Fayetteville Marksmen
43 points
19-21-4-1
Playoff chances: 31.8%
Current Streak:
1L
Winless in Regulation:
1 game
Recent Games
Sat Feb 28
Sat 02-28
FAY
1
@
MAC
4
Fri Feb 27
Fri 02-27
FAY
5
@
MAC
1
Thu Feb 26
Thu 02-26
FAY
1
@
KNX
3
Sat Feb 21
Sat 02-21
PEN
3
@
SO
FAY
4
Fri Feb 20
Fri 02-20
PEN
2
@
FAY
5
Thu Feb 19
Thu 02-19
RNK
6
@
FAY
3
Sat Feb 14
Sat 02-14
FAY
1
@
RNK
4
Fri Feb 13
Fri 02-13
FAY
4
@
RNK
3
Sat Feb 07
Sat 02-07
BHM
4
@
FAY
2
Fri Feb 06
Fri 02-06
BHM
2
@
FAY
3
Big Games ❓
Upcoming important games and who we should root for.
Friday, March 06
Importance: 3
Game in 5 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
High playoff race importance
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 07
Importance: 2
Game in 6 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
High playoff race importance
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 13
Importance: -3
Game in 12 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
High playoff race importance
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 14
Importance: -4
Game in 13 days
Team on 3-game winning streak
High playoff race importance
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Thursday, March 12
Importance: -5
Game in 11 days
Championship race implications
Playoff race implications
Teams somewhat close in standings
Division matchup
Similar goal differential per game
Friday, March 20
Importance: -10
Game in 19 days
High playoff race importance
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Saturday, March 21
Importance: -11
Game in 20 days
High playoff race importance
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Mid-season series game
Similar goal differential per game
Sunday, March 22
Importance: -17
Game in 21 days
Playoff race implications
Teams close in standings
Division matchup
Late-season series game with close points
Similar goal differential per game
Performance Analysis ❓
Performance splits and trends for Fayetteville Marksmen.
Last 10 Games
Record:
5-5-0-0
Points:
10 (.500)
Goal Differential:
-3
Trend (last 10 games):
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-2.5%
vs Conference Avg:
-2.5%
vs Division Avg:
-2.5%
Last 7 Days
Record:
2-2-0-0
Points:
4 (.500)
Goal Differential:
+0
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-4.5%
vs Conference Avg:
-4.5%
vs Division Avg:
-4.5%
Last 30 Days
Record:
6-6-0-0
Points:
12 (.500)
Goal Differential:
-2
Trend:
Green = above season avg
Red = below season avg
vs League Avg:
-2.3%
vs Conference Avg:
-2.3%
vs Division Avg:
-2.3%
Playoff Advancement Odds
Playoff Qualification:
31.8%
Win Round 1:
9.5%
Win Round 2:
3.2%
🏆 Win President's Cup 🏆:
1.1%
Expected Playoff Games:
3.5
Expected Playoff Rounds:
1.4
Home vs Away
Home:
12-7-2-0
(.619)
+3.7% vs league +3.7% vs conf +3.7% vs div
+3.7% vs league +3.7% vs conf +3.7% vs div
Away:
7-14-2-1
(.354)
-17.4% vs league -17.4% vs conf -17.4% vs div
-17.4% vs league -17.4% vs conf -17.4% vs div
Monthly Splits
October 2025
1-1-1-0
(.500)
November 2025
5-5-1-0
(.500)
December 2025
4-7-0-0
(.364)
January 2026
4-3-2-1
(.550)
February 2026
5-5-0-0
(.500)
By Opponent Conference
SPHL:
19-21-4-1
(.478)
By Opponent Division
SPHL:
19-21-4-1
(.478)
After Previous Result
After Win:
4-13-2-0
(.263)
After Reg. Loss:
10-8-2-0
(.550)
After OTL:
3-0-0-1
(.875)
After SOL:
1-0-0-0
(1.000)
By Days Rest
0 Days Rest:
8-11-3-1
(.435)
1 Day Rest:
0-1-1-0
(.250)
2 Days Rest:
0-1-0-0
(.000)
3+ Days Rest:
10-8-0-0
(.556)
By Day of Week
Monday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Tuesday:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Wednesday:
1-1-0-0
(.500)
Thursday:
0-3-0-0
(.000)
Friday:
11-6-1-0
(.639)
Saturday:
6-10-2-1
(.395)
Sunday:
1-1-1-0
(.500)
Win/Loss Streaks
Current Streak:
1 game losing streak
(Started Feb 28)
Current Winless in Regulation:
1 game
(Started Feb 28)
Longest Win Streak:
3 game
(Nov 21 - Nov 26)
Longest Loss Streak:
6 game
(Dec 26 - Jan 03)
Longest Unbeaten in Regulation:
4 game
(Oct 25 - Nov 07)
Longest Winless in Regulation:
6 game
(Dec 26 - Jan 03)
Game Margin
One-Goal Games:
9-6-4-1
(.575)
Two-Goal Games:
6-5
(.545)
Three-Goal Games:
3-7
(.300)
4+ Goals:
1-3
(.250)
By Opponent Strength
vs Above .500:
19-21-4-1
(.478)
vs Below .500:
0-0-0-0
(N/A)
Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)
Avg Goals For:
3.33
Avg Goals Against:
3.50
Avg Goal Differential:
-0.17
Rankings & Ratings
SOS:
.566
SOS Rank:
#2
RPI:
.543
RPI Rank:
#9
Performance vs Expected
43
Points
44.2
.478
Points %
.491
-20
Goal Diff
-28.8
106
Goals For
107.8
126
Goals Against
136.6
19
Wins
22.1
Odds History
Playoff Odds:
Peak:
100.0% on Oct 17
95%:
Oct 17
90%:
Oct 17
75%:
Oct 17
Recent Trend:
↘ Decreasing
Championship Odds:
Peak:
10.0% on Oct 17
Recent Trend:
→ Stable
League Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Feb 07
Best Position:
3rd on Oct 18
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
→ 10th position (Jan 25-Feb 28)
Conference Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Feb 07
Best Position:
2nd on Oct 18
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
→ 10th position (Jan 25-Feb 28)
Division Positioning
Current Position:
10th since Feb 07
Best Position:
4th on Oct 18
Worst Position:
10th on Jan 16
Recent Change:
→ 10th position (Jan 25-Feb 28)
Magic/Tragic Number
Magic Number:
26
Tragic Number:
22
What If ❓
Chances based on how well the FAY finish out the regular season.
| If finish: | Chance | Chance | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Count | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | W | L | OTL | SOL | in Playoffs | of William B. Coffee Trophy | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 | 10,000 |
| 69 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 1 |
| 68 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 67 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 3 |
| 67 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 20 40 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 | 10 |
| 66 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 19 38 38 6 0 0 0 0 | 16 |
| 65 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 12 46 32 10 0 0 0 0 | 41 |
| 64 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 3 19 46 22 8 1 0 0 | 98 |
| 63 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0% | 0 0 0 7 25 49 18 1 0 0 | 213 |
| 62 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 99.1% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 1 10 41 38 8 1 0 | 341 |
| 61 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 97.5% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 2 24 48 24 2 0 | 595 |
| 60 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 87.3% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 6 34 47 12 0 | 734 |
| 59 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 65.2% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 1 17 47 30 5 | 985 |
| 58 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 30 48 18 | 1,072 |
| 57 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 48 38 | 1,190 |
| 56 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 34 62 | 1,125 |
| 55 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 22 77 | 1,040 |
| 54 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 90 | 782 |
| 53 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 96 | 659 |
| 52 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 99 | 445 |
| 51 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 312 |
| 50 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 167 |
| 49 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 96 |
| 48 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 40 |
| 47 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 22 |
| 46 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 11 |
| 45 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 1 |
| 44 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | Out | 0.0% | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 | 1 |