Minnesota Frost - PWHL 25-26 - Season Chance Stats

28 points

9-3-3-0

Playoff chances: 98.8%

Current Streak: 2W

Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games

Compare with:

Recent Games

Wed Jan 28 Wed 01-28

VAN 1

MIN 4

Sun Jan 25 Sun 01-25

NY 2

MIN 6

Wed Jan 21 Wed 01-21

MTL 2

MIN 1

Fri Jan 16 Fri 01-16

MIN 3

NY 2

Sun Jan 11 Sun 01-11

SEA 2

MIN 6

Sun Jan 04 Sun 01-04

MIN 2

MTL 3

Sat Jan 03 Sat 01-03

MIN 2

OTT 5

Tue Dec 30 Tue 12-30

MIN 5

TOR 1

Sat Dec 27 Sat 12-27

MIN 2

VAN 1

Sun Dec 21 Sun 12-21

OTT 3

MIN 2

Big Games ❓

Upcoming important games and who we should root for.

Sunday, March 01 Importance: 21

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Montréal Victoire 30 pts (86%)

Championship race implications Top 4 seeding battle Team on 4-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 08 Importance: -2

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Toronto Sceptres 20 pts (8%)

Game in 7 days Championship race implications Teams somewhat close in standings Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 15 Importance: -2

New York Sirens 24 pts (26%)

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Game in 14 days Potential championship race impact Team on 4-game losing streak Playoff race implications Teams close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, March 18 Importance: -5

Ottawa Charge 23 pts (62%)

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Game in 17 days Potential championship race impact Playoff race implications Teams close in standings Quality matchup Top 5 league teams | Top 5 conference teams | Top 5 division teams Division matchup Final game in season series Similar goal differential per game

Friday, March 13 Importance: -6

Seattle Torrent 16 pts (13%)

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Game in 12 days Championship race implications Team on 3-game losing streak Some playoff implications Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Wednesday, March 25 Importance: -14

Montréal Victoire 30 pts (86%)

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Game in 24 days Championship race implications Top 4 seeding battle Team on 4-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams very close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Saturday, March 21 Importance: -15

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Vancouver Goldeneyes 19 pts (10%)

Game in 20 days Championship race implications Some playoff implications Teams somewhat close in standings Division matchup Similar goal differential per game

Sunday, March 29 Importance: -29

Boston Fleet 32 pts (95%)

Minnesota Frost 28 pts (99%)

Game in 28 days Potential championship race impact Top 4 seeding battle Team on 4-game winning streak Some playoff implications Teams close in standings Elite quality matchup Top 3 league teams | Top 3 conference teams | Top 3 division teams Division matchup Mid-season series game Similar goal differential per game

Performance Analysis ❓

Performance splits and trends for Minnesota Frost.

Last 10 Games

Record: 6-1-3-0

Points: 19 (.633)

Goal Differential: +11

Trend (last 10 games):

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +7.9%

vs Conference Avg: +7.9%

vs Division Avg: +7.9%

Last 7 Days

Record: 2-0-1-0

Points: 7 (.778)

Goal Differential: +6

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +22.2%

vs Conference Avg: +22.2%

vs Division Avg: +22.2%

Last 30 Days

Record: 5-1-2-0

Points: 16 (.667)

Goal Differential: +11

Trend:

Green = above season avg Red = below season avg

vs League Avg: +11.1%

vs Conference Avg: +11.1%

vs Division Avg: +11.1%

Playoff Advancement Odds

Playoff Qualification: 98.8%

Win Round 1: 65.8%

🏆 Win Walter Cup 🏆: 36.7%

Expected Playoff Games: 6.8

Expected Playoff Rounds: 1.7

Home vs Away

Home: 4-1-2-0 (.667)

+2.3% vs league +2.3% vs conf +2.3% vs div

Away: 5-2-1-0 (.667)

+21.6% vs league +21.6% vs conf +21.6% vs div

Monthly Splits

November 2025

1-1-0-0 (.500)

December 2025

4-1-1-0 (.667)

January 2026

4-1-2-0 (.619)

By Opponent Conference

PWHL:

9-3-3-0 (.622)

By Opponent Division

PWHL:

9-3-3-0 (.622)

After Previous Result

After Win:

4-2-2-0 (.542)

After Reg. Loss:

2-0-1-0 (.778)

After OTL:

3-0-0-0 (.889)

After SOL:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

By Days Rest

0 Days Rest:

0-0-1-0 (.333)

1 Day Rest:

0-0-1-0 (.333)

2 Days Rest:

2-0-0-0 (1.000)

3+ Days Rest:

7-2-1-0 (.667)

By Day of Week

Monday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Tuesday:

2-0-0-0 (1.000)

Wednesday:

1-0-1-0 (.667)

Thursday:

0-0-0-0 (N/A)

Friday:

3-1-0-0 (.667)

Saturday:

1-1-0-0 (.333)

Sunday:

2-1-2-0 (.533)

Win/Loss Streaks

Current Streak: 2 game winning streak (Jan 25 - Jan 28)

Current Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 games (Jan 04 - Jan 28)

Longest Win Streak: 2 game (Nov 28 - Dec 02)

Longest Loss Streak: 2 game (Jan 03 - Jan 04)

Longest Unbeaten in Regulation: 6 game (Jan 04 - Jan 28)

Longest Winless in Regulation: 2 game (Dec 21 - Dec 27)

Game Margin

One-Goal Games:

2-1-3-0 (.389)

Two-Goal Games:

0-0 (N/A)

Three-Goal Games:

3-2 (.600)

4+ Goals:

4-0 (1.000)

By Opponent Strength

vs Above .500:

2-2-3-0 (.429)

vs Below .500:

7-1-0-0 (.792)

Goal Scoring Trends (Last 30 Days)

Avg Goals For: 3.62

Avg Goals Against: 2.25

Avg Goal Differential: +1.38

Rankings & Ratings

SOS: .484

SOS Rank: #6

RPI: .518

RPI Rank: #2

Performance vs Expected

28 Points 25.5

.622 Points % .567

+17 Goal Diff +8.4

48 Goals For 39.3

31 Goals Against 31.0

9 Wins 8.5

Odds History

Playoff Odds:

Peak: 98.8% on Feb 27

90%: Nov 21

75%: Nov 21

50%: Nov 21

Recent Trend: → Stable

Championship Odds:

Peak: 63.2% on Jan 18

30%: Dec 02

20%: Dec 02

10%: Nov 21

Recent Trend: ↘ Decreasing

League Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Feb 26

Best Position: 1st on Nov 28

Worst Position: 8th on Nov 26

Recent Change: ↘ 3rd from 2nd (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Conference Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Feb 26

Best Position: 2nd on Nov 28

Worst Position: 8th on Nov 22

Recent Change: ↘ 3rd from 2nd (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Division Positioning

Current Position: 3rd since Feb 26

Best Position: 1st on Dec 02

Worst Position: 8th on Nov 25

Recent Change: ↘ 3rd from 2nd (Jan 28-Feb 28)

Magic/Tragic Number

Magic Number: 35

Tragic Number: 50

What If ❓

Chances based on how well the MIN finish out the regular season.

If finish:					Chance	Chance	Chance will finish regular season at seed	Count
Points	W	L	OTL	SOL	in Playoffs	of PWHL Regular Season Champion	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8	25,000
66	15	0	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	2
65	15	0	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	11
64	15	0	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	17
63	15	0	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	52
62	15	0	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	94
61	15	0	0	0	In	100.0%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	183
60	15	0	0	0	In	99.6%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	279
59	15	0	0	0	In	99.8%	100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	433
58	14	1	0	0	In	99.0%	99 1 0 0 0 0 0 0	679
57	14	1	0	0	In	97.8%	98 2 0 0 0 0 0 0	917
56	13	2	0	0	In	97.2%	97 3 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,159
55	13	2	0	0	In	93.6%	94 6 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,373
54	12	3	0	0	In	91.9%	92 8 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,638
53	12	3	0	0	In	87.1%	87 13 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,802
52	11	4	0	0	In	79.5%	80 20 0 0 0 0 0 0	1,954
51	11	4	0	0	In	71.1%	71 28 0 0 0 0 0 0	2,095
50	10	5	0	0	In	60.7%	61 37 2 0 0 0 0 0	1,941
49	10	5	0	0	In	50.4%	50 46 4 0 0 0 0 0	1,940
48	9	6	0	0	In	36.7%	37 56 7 0 0 0 0 0	1,740
47	9	6	0	0	In	26.6%	27 58 15 0 0 0 0 0	1,480
46	8	7	0	0	In	17.1%	17 59 23 1 0 0 0 0	1,285
45	8	7	0	0	99.9%	9.8%	10 52 36 2 0 0 0 0	1,035
44	7	7	1	0	99.9%	4.4%	4 44 46 6 0 0 0 0	793
43	7	7	1	0	99.5%	1.9%	2 32 52 14 0 0 0 0	632
42	6	8	1	0	99.1%	0.7%	1 16 56 27 1 0 0 0	446
41	6	8	1	0	93.3%	0.0%	0 8 50 35 7 0 0 0	345
40	5	9	1	0	84.9%	0.0%	0 2 32 51 15 0 0 0	265
39	5	9	1	0	68.9%	0.0%	0 1 21 47 26 5 0 0	148
38	4	10	1	0	50.0%	0.0%	0 0 15 35 46 4 0 0	112
37	4	10	1	0	25.4%	0.0%	0 0 3 22 44 27 3 0	63
36	3	11	1	0	12.5%	0.0%	0 0 0 12 44 41 3 0	32
35	3	11	1	0	3.4%	0.0%	0 0 0 3 41 38 17 0	29
34	2	12	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 70 20 10	10
33	2	12	1	0	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 67 33 0	9
32	0	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 75 25	4
31	0	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	1
30	0	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0	1
29	0	12	2	1	Out	0.0%	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100	1