Montréal Victoire - PWHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

39 points

14-5-1-0

Playoff chances: 98.2%

Current Streak: 1W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 8 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Thu Mar 19 Thu 03-19

SEA 1

MTL 4

Sun Mar 15 Sun 03-15

BOS 4

MTL 3

Tue Mar 03 Tue 03-03

MTL 4

TOR 3

Sun Mar 01 Sun 03-01

MIN 0

MTL 4

Thu Feb 26 Thu 02-26

MTL 4

NY 1

Wed Jan 28 Wed 01-28

TOR 0

MTL 3

Sat Jan 24 Sat 01-24

OTT 1

MTL 3

Wed Jan 21 Wed 01-21

MTL 2

MIN 1

Sun Jan 18 Sun 01-18

MTL 1

NY 2

Tue Jan 13 Tue 01-13

OTT 1

MTL 2

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Wednesday, March 25 Importance: 20

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Minnesota Frost 39 pts (100%)

Game in 5 days Championship race implications Top 2 seeding battle Team on 4-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams tied in standings Elite quality matchup Top 2 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 22 Importance: 7

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Ottawa Charge 28 pts (63%)

Championship race implications Playoff race implications Quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 28 Importance: -2

New York Sirens 27 pts (14%)

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Game in 8 days Championship race implications Some playoff implications Quality matchup Division matchup Late-season series game with close points Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 03 Importance: -6

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Ottawa Charge 28 pts (63%)

Game in 14 days Championship race implications Playoff race implications Quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, April 01 Importance: -9

Vancouver Goldeneyes 24 pts (6%)

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Game in 12 days Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Tuesday, April 07 Importance: -13

Seattle Torrent 19 pts (2%)

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Game in 18 days Team on 3-game losing streak Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, April 11 Importance: -13

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Boston Fleet 39 pts (98%)

Game in 22 days Championship race implications Top 4 seeding battle Some playoff implications Teams tied in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Friday, April 17 Importance: -27

Boston Fleet 39 pts (98%)

Montréal Victoire 39 pts (98%)

Game in 28 days Championship race implications Top 4 seeding battle Some playoff implications Teams tied in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Montréal Victoire.

Last 10 Games

Record: 8-1-1-0

Points: 23 (.767)

Goal Differential: +16

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +21.3%

vs Conference Avg: +21.3%

vs Division Avg: +21.3%

Last 7 Days

Record: 1-0-1-0

Points: 4 (.667)

Goal Differential: +2

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +12.5%

vs Conference Avg: +12.5%

vs Division Avg: +12.5%

Last 30 Days

Record: 4-0-1-0

Points: 12 (.800)

Goal Differential: +10

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +25.5%

vs Conference Avg: +25.5%

vs Division Avg: +25.5%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 98.2%

Win Round 1: 61.2%

🏆 Win Walter Cup 🏆: 33.8%

Expected Playoff Games: 6.6

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.6

Home vs Away

Home: 9-1-1-0 (.848)

+20.7% vs league +20.7% vs conf +20.7% vs div

Away: 5-4-0-0 (.556)

+11.4% vs league +11.4% vs conf +11.4% vs div

Monthly Splits

November 2025

1-1-0-0 (.500)

December 2025

3-2-0-0 (.533)

January 2026

6-2-0-0 (.667)

February 2026

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

March 2026

3-0-1-0 (.750)

By Opponent Conference

PWHL:

14-5-1-0 (.650)

By Opponent Division

PWHL:

14-5-1-0 (.650)

After Previous Result

After Win:

10-2-1-0 (.744)

After Reg. Loss:

3-2-0-0 (.467)

After OTL:

1-0-0-0 (1.000)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

1 Day Rest:

4-0-0-0 (.833)

2 Days Rest:

4-1-0-0 (.733)

3+ Days Rest:

6-3-1-0 (.600)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

3-1-0-0 (.667)

Wednesday:

3-0-0-0 (.778)

Thursday:

2-0-0-0 (1.000)

Friday:

0-1-0-0 (.000)

Saturday:

2-1-0-0 (.667)

Sunday:

4-2-1-0 (.571)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 1 game winning streak (Started Mar 19)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 8 games (Jan 21 - Mar 19)

Longest Win Streak: 6 game (Jan 21 - Mar 03)

Longest Loss Streak: 3 game (Dec 23 - Jan 02)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 8 game (Jan 21 - Mar 19)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 4 game (Dec 23 - Jan 04)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

6-4-1-0 (.455)

Two-Goal Games:

3-1 (.750)

Three-Goal Games:

3-0 (1.000)

4+ Goals:

2-0 (1.000)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

5-1-1-0 (.667)

vs Below .500:

9-4-0-0 (.641)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.80

Avg Goals Against: 1.80

Avg Goal Differential: +2.00

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .479

SOS Rank: #8

RPI: .522

RPI Rank: #3

Performance vs Expected

39 Points 30.0

.650 Points % .500

+22 Goal Diff -0.2

52 Goals For 47.0

30 Goals Against 47.2

14 Wins 10.0

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 98.2% on Mar 19

95%: Mar 05

90%: Dec 20

75%: Dec 07

Recent Trend: ↗ Increasing

Championship Odds:

Peak: 22.7% on Dec 21

15%: Dec 07

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 19

Best Position: 1st on Nov 25

Worst Position: 8th on Jan 03

Recent Change: ↗ 2nd from 3rd (Jan 28-Mar 19)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 19

Best Position: 1st on Nov 26

Worst Position: 8th on Nov 23

Recent Change: → 3rd position (Jan 28-Mar 19)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 2nd since Mar 19

Best Position: 1st on Feb 26

Worst Position: 8th on Nov 23

Recent Change: → 3rd position (Jan 28-Mar 19)

Magic/Tragic Numbers

Playoffs

Magic Number: 17

Tragic Number: 39

PWHL Championship

Magic Number: 31

Tragic Number: 31

PWHL Championship

Magic Number: 31

Tragic Number: 31

PWHL Regular Season Champion Championship

Magic Number: 31

Tragic Number: 31

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the MTL finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of PWHL Regular Season Champion	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8	90,000
59	9	1	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	20
58	9	1	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	42
57	8	2	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	102
56	8	2	0	0	In	99.1%	99 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	325
55	7	3	0	0	In	96.9%	97 3 0 0 0 0 0 0	540
54	7	3	0	0	In	94.2%	94 6 0 0 0 0 0 0	880
53	6	4	0	0	In	87.1%	87 13 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,714
52	6	4	0	0	In	78.3%	78 22 0 0 0 0 0 0	2,389
51	5	5	0	0	In	70.1%	70 30 0 0 0 0 0 0	3,329
50	5	5	0	0	In	56.2%	56 42 2 0 0 0 0 0	5,063
49	4	6	0	0	In	44.1%	44 52 4 0 0 0 0 0	5,750
48	4	6	0	0	In	30.9%	31 61 8 0 0 0 0 0	6,742
47	3	7	0	0	In	18.7%	19 64 17 0 0 0 0 0	8,118
46	3	7	0	0	In	11.3%	11 62 27 0 0 0 0 0	8,181
45	2	7	1	0	In	5.6%	6 52 42 0 0 0 0 0	7,948
44	2	7	1	0	In	2.4%	2 42 54 2 0 0 0 0	8,355
43	1	8	1	0	In	1.0%	1 30 64 5 0 0 0 0	7,120
42	1	8	1	0	In	0.2%	0 18 72 10 0 0 0 0	6,039
41	0	9	1	0	99.9%	0.1%	0 9 71 20 0 0 0 0	5,415
40	0	9	1	0	99.1%	0.0%	0 4 63 32 1 0 0 0	3,907
39	0	10	0	0	97.1%	0.0%	0 2 49 47 3 0 0 0	2,839
38	0	0	0	0	90.3%	0.0%	0 0 32 58 10 0 0 0	2,221
37	0	0	0	0	80.3%	0.0%	0 0 18 62 18 2 0 0	1,236
36	0	0	0	0	57.7%	0.0%	0 0 8 49 37 5 0 0	809
35	0	0	0	0	37.5%	0.0%	0 0 3 35 48 14 0 0	501
34	0	0	0	0	19.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 19 48 28 4 0	205
33	0	0	0	0	3.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 4 44 43 10 0	114
32	0	0	0	0	3.2%	0.0%	0 0 0 3 21 50 24 2	62
31	0	0	0	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 4 56 30 9	23
30	0	0	0	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50	8
29	0	0	0	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 67 33	3