOL in Playoffs of Macgregor Kilpatrick Trophy 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 50,000
119 55 11 2 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
116 54 12 2 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
115 53 13 2 0 In 0.0% 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
113 52 14 2 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
112 52 14 2 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
111 51 15 2 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
110 51 15 2 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
109 50 15 3 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
108 49 16 3 0 In 100.0% 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15
107 49 16 3 0 In 85.2% 93 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27
106 48 16 3 1 In 80.5% 95 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41
105 47 17 3 1 In 90.4% 96 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52
104 47 17 3 1 In 72.5% 89 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80
103 46 18 3 1 In 73.2% 86 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 112
102 46 18 3 1 In 67.9% 86 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 168
101 45 18 4 1 In 52.2% 80 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 205
100 44 19 4 1 In 43.8% 70 27 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 317
99 44 19 4 1 In 31.0% 61 34 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 371
98 43 20 4 1 In 25.5% 55 36 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 534
97 43 20 4 1 In 14.6% 46 44 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 609
96 42 21 4 1 In 8.6% 35 46 17 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 782
95 42 21 4 1 In 4.9% 29 41 25 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 870
94 41 22 4 1 In 3.0% 21 46 27 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,149
93 41 22 4 1 In 1.3% 13 40 35 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,416
92 40 23 4 1 In 0.4% 8 32 40 16 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,483
91 40 23 4 1 In 0.2% 5 24 39 25 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,746
90 39 23 5 1 In 0.1% 3 15 37 33 11 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,993
89 38 24 5 1 In 0.0% 1 9 29 33 21 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,132
88 38 24 5 1 100.0% 0.0% 0 5 21 35 28 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,348
87 37 25 5 1 100.0% 0.0% 0 3 13 31 32 16 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,464
86 37 25 5 1 99.8% 0.0% 0 0 7 22 36 25 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,549
85 36 26 5 1 99.7% 0.0% 0 0 3 14 30 31 16 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,590
84 36 26 5 1 99.1% 0.0% 0 0 1 6 24 32 26 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,585
83 35 27 5 1 97.9% 0.0% 0 0 0 3 13 31 33 16 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 2,496
82 35 27 5 1 94.7% 0.0% 0 0 0 1 6 22 33 26 10 2 0 0 0 0 0 2,516
81 34 28 5 1 89.3% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 2 13 28 32 18 5 0 0 0 0 0 2,373
80 34 28 5 1 80.2% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 1 6 19 32 28 12 2 0 0 0 0 2,261
79 33 28 6 1 72.7% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 2 10 27 34 20 5 1 0 0 0 2,097
78 32 29 6 1 60.8% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 18 31 29 12 3 1 0 0 1,884
77 32 29 6 1 45.2% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 27 32 22 7 1 0 0 1,677
76 31 30 6 1 31.9% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 16 33 30 14 3 0 0 1,467
75 31 30 6 1 20.7% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 26 33 24 6 1 0 1,303
74 30 31 6 1 15.2% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 17 34 29 12 2 0 1,100
73 30 31 6 1 9.7% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 25 36 20 6 0 873
72 29 31 6 2 5.6% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 22 35 25 11 1 719
71 28 31 7 2 0.7% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 12 28 37 17 3 587
70 27 32 7 2 1.7% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 25 38 26 4 470
69 27 32 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 15 35 36 10 380
68 26 33 7 2 0.3% 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10 37 40 12 314
67 26 33 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 23 41 26 220
66 25 34 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 19 43 34 175
65 25 34 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 25 39 34 122
64 24 35 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 40 48 85
63 24 35 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 39 52 66
62 23 36 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 30 68 59
61 23 36 7 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 30 67 30
60 22 36 8 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 16 80 25
59 21 37 8 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 83 18
58 21 37 8 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 67 9
57 20 38 8 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 3
55 19 39 8 2 Out 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 4