Fayetteville Marksmen
33 points
14-16-4-1
Playoff chances: 44.8%
Current Streak:
1L
Winless in Regulation:
1 game
Recent Games
Sat Jan 31
Sat 01-31
FAY
3
@
PEN
4
Fri Jan 30
Fri 01-30
FAY
8
@
PEN
6
Sat Jan 24
Sat 01-24
HSV
3
@
OT
FAY
2
Fri Jan 23
Fri 01-23
HSV
1
@
OT
FAY
2
Sat Jan 17
Sat 01-17
FAY
3
@
RNK
2
Fri Jan 16
Fri 01-16
FAY
0
@
RNK
3
Sat Jan 10
Sat 01-10
KNX
4
@
FAY
1
Fri Jan 09
Fri 01-09
KNX
1
@
FAY
3
Sat Jan 03
Sat 01-03
FAY
2
@
SO
MAC
3
Fri Jan 02
Fri 01-02
FAY
2
@
OT
MAC
3
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Friday, February 06
Importance: 4
High playoff race importance
Teams very close in standings
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, February 07
Importance: 3
Game in 5 days
High playoff race importance
Teams very close in standings
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, February 13
Importance: -4
Game in 11 days
Playoff race implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, February 14
Importance: -5
Game in 12 days
Playoff race implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Thursday, February 19
Importance: -10
Game in 17 days
Playoff race implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, February 20
Importance: -13
Game in 18 days
Playoff race implications
Quality matchup
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, February 21
Importance: -14
Game in 19 days
Playoff race implications
Quality matchup
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Thursday, February 26
Importance: -19
Game in 24 days
High playoff race importance
Teams very close in standings
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Fayetteville Marksmen.
Last 10 Games
Record:
4-3-2-1
Points:
11 (.550)
Goal Differential:
-4
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-2.0%
vs Conference Avg:
-2.0%
vs Division Avg:
-2.0%
Last 7 Days
Record:
1-1-1-0
Points:
3 (.500)
Goal Differential:
+0
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-0.8%
vs Conference Avg:
-0.8%
vs Division Avg:
-0.8%
Last 30 Days
Record:
4-3-2-1
Points:
11 (.550)
Goal Differential:
-4
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-2.1%
vs Conference Avg:
-2.1%
vs Division Avg:
-2.1%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
44.8%
Win Round 1:
13.4%
Win Round 2:
4.1%
🏆 Win President's Cup 🏆:
1.5%
Expected Playoff Games:
3.4
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.4
Home vs Away
Home:
9-5-2-0
(.625)
+3.5% vs league +3.5% vs conf +3.5% vs div
+3.5% vs league +3.5% vs conf +3.5% vs div
Away:
5-11-2-1
(.342)
-19.0% vs league -19.0% vs conf -19.0% vs div
-19.0% vs league -19.0% vs conf -19.0% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
1-1-1-0
(.500)
November 2025
5-5-1-0
(.500)
December 2025
4-7-0-0
(.364)
January 2026
4-3-2-1
(.550)
By Opponent Conference
SPHL:
14-16-4-1
(.471)
By Opponent Division
SPHL:
14-16-4-1
(.471)
After Previous Result
After Win:
3-9-2-0
(.286)
After Reg. Loss:
6-7-2-0
(.467)
After OTL:
3-0-0-1
(.875)
After SOL:
1-0-0-0
(1.000)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
5-8-3-1
(.412)
1 Day Rest:
0-1-1-0
(.250)
2 Days Rest:
0-1-0-0
(.000)
3+ Days Rest:
8-6-0-0
(.571)
By Day of Week
Monday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Tuesday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Wednesday:
1-1-0-0
(.500)
Thursday:
0-1-0-0
(.000)
Friday:
7-6-1-0
(.536)
Saturday:
5-7-2-1
(.433)
Sunday:
1-1-1-0
(.500)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
1 game losing streak
(Started Jan 31)
Current Winless in Regulation:
1 game
(Started Jan 31)
Longest Win Streak:
3 game
(Nov 21 - Nov 26)
Longest Loss Streak:
6 game
(Dec 26 - Jan 03)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
4 game
(Oct 25 - Nov 07)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
6 game
(Dec 26 - Jan 03)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
6-6-4-1
(.500)
Two-Goal Games:
6-3
(.667)
Three-Goal Games:
2-4
(.333)
4+ Goals:
0-3
(.000)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
11-16-4-1
(.422)
vs Below .500:
3-0-0-0
(1.000)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
2.60
Avg Goals Against:
3.00
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.40
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.583
SOS Rank:
#1
RPI:
.552
RPI Rank:
#7
Performance vs Expected
33
Points
34.4
.471
Points %
.491
-17
Goal Diff
-25.1
77
Goals For
82.5
94
Goals Against
107.7
14
Wins
17.2
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 17
90%:
Oct 17
75%:
Oct 17
50%:
Oct 17
Recent Trend:
↗ Increasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
10.0% on Oct 17
10%:
Oct 17
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Jan 31
Best Position:
3rd on Oct 18
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
↘ 10th from 8th (Jan 02-Feb 01)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Jan 31
Best Position:
4th on Nov 02
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
↘ 10th from 8th (Jan 02-Feb 01)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Jan 31
Best Position:
4th on Nov 02
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
↘ 10th from 8th (Jan 02-Feb 01)
Magic/Tragic Number
Magic Number:
41
Tragic Number:
40
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the FAY finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of William B. Coffee Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 | 25,000 |
| 73 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 2 |
| 72 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 20 50 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 10 |
| 71 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 36 50 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 14 |
| 70 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 17 29 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 24 |
| 69 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 2 23 61 14 0 0 0 0 0 | 44 |
| 68 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 17 59 24 0 0 0 0 0 | 83 |
| 67 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 1 8 51 35 5 0 0 0 0 | 149 |
| 66 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 6 45 34 14 0 0 0 0 | 247 |
| 65 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 2 24 52 22 2 0 0 0 | 379 |
| 64 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 16 46 32 6 0 0 0 | 568 |
| 63 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 4 32 47 16 1 0 0 | 857 |
| 62 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 99.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 3 19 44 29 5 0 0 | 1,118 |
| 61 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 97.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 7 34 42 15 2 0 | 1,402 |
| 60 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 92.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 2 19 42 30 7 0 | 1,680 |
| 59 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 80.6% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 8 31 41 18 2 | 1,962 |
| 58 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 63.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 2 20 41 31 6 | 2,118 |
| 57 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 45.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 37 41 14 | 2,179 |
| 56 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 24.2% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 21 49 26 | 2,181 |
| 55 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 46 44 | 2,056 |
| 54 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 36 58 | 1,909 |
| 53 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 24 74 | 1,628 |
| 52 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 84 | 1,311 |
| 51 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 93 | 996 |
| 50 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 95 | 745 |
| 49 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 98 | 517 |
| 48 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 98 | 341 |
| 47 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 221 |
| 46 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 124 |
| 45 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 77 |
| 44 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 31 |
| 43 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 2 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 15 |
| 42 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 2 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 9 |
| 41 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 2 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 2 |
| 40 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 2 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 1 |