Evansville Thunderbolts - SPHL 25-26

59 points

26-18-1-6

Playoff chances: 99.9%

Current Streak: 1L

Winless in Regulation: 1 game

Compare with:

Recent Games

Sun Mar 15 Sun 03-15

HSV 3

EVV 2

Fri Mar 13 Fri 03-13

KNX 0

EVV 5

Sun Mar 08 Sun 03-08

MAC 1

EVV 2

Sat Mar 07 Sat 03-07

EVV 1

KNX 4

Fri Mar 06 Fri 03-06

EVV 0

KNX 3

Sat Feb 28 Sat 02-28

EVV 2

QC 3

Fri Feb 27 Fri 02-27

QC 4

EVV 1

Thu Feb 26 Thu 02-26

EVV 4

BHM 3

Sun Feb 22 Sun 02-22

PEO 1

EVV 2

Sat Feb 21 Sat 02-21

PEO 0

EVV 3

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Saturday, March 21 Importance: 8

Quad City Storm 53 pts (58%)

Evansville Thunderbolts 59 pts (100%)

Playoff race implications Teams moderately close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 22 Importance: 7

Evansville Thunderbolts 59 pts (100%)

Quad City Storm 53 pts (58%)

Playoff race implications Teams moderately close in standings Quality matchup Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 27 Importance: 4

Peoria Rivermen 71 pts (100%)

Evansville Thunderbolts 59 pts (100%)

Game in 6 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 28 Importance: 2

Evansville Thunderbolts 59 pts (100%)

Peoria Rivermen 71 pts (100%)

Game in 7 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: 1

Evansville Thunderbolts 59 pts (100%)

Peoria Rivermen 71 pts (100%)

Game in 8 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Some playoff implications Elite quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 03 Importance: -1

Pensacola Ice Flyers 62 pts (100%)

Evansville Thunderbolts 59 pts (100%)

Game in 13 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Some playoff implications Teams close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 04 Importance: -2

Pensacola Ice Flyers 62 pts (100%)

Evansville Thunderbolts 59 pts (100%)

Game in 14 days Championship race implications Playoff seeding implications Some playoff implications Teams close in standings High quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Evansville Thunderbolts.

Last 10 Games

Record: 5-4-0-1

Points: 11 (.550)

Goal Differential: +0

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +1.5%

vs Conference Avg: +1.5%

vs Division Avg: +1.5%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-1-0-0

Points: 4 (.667)

Goal Differential: +5

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +3.3%

vs Conference Avg: +3.3%

vs Division Avg: +3.3%

Last 30 Days

Record: 7-4-0-1

Points: 15 (.625)

Goal Differential: +2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +8.3%

vs Conference Avg: +8.3%

vs Division Avg: +8.3%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 99.9%

Win Round 1: 54.3%

Win Round 2: 27.7%

🏆 Win President's Cup 🏆: 13.2%

Expected Playoff Games: 4.5

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.8

Home vs Away

Home: 14-8-1-2 (.620)

+3.8% vs league +3.8% vs conf +3.8% vs div

Away: 12-10-0-4 (.538)

+1.1% vs league +1.1% vs conf +1.1% vs div

Monthly Splits

October 2025

3-2-0-0 (.600)

November 2025

7-1-0-1 (.833)

December 2025

2-5-0-2 (.333)

January 2026

5-5-1-2 (.500)

February 2026

7-2-0-1 (.750)

March 2026

2-3-0-0 (.400)

By Opponent Conference

SPHL:

26-18-1-6 (.578)

By Opponent Division

SPHL:

26-18-1-6 (.578)

After Previous Result

After Win:

14-9-1-2 (.596)

After Reg. Loss:

6-7-0-4 (.471)

After OTL:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

After SOL:

5-1-0-0 (.833)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

11-11-0-1 (.500)

1 Day Rest:

3-2-0-0 (.600)

2 Days Rest:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

3+ Days Rest:

10-4-1-5 (.650)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Wednesday:

1-1-0-2 (.500)

Thursday:

1-1-0-0 (.500)

Friday:

13-4-1-3 (.714)

Saturday:

9-7-0-1 (.559)

Sunday:

2-4-0-0 (.333)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game losing streak (Started Mar 15)

Current Winless in Regulation: 1 game (Started Mar 15)

Longest Win Streak: 7 game (Oct 31 - Nov 22)

Longest Loss Streak: 5 game (Dec 14 - Dec 26)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 9 game (Oct 31 - Nov 28)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 5 game (Dec 14 - Dec 26)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

12-4-1-6 (.674)

Two-Goal Games:

4-6 (.400)

Three-Goal Games:

5-5 (.500)

4+ Goals:

5-3 (.625)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

26-18-1-6 (.578)

vs Below .500:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 2.17

Avg Goals Against: 2.00

Avg Goal Differential: +0.17

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .560

SOS Rank: #2

RPI: .563

RPI Rank: #2

Performance vs Expected

59 Points 58.0

.578 Points % .569

+5 Goal Diff +7.6

127 Goals For 141.5

122 Goals Against 134.0

26 Wins 29.0

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 100.0% on Nov 28

95%: Oct 17

90%: Oct 17

75%: Oct 17

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 38.0% on Dec 13

35%: Dec 12

25%: Dec 06

15%: Nov 28

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Mar 20

Best Position: 2nd on Nov 01

Worst Position: 6th on Dec 26

Recent Change: ↘ 5th from 4th (Feb 16-Mar 20)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Mar 20

Best Position: 1st on Oct 18

Worst Position: 6th on Dec 26

Recent Change: ↘ 5th from 4th (Feb 16-Mar 20)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 5th since Mar 20

Best Position: 1st on Oct 18

Worst Position: 6th on Dec 26

Recent Change: ↘ 5th from 4th (Feb 16-Mar 20)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 7

Tragic Number: 21

SPHL Championship

Status: Eliminated

SPHL Championship

Status: Eliminated

William B. Coffee Trophy Championship

Status: Eliminated

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the EVV finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of William B. Coffee Trophy	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10	7,500
73	6	1	0	0	In	15.6%	16 84 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	32
72	6	1	0	0	In	7.4%	7 93 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	68
71	5	2	0	0	In	1.4%	1 94 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	285
70	5	2	0	0	In	0.0%	0 87 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	314
69	4	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 68 28 4 0 0 0 0 0 0	803
68	4	3	0	0	In	0.0%	0 39 47 13 2 0 0 0 0 0	831
67	3	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 14 42 36 9 0 0 0 0 0	1,273
66	3	4	0	0	In	0.0%	0 2 23 48 25 1 0 0 0 0	934
65	2	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 5 34 52 8 0 0 0 0	1,202
64	2	5	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 1 14 61 24 0 0 0 0	667
63	1	6	0	0	In	0.0%	0 0 0 2 34 54 9 0 0 0	626
62	1	6	0	0	99.6%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 19 55 24 1 0 0	247
61	0	7	0	0	98.8%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 4 42 39 15 1 0	164
60	0	7	0	0	93.9%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 3 39 52 6 0	33
59	0	7	0	0	81.0%	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 33 48 19 0	21