Fayetteville Marksmen
47 points
20-24-5-2
Playoff chances: 6.8%
Current Streak:
4L
Winless in Regulation:
4 games
Recent Games
Fri Mar 20
Fri 03-20
FAY
1
@
MAC
2
Sat Mar 14
Sat 03-14
QC
4
@
SO
FAY
3
Fri Mar 13
Fri 03-13
QC
2
@
OT
FAY
1
Thu Mar 12
Thu 03-12
RNK
4
@
FAY
2
Sat Mar 07
Sat 03-07
FAY
6
@
QC
4
Fri Mar 06
Fri 03-06
FAY
1
@
QC
3
Sat Feb 28
Sat 02-28
FAY
1
@
MAC
4
Fri Feb 27
Fri 02-27
FAY
5
@
MAC
1
Thu Feb 26
Thu 02-26
FAY
1
@
KNX
3
Sat Feb 21
Sat 02-21
PEN
3
@
SO
FAY
4
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Saturday, March 21
Importance: 6
Team on 4-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Away team on back-to-back
Sunday, March 22
Importance: 5
Team on 4-game losing streak
Teams moderately close in standings
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 27
Importance: -2
Game in 6 days
Team on 4-game losing streak
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 28
Importance: -3
Game in 7 days
Team on 4-game losing streak
Division matchup
Late in season series
Similar goal differential per game
Thursday, April 02
Importance: -4
Game in 12 days
Team on 4-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, April 03
Importance: -5
Game in 13 days
Team on 4-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, April 04
Importance: -6
Game in 14 days
Team on 4-game losing streak
Some playoff implications
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Fayetteville Marksmen.
Last 10 Games
Record:
3-5-1-1
Points:
8 (.400)
Goal Differential:
-5
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-13.5%
vs Conference Avg:
-13.5%
vs Division Avg:
-13.5%
Last 7 Days
Record:
0-1-1-1
Points:
2 (.333)
Goal Differential:
-3
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-30.0%
vs Conference Avg:
-30.0%
vs Division Avg:
-30.0%
Last 30 Days
Record:
4-6-1-1
Points:
10 (.417)
Goal Differential:
-5
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-12.5%
vs Conference Avg:
-12.5%
vs Division Avg:
-12.5%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
6.8%
Win Round 1:
2.0%
Win Round 2:
0.7%
🏆 Win President's Cup 🏆:
0.2%
Expected Playoff Games:
3.4
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.4
Home vs Away
Home:
12-8-3-1
(.583)
+0.1% vs league +0.1% vs conf +0.1% vs div
+0.1% vs league +0.1% vs conf +0.1% vs div
Away:
8-16-2-1
(.352)
-17.5% vs league -17.5% vs conf -17.5% vs div
-17.5% vs league -17.5% vs conf -17.5% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
1-1-1-0
(.500)
November 2025
5-5-1-0
(.500)
December 2025
4-7-0-0
(.364)
January 2026
4-3-2-1
(.550)
February 2026
5-5-0-0
(.500)
March 2026
1-3-1-1
(.333)
By Opponent Conference
SPHL:
20-24-5-2
(.461)
By Opponent Division
SPHL:
20-24-5-2
(.461)
After Previous Result
After Win:
4-14-2-0
(.250)
After Reg. Loss:
11-9-3-0
(.543)
After OTL:
3-0-0-2
(.800)
After SOL:
1-1-0-0
(.500)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
9-11-4-2
(.462)
1 Day Rest:
0-1-1-0
(.250)
2 Days Rest:
0-1-0-0
(.000)
3+ Days Rest:
10-11-0-0
(.476)
By Day of Week
Monday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Tuesday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Wednesday:
1-1-0-0
(.500)
Thursday:
0-4-0-0
(.000)
Friday:
11-8-2-0
(.571)
Saturday:
7-10-2-2
(.429)
Sunday:
1-1-1-0
(.500)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
4 game losing streak
(Mar 12 - Mar 20)
Current Winless in Regulation:
4 games
(Mar 12 - Mar 20)
Longest Win Streak:
3 game
(Nov 21 - Nov 26)
Longest Loss Streak:
6 game
(Dec 26 - Jan 03)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
4 game
(Oct 25 - Nov 07)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
6 game
(Dec 26 - Jan 03)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
9-7-5-2
(.543)
Two-Goal Games:
7-7
(.500)
Three-Goal Games:
3-7
(.300)
4+ Goals:
1-3
(.250)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
20-24-5-2
(.461)
vs Below .500:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
2.75
Avg Goals Against:
3.17
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.42
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.562
SOS Rank:
#1
RPI:
.537
RPI Rank:
#10
Performance vs Expected
47
Points
48.4
.461
Points %
.474
-25
Goal Diff
-42.8
120
Goals For
117.9
145
Goals Against
160.8
20
Wins
24.2
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 17
95%:
Oct 17
90%:
Oct 17
75%:
Oct 17
Recent Trend:
↘ Decreasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
10.0% on Oct 17
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Feb 07
Best Position:
3rd on Oct 18
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
→ 10th position (Feb 16-Mar 20)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Feb 07
Best Position:
2nd on Oct 18
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
→ 10th position (Feb 16-Mar 20)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Feb 07
Best Position:
3rd on Oct 18
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
→ 10th position (Feb 16-Mar 20)
Magic/Tragic Numbers
Playoffs
Magic Number:
20
Tragic Number:
9
SPHL Championship
Status:
Eliminated
SPHL Championship
Status:
Eliminated
William B. Coffee Trophy Championship
Status:
Eliminated
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the FAY finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of William B. Coffee Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 | 7,500 |
| 61 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 96.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 10 63 23 3 0 | 30 |
| 60 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 1 38 44 17 0 | 72 |
| 59 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 64.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 50 34 1 | 284 |
| 58 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 27 54 16 | 360 |
| 57 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 53 35 | 931 |
| 56 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 26 72 | 855 |
| 55 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 89 | 1,284 |
| 54 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 99 | 1,015 |
| 53 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 99 | 1,140 |
| 52 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 620 |
| 51 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 576 |
| 50 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 160 |
| 49 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 134 |
| 48 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 31 |
| 47 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 8 |